4th Down Decisions

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

🗳️ Most questionable 4th-down call of Week 3?

• CIN punted on 4th & 3 (tied, Q4 7:51) → 44-yd punt · model: go
• DEN punted on 4th & 1 (down 3, Q4 7:13) → 55-yd punt · model: go
• SEA punted on 4th & 2 (down 7, Q1 8:19) → 44-yd punt · model: go

#4thDownBot #NFL

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

📅 Week 3 recap: 196/213 correct 4th-down calls (92%)

📈 Season so far: 566/613 (92%)

🎯 Boldest call: expected CIN to punt on 4th & 3 (83% confidence) — go for it was worth +6.5% win probability instead. They ultimately punted.

#4thDownBot #NFL

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

🗺️ Every 4th down of Week 3 in one chart

213 decisions. The model said GO 97 times — teams actually went for it on 26 of those.

🟠 Ring = the coach went against the model

#4thDownBot

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

✅ Nailed the prediction — they went for it and converted — L.Newman reported in as eligible. D.Swift left tackle to PHI 19 for 15 yards.

📈 Bot record this game: 11/12 (92%)

#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #CHI #PHI

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

🏈 CHI ball · 4th & 1 at PHI 34
⏱️ Q4 02:00 | CHI 27-7 PHI

🔮 Predicted: go for it (81%)
📊 Model's pick: essentially a toss-up between all three options
🤔 What would you call here? Vote below 👇

#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #CHI #PHI

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

🗳️ Your call: CHI on 4th & 1 at PHI 34 (Q4 02:00, CHI 27-7 PHI). What should they do?

#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #CHI #PHI

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

✅ Nailed the prediction — they went for it but didn't convert — J.Hurts pass incomplete deep right to M.Lemon [M.Muhammad].

📈 Bot record this game: 10/11 (91%)

#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

🚨 Model vs. Coach — they disagree here

🏈 PHI ball · 4th & 22 at CHI 39
⏱️ Q4 05:56 | PHI 7-27 CHI

🔮 Predicted: go for it (61%)
📊 Model's pick: field goal attempt (+2.5% win probability)

#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

🚩 No play — penalty on PHI (Neutral Zone Infraction), 5 yards in their favor. Automatic first down.

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[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

🏈 CHI ball · 4th & 2 at PHI 39
⏱️ Q4 13:34 | CHI 20-7 PHI

🔮 Predicted: go for it (68%)
📊 Slight edge toward field goal attempt (+1.3%, thin margin)

#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #CHI #PHI

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

✅ Nailed the prediction — they went for it but didn't convert — J.Hurts pass short left intended for D.Smith INTERCEPTED by T.Edwards at CHI 41. T.Edwards to CHI 42 for 1…

📈 Bot record this game: 9/10 (90%)

#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

🏈 PHI ball · 4th & 5 at CHI 46
⏱️ Q3 01:11 | PHI 7-20 CHI

🔮 Predicted: go for it (66%)
📊 Model's pick: essentially a toss-up between all three options
🤔 What would you call here? Vote below 👇

#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

🗳️ Your call: PHI on 4th & 5 at CHI 46 (Q3 01:11, PHI 7-20 CHI). What should they do?

#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

✅ Nailed the prediction — they punted for 57 yards — T.Taylor punts 55 yards to PHI 32. B.Covey pushed ob at CHI 47 for 21 yards (D.Hardy).
PENALTY on…

📈 Bot record this game: 8/9 (89%)

#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #CHI #PHI

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

🏈 CHI ball · 4th & 12 at CHI 13
⏱️ Q3 02:51 | CHI 20-7 PHI

🔮 Predicted: punt (100%)
📊 Model's pick: punt (+2.1% win probability)

#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #CHI #PHI

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

✅ Nailed the prediction — they punted for 41 yards — B.Mann punts 50 yards to CHI 6. K.Raymond to CHI 15 for 9 yards (C.Campbell; D.Cooper). CHI-K.Raymond was…

📈 Bot record this game: 7/8 (88%)

#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

🏈 PHI ball · 4th & 1 at PHI 49
⏱️ Q3 04:17 | PHI 7-20 CHI

🔮 Predicted: go for it (85%)
📊 Model's pick: go for it (+4.4% win probability)

#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI

[4th Down Decisions @nfl4thbot]

🚨 Model vs. Coach — they disagree here

🏈 PHI ball · 4th & 6 at PHI 44
⏱️ Q3 03:28 | PHI 7-20 CHI

🔮 Predicted: punt (73%)
📊 Model's pick: go for it (+2.5% win probability)

#4thDownBot #NFL #MNF #PHI #CHI