haritzaldazabal

trading US equities

[haritzaldazabal @haritz_95]

Post sobre algunos Episodic Pivots de este año: https://t.co/EpWvQU55xV

[haritzaldazabal @haritz_95]

@TheShortBear @zhexiangxd i´ve already told you several times, check this out: https://t.co/Gsglh2QYra

[haritzaldazabal @haritz_95]

@TheShortBear @QuintenFrancois you dont seem to care at all about the cycles. why?

[haritzaldazabal @haritz_95]

@TheShortBear @QuintenFrancois you dont seem to care at all about the cycles. why?

[haritzaldazabal @haritz_95]

@TheShortBear In the monthly charts looks more like a failed cup and handle 😅

[haritzaldazabal @haritz_95]

@TheShortBear You dont seem to care about the cycles? The low of each cycle is always 152 weeks after the high of each cycle. According to this we wont make a motton till october.

[haritzaldazabal @haritz_95]

🤦🤦

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

Rule changes for the SpaceX $SPCX IPO:

Index providers waived the profitability requirement and cut the seasoning window from 90 days to 5.

This forces over $30 trillion in passive 401k and retirement money to buy SpaceX at IPO valuations.

Bloomberg Intelligence estimates S&P 500 funds must absorb 19% of SpaceX's float within 6 months.

Russell 1000 and Nasdaq 100 funds will absorb 24%.

The rules built to protect passive investors:

1. S&P 500 has required 12 months of trading and 4 quarters of GAAP profitability since 2002. Both waived.

2. Nasdaq cut its inclusion window from 90 trading days to 15.

3. FTSE Russell cut its to 5.

All three benchmarks are now structured to buy SpaceX at IPO pricing.

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

Trump Cycle

The same cycle every time.

Test something small.
It works.
Confidence becomes hubris.

Next move: 4× bigger.

When it fails:
Double down.
Blame the market.
Go all in.

Normally it’s a business gamble.

This time it’s the American economy.

And we keep repeating the playbook.

Martingale systems work until they implode.

Most don’t understand so it looks amazing and they get lost in the initial outputs rather than the gamble.

Trump Casinos (Atlantic City)

• Started with Trump Plaza (modest early success in a growing market).
• Scaled massively to Taj Mahal (debt-fueled mega-expansion).
• Revenues failed amid recession/market saturation.
• Doubled down via restructurings and retained control.
• Blamed oversupply, high interest rates, economy; went all in on creditor negotiations hoping they’d fold (multiple bankruptcies ensued).

Trump Shuttle

• Acquired Eastern routes (initial premium service worked modestly).
• Scaled with luxury upgrades and heavy promotion/debt.
• Couldn’t cover interest amid recession/fuel costs.
• Doubled down sustaining operations.
• Blamed fuel prices/competition; surrendered to creditors hoping for favorable terms.

Plaza Hotel

• Bought and renovated (modest success under management).
• Leveraged heavily for upgrades as part of larger empire.
• Couldn’t service loans in real estate slump.
• Doubled down integrating into broader operations.
• Blamed NY market/economic conditions; negotiated debt deals hoping creditors folded.

Trump University

• Launched basic online courses (modest initial enrollments).
• Scaled to expensive nationwide live seminars/mentorship.
• Faced lawsuits over misleading claims.
• Doubled down defending vigorously in court/media.
• Blamed disgruntled students/regulators; fought until settlement, hoping opponents backed down.

New Jersey Generals (USFL)

• Bought team (performed well initially in spring league).
• Pushed massive league expansion/antitrust suit against NFL.
• League collapsed after antitrust loss.
• Doubled down on lawsuit strategy.
• Blamed NFL monopoly/judges; went all in hoping courts forced merger/fold.

[haritzaldazabal @haritz_95]

@TheShortBear @PronkDaniel Dont forget $ASML

[haritzaldazabal @haritz_95]

@TheShortBear You dont seem to care about the historical crypto cycles, why? So you think that the cycles are gone?

[DonAlt @DonAlt]

The economy President is nuking the economy
The no war President is threatening war
The drain the swamp President is promoting corruption
The crypto President launched multiple rugs
The release the Epstein files President is hiding the Epstein files

Bit confusing if you ask me

[AT09 @AT09_Trader]

Called an $UBER X and a $TSLA Model 3 showed up. The driver told me he bought it for Full Self Driving so he doesn’t have to do any work while driving Uber. He let FSD handle the entire trip while he talked about how amazing it is. It was a smooth ride, no interventions. At this rate, drivers might not be needed much longer… @elonmusk is a beast

[XO @Trader_XO]

@TheFlowHorse The one that trades their system, knows their expectancy behind the trade and what the probable range of distributable outcomes are in terms of expected value behind the trade.

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

Someone that constantly blame, complains and attacks others tells you more about them than others.

It is usually a clear sign of selfishness, closed-mindedness, a refusal to take responsibility, and a deep-seated need to project their own insecurities, deflect accountability, and control the narrative to protect their ego.

This type of individual is reflecting their shortcomings onto the world.

I highly suggest thinking twice about associating with such individuals, they gain energy by stealing yours.

It is very easy to be enticed by such individuals because they are usually very strong talkers.

Their ability to influence usually fails in highly stressful situations, when they have to come through or when you have the ability to cross check their statements with other third parties that are in contact.

I have gotten to know about a dozen of such individuals in my lifetime and they almost dragged me down with them on multiple occasions.

In their view either you are their friend or their enemy. Not supporting them fully equals treason, they’ll be loud about it, blame you… Don’t let the show blind you.

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

The art of no deal

•Trump increases tariffs on China to 30%, then escalates them to 84%
•China responds with reciprocal tariffs
•Trump raises tariffs further to 145%
•China again reciprocates
•Trump publicly states he wants President Xi to call him
•China remains unresponsive
•Trump signals willingness to “make a deal”
•China continues to hold its position
..

US doesn’t know what to do now.
China was clear, roll back tariffs and we will open up discussions.

This is a pure ego response by Trump and typical response.. tripling down on the losers and hoping to get bailed out, same response in the prior business ventures too.

[Vatnik Soup @P_Kallioniemi]

Tariffs memes are the hottest thing right now, so post your favorites👇🏻

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

The question is does the leadership care about the market now that they made hundreds of millions on unregulated Crypto?

[haritzaldazabal @haritz_95]

@TheShortBear Just long $MSTZ, is a X2 $MSTR inverse etf.

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

Jim Simons performance is the best ever.

66% per year on average for 30 years.

At this rhythm $100 would turn into $401,090,745 within that time frame.

In other words, the self imposed liquidity cap of $10billion would have been reached after 30 years if Jim started with $2.5k

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

Pyramiding

Time for another video release.

I constantly see questions about pyramiding and in the spirit of giving back here is the tutorial video I had made while trading actively.

https://t.co/B1O5LVtkbb

[MrBeast @MrBeast]

I’m gonna give 10 random people that repost this and follow me $25,000 for fun (the $250,000 my X video made)

I’ll pick the winners in 72 hours