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Join @RealIDPHunter and @JamiePerog with special guest @niceandblunt as we break down strategy, sleepers, fades, and everything Best Ball.
๐ Draft season is here... time to build contenders.
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Notable Weekly #BestBall ADP Fallers on @Underdog
(6/14- 6/21)
1. #Titans RB, Nicholas Singleton- Down almost 6 spots to 188: This decline reflects tempered expectations for his immediate 2026 role in a crowded Titans backfield, making him less appealing as a high-upside best ball dart throw. The current depth chart at RB has Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears remaining as the clear top two options. Recent minicamp/OTA comments from Titans coaches reinforce them as the "bell cows," with Singleton needing to "compete his way in" as a rookie. So, he is the clear RB3 barring injury.
I think the best case scenario for Singleton is that he shows flashes here and there this season to where the organization moves in up the depth chart heading into 2027. But for now, I don't see any point drafting this guy in best ball drafts.
2. #Jaguars RB, Chris Rodriquez: Down spots to 126. Injury and role uncertainty related. Rodriguez underwent a surgical procedure on his left foot earlier in the offseason, he did not participate in OTAs, and mandatory minicamp. The Jaguars have stated he should be "full-go" with no restrictions by training camp, but the absence has limited his early reps and allowed others (namely Bhayshul Tuten) to stand out. In Rodriguez's absence Tuten has drawn strong reviews during OTAs/minicamp for his explosiveness, vision, and growth. Reports highlight him picking up steam as the potential lead option. I think many (incl. myself) expect the Jags backfield to be a committee, but Tuten's camp performance is shifting narratives toward him handling more early-down/explosive work. Rodriguez is viewed more as a complementary power/short-yardage option.
Both the injury situation and Tuten give me some concern about Rodriguez's production- at least early in the season. Truth be told, I've shied away from the Jacksonville backfield and focused more on the passing weapons because I'm not really sure what to expect in terms of volume share at the RB position. I've taken slightly more Rodriquez (7%) than Tuten (5%), simply due to cost, but I don't go out of my way to get exposure to either. Hopefully, there will be more role clarity once training camp starts.
3. #Colts WR, Alec Pierce- Down 2 spots to 78: The main driver for the slight fall is ongoing concern over his offseason ankle surgery and extended recovery timeline, which reduces his potential Week 1 readiness and early-season production. Colts HC Shane Steichen has said he expects Pierce back "at some point in training camp," but reports indicate it could be "well into" camp or even past preseason in a worst-case scenario. Pierce himself has described this situation as a 4โ6 month rehab process. I think many hope the longer-term outlook to still be positive. Pierce is the entrenched WR1 with big-play ability in a scheme that should funnel targets his way once healthy. Many analysts still view him as a strong WR with potential high-end production by midseason, but the short-term ADP dip reflects caution until training camp updates clarify his ramp-up.
I've put the breaks on drafting Pierce until more news surfaces, but if his ADP continues to slide from now until training camp, I might grab him in rosters that need him for post-season game stacks....like a #Bengals- Colts Week 16 matchup. And someone like Josh Downs or Tyler Warren might see their ADP rise a bit more in light of this situation.
#NFL #FantasyFootball
Notable Weekly #BestBall ADP Risers on @Underdog (6/14- 6/21)
1. #Chargers WR, Quentin Johnston- Up 5 spots to 81: Johnston has posted back-to-back solid seasons after a rough rookie year and finished as a top-25 WR in points per game in 2025 (despite missing time), with 8 touchdowns in each of the past two years. He's an every down player with big play ability. Keenan Allen's departure frees up targetsโhe had a 19โ23% target share in prior seasons. But the biggest catalyst is the Chargers hiring Mike McDaniel as offensive coordinator. McDaniel excels at scheming receivers into space for YAC, which aligns with Johnston's size & speed.
Like many, I'm bullish on the Chargers' offense and, when able, I've taken Johnston. Now that he is essentially going around the same pick (81) as Herbert, it might be tough to stack unless your are picking at the turn, but he should have stand alone value as well this year.
2. #Broncos RB, J.K. Dobbins- Up over 3 spots to 100: News recently broke that RJ Harvey underwent offseason surgery to repair a torn labrum suffered in the 2025 AFC Championship game. He has been practicing but has not done much full team work in OTAs, with reports noting he's still ramping up. Couple that with the fact Harvey underwhelmed in his rookie year and Dobbins was handsomely rewarded with a new contract, Dobbins seemingly is slotted in as RB1 in Denver.
Make no mistake, Dobbins comes with injury risk of his own as he has missed more games than played since 2020. That said, there is too much pointing to Dobbins being the lead back to getting the most volume and is worth the price tag at 100, in my opinion.
3. #Jets WR, Adonai Mitchell- Up almost 9 spots to 183: Mitchell has been one of the biggest winners of Jets OTAs and minicamp, usually highlighted as the clear WR2 behind Garrett Wilson. After the November 2025 trade (part of the Sauce Gardner deal), Mitchell flashed in 8 games w/ 25 catches on 59 targets for 312 yards and 2 TDs, including an 8-102-1 TD breakout game. This came despite bad QB play and learning the offense on the fly. In camp, coaches have been praising Mitchell and his role in the offense, pointing to him playing significant part in 2026 despite drafting Omar Cooper (first rounder) in April.
He's 'fine', I suppose. If you are looking for a team/game stack then go ahead and grab him, but I'm guessing this Jets team might be one of the worst teams in the NFL this season and I have been shying away from all of their offensive weapons for the most part. Again, if he helps complete a particular build you are looking for great, but don't reach for it.
#NFL #FantasyFootball
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My 2026 bestball takes ๐
Clicking at ADP: Bowers, G Wilson, Dmont, Jalen Nailor, Emmett Johnson, Jalen McMillan
Fading at ADP: Egbuka, Tet McMillan, MHJ, Kyren Williams
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Timestamp
05:00 AFC East & NFC East
26:00 AFC North & NFC North
41:26 AFC South & NFC South
56:36 AFC West & NFC West
1:08:40 Playoff Outlook
1:12:02 Outro (Like and Subscribe!)
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We simulated thousands of Best Ball drafts.
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The surprising part?
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Are we overthinking roster construction this year?
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