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๐ณ๏ธ Most questionable 4th-down call of Week 3?
โข CIN punted on 4th & 3 (tied, Q4 7:51) โ 44-yd punt ยท model: go
โข DEN punted on 4th & 1 (down 3, Q4 7:13) โ 55-yd punt ยท model: go
โข SEA punted on 4th & 2 (down 7, Q1 8:19) โ 44-yd punt ยท model: go
#4thDownBot #NFL
๐บ๏ธ Every 4th down of Week 3 in one chart
213 decisions. The model said GO 97 times โ teams actually went for it on 26 of those.
๐ Ring = the coach went against the model
#4thDownBot
๐ Week 3 4th-down awards
๐ Chicken: CIN punted on 4th & 3 (tied, Q4 7:51) โ 44-yd punt
๐ฒ Daredevil: TEN went for it on 4th & 5 (down 12, Q3 1:16) โ stopped
๐ง Big Brain: DAL went for it on 4th & 3 (down 4, Q3 14:00) โ converted
#4thDownBot #NFL
๐
Week 3 recap: 196/213 correct 4th-down calls (92%)
๐ Season so far: 566/613 (92%)
๐ฏ Boldest call: expected CIN to punt on 4th & 3 (83% confidence) โ go for it was worth +6.5% win probability instead. They ultimately punted.
#4thDownBot #NFL
โ
Nailed the prediction โ they went for it and converted โ L.Newman reported in as eligible. D.Swift left tackle to PHI 19 for 15 yards.
๐ Bot record this game: 11/12 (92%)
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #CHI #PHI
๐ณ๏ธ Your call: CHI on 4th & 1 at PHI 34 (Q4 02:00, CHI 27-7 PHI). What should they do?
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #CHI #PHI
๐ CHI ball ยท 4th & 1 at PHI 34
โฑ๏ธ Q4 02:00 | CHI 27-7 PHI
๐ฎ Predicted: go for it (81%)
๐ Model's pick: essentially a toss-up between all three options
๐ค What would you call here? Vote below ๐
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #CHI #PHI
โ
Nailed the prediction โ they went for it but didn't convert โ J.Hurts pass incomplete deep right to M.Lemon [M.Muhammad].
๐ Bot record this game: 10/11 (91%)
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI
![nfl4thbot's tweet photo. โ
Nailed the prediction โ they went for it but didn't convert โ J.Hurts pass incomplete deep right to M.Lemon [M.Muhammad].
๐ Bot record this game: 10/11 (91%)
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI https://t.co/1z9kGzlD3k](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTWkPd6XoAEWQeB.png)
๐จ Model vs. Coach โ they disagree here
๐ PHI ball ยท 4th & 22 at CHI 39
โฑ๏ธ Q4 05:56 | PHI 7-27 CHI
๐ฎ Predicted: go for it (61%)
๐ Model's pick: field goal attempt (+2.5% win probability)
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI
๐ฉ No play โ penalty on PHI (Neutral Zone Infraction), 5 yards in their favor. Automatic first down.
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #CHI #PHI
๐ CHI ball ยท 4th & 2 at PHI 39
โฑ๏ธ Q4 13:34 | CHI 20-7 PHI
๐ฎ Predicted: go for it (68%)
๐ Slight edge toward field goal attempt (+1.3%, thin margin)
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #CHI #PHI
โ
Nailed the prediction โ they went for it but didn't convert โ J.Hurts pass short left intended for D.Smith INTERCEPTED by T.Edwards at CHI 41. T.Edwards to CHI 42 for 1โฆ
๐ Bot record this game: 9/10 (90%)
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI
๐ณ๏ธ Your call: PHI on 4th & 5 at CHI 46 (Q3 01:11, PHI 7-20 CHI). What should they do?
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI
๐ PHI ball ยท 4th & 5 at CHI 46
โฑ๏ธ Q3 01:11 | PHI 7-20 CHI
๐ฎ Predicted: go for it (66%)
๐ Model's pick: essentially a toss-up between all three options
๐ค What would you call here? Vote below ๐
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI
โ
Nailed the prediction โ they punted for 57 yards โ T.Taylor punts 55 yards to PHI 32. B.Covey pushed ob at CHI 47 for 21 yards (D.Hardy).
PENALTY onโฆ
๐ Bot record this game: 8/9 (89%)
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #CHI #PHI
๐ CHI ball ยท 4th & 12 at CHI 13
โฑ๏ธ Q3 02:51 | CHI 20-7 PHI
๐ฎ Predicted: punt (100%)
๐ Model's pick: punt (+2.1% win probability)
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #CHI #PHI
โ
Nailed the prediction โ they punted for 41 yards โ B.Mann punts 50 yards to CHI 6. K.Raymond to CHI 15 for 9 yards (C.Campbell; D.Cooper). CHI-K.Raymond wasโฆ
๐ Bot record this game: 7/8 (88%)
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI
๐จ Model vs. Coach โ they disagree here
๐ PHI ball ยท 4th & 6 at PHI 44
โฑ๏ธ Q3 03:28 | PHI 7-20 CHI
๐ฎ Predicted: punt (73%)
๐ Model's pick: go for it (+2.5% win probability)
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI
๐ฉ No play โ penalty on PHI (Delay of Game), 5 yards against them. Now 4th & 6 at PHI 44.
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI
๐ PHI ball ยท 4th & 1 at PHI 49
โฑ๏ธ Q3 04:17 | PHI 7-20 CHI
๐ฎ Predicted: go for it (85%)
๐ Model's pick: go for it (+4.4% win probability)
#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI
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