Top Tweets for #BaseEffects
Looking ahead, headline #inflation is likely to ease further in the coming months and end the year below 3%Y, #ECB staff projections as well as implied inflation from swaps - #BaseEffects from last year’s sharply rising #food & #energy prices are the key reasons @NordeaMarkets
YoY change in the Headline CPI rate going to look so good for June
Year-to-date performance of some well known large cap shares:
Meta: +55%
Tesla: +54%
Spotify: +53%
Shopify: +52%
Which is great until you see where they’re coming from…2022 returns:
Meta: -64%
Tesla: -65%
Spotify: -66%
Shopify: -75%
#BaseEffects
$META
$TSLA
$SPOT
$SHOP
⚠️ UK NEW CAR REGISTRATIONS UP 23.5% YEAR-ON-YEAR IN NOV TO 142,889 UNITS - SMMT
via https://t.co/wXVagzMtxa
#BaseEffects
#WeekAheadShorts: Why did @SamuelRines say that #BaseEffects on #inflation will not save you?
For the full episode with @DoubleWideCap @chigrl and @TonyNashNerd: https://t.co/tqBCUd2kig
🎯Markets forecasting app for only $99/mo? Try CI Futures: https://t.co/KquTusqX13
2021 Real Annual GDP grew at +5.7%… This Year gonna be less (surprise surprise), but highly unlikely we get a Contraction for Annual Real GDP in 2022.
#BaseEffects Am I doing this right?
Notice 1950…
#CPI
These are good steps, but even if #inflation readings decline into year-end, as we anticipate they will on the back of strong #BaseEffects and easing supply-chain #bottlenecks…
What is the market not pricing?
That disinflaiton outpaces expectations the same way inflation did on the way up.
#BaseEffects
And while we think this excessive #inflation is likely to moderate in the next several months, in part due to the massive #BaseEffects at play in the data, above target inflation is likely to continue to be an issue for the #Fed well into 2023.
1Q21 Real GDP grew at 12.2% YoY…
#BaseEffects
#Farmsector likely to grow at 2.6% in Q3 FY 22, down from 4.6% last year despite record #production because of #baseeffects. Need to breach 3-4% annual growth for robust #macrogrowth, distributive equity and transformed lives & livelihoods.
Nov will be the month in which @jsafrasarasin expects to have seen the peak in #inflation rates. #BaseEffects are not increasing further should all contribute to sharply falling in #inflation rates in the coming months, chart @KarstenJunius
The fact is that #inflation is likely to remain on the higher side for a while and risks remain, although we think that the passing of #BaseEffects and the easing of #SupplyChain constraints by the end of Q1-2022 should slowly bring inflation down to more comfortable levels.
@TIMGOLDFINCH Maths, innit?
Remember these are annual growth rates, comparing average GDP in 2022 with 2021 (when it was still well below pre-Covid level).
Even modest quarterly growth through 2022 then gives you a biggish annual increase... 🤓
#BaseEffects
Still, it is likely that in time pandemic distortions and extreme #BaseEffects will ease, pulling aggregate #prices back toward a 2% rate of growth and allowing quantities to continue expanding once supply pressures alleviate, but this will take time.
Impressive nga ba ang 11.8% GDP growth rate ngayong second quarter?
Alamin ang katotohanan sa likod ng naitalang "record high" quarterly growth rate ng Pilipinas in 32 years.
#UsapangEcon
#BaseEffects
#Inflation = main financial market driver in 2021? In Apr, US #consumerprices ▲ 4.2% y/y, 2.6% in Mar. Partly reflects #baseeffects e.g., oil prices in Apr are flat over 24m but ▲272% over 12m, but does also reflect a real rise in prices. #ACFinsight https://t.co/JMAgZEb3Lf
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