Top Tweets for #AgsThisWeek
π½ #AgsThisWeek: Bearish seasonals + better U.S. weather are back in control. ππ¦οΈ Hedge funds flipped into selling mode after five straight weeks of buying. π U.S.-Iran headlines remain fluid. π Weather stays warm with scattered showers. π¦οΈ Friday's U.S. jobs report is the week's biggest macro event. π΅ WASDE: August 12. π
πΎ #commodities #agriculture
πΎ #AgsThisWeek: Hedge funds continue pouring money into Grain and Oilseed futures, now +$16.0B net long after five straight weeks of buying. π° Wednesday's Fed decision is the week's biggest macro event. ποΈ U.S. weather stays warm early this week, with scattered thunderstorms across the Corn Belt. βοΈ Bean Oil may be the market's best seasonal sell setup. π
πΎ #AgsThisWeek: Black Sea export risks and escalating U.S.-Iran attacks supported Ags and Energy last week, but higher Crude Oil is making macro investors nervous about tighter Fed policy. Weather stays warm with timely Corn Belt rains. Late-July seasonals remain firmly bearish - but funds need better weather and calmer Black Sea/Hormuz flows before re-establishing shorts. ππ’οΈπ
π½ #AgsThisWeek: Hedge funds were big buyers last week on hot/dry weather. Friday's WASDE confirmed stronger demand and tighter balance sheets. Tuesday's U.S. CPI report is July's biggest macro event. Seasonals favor Palm Oil, while Corn & Soybean weather rallies often fade by late July. Ethanol prices also tend to weaken from here. π
π½ #AgsThisWeek: Hawkish Fed. Strong dollar. Crude Oil rebounding. U.S. weather remains favorable. Seasonals are bearish for Grains and bullish for Cattle. Light data week. Nine days until USDA Stocks & Acreage. π
πΎ #AgsThisWeek: Crude is in the driverβs seat. π’οΈ Brent surged +27% last week, pulling commodities higher (BCOM +8.8%, BCOMAg +3.3%) as hedge funds piled into futures. π Weak U.S. jobs data should cap the dollar, while CPI and the low-impact March WASDE arrive this week ahead of next weekβs Fed meeting. π± π
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