programmers are making $10k-200k monthly on polymarket
here's how they actually do it
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1. arbitrage bots
buy YES + NO when combined price < $1
example: YES at 48¢ + NO at 49¢ = 97¢ total
you lock $0.03 profit per $1 no matter who wins
trader "distinct-baguette" made $242k in 1.5 months doing this
targets 15-min crypto markets where prices move fast
python script polls API every 1-3 seconds, executes when sum < 99¢
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2. statistical arbitrage
find correlated markets that drift apart
"trump wins" vs "GOP senate control" should move together
when spread hits 4-7%, short expensive one, long cheap one
close when they converge
trader "sharky6999" made $480k scanning 100+ markets per minute
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3. AI probability models
train ML models to estimate real odds from news/social data
if your model says 60% YES but market at 50¢, buy
trader "ilovecircle" made $2.2M in 2 months with 74% accuracy
uses ensemble of 10 AI models, retrains weekly
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4. spread farming
buy at bid (5¢), sell at ask (6¢), repeat
or hedge across platforms (short polymarket, long binance)
trader "cry.eth2" made $194k with 1M trades
high-frequency loop via CLOB API
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5. copy-trading automation
mirror successful whale traders automatically
scan profiles, execute proportional trades
one bot made $80k in 2 weeks copying near-resolved markets
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tech stack:
python + requests library for API calls
web3-py for blockchain interactions deploy on VPS for 24/7 operation
polymarket has REST APIs for everything:
gamma markets API (prices/volumes)
CLOB API (place orders)
data API (track positions)
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starting point:
> build simple arbitrage bot first
> fund with $100-1k for testing target high-volume markets (politics/crypto)
> expect 50-70% win rate but focus on positive EV
+$133k earned on crypto launches without participating in them on Polymarket
FilthyBera made 37 predictions across multiple crypto token launches, and bet on NO in most cases
It allows him to have 100% win rate, and it seems he's not going to stop
His profile:
https://t.co/PMm2HvUq7y