Top Tweets for #BaseRateFallacy
Base rate fallacy still common on Twitter: Comparing proportion vaccinated/unvaccinated *among* hospitalized (left) is not informative without considering the numbers in the population (right). #baseratefallacy
Kun maailman väesöstä on yli 70% saanut Covid-rokotteen, pelkästään sen vuoksi tulee erilaisia sairauksia myös rokotetuille vaikka ne eivät johtuisi rokotteista. Kyseessä on ns perustasoharha. Jos 100% väestöstä olisi rokotettu KAIKKI sairaudet tulisivat rokotetuille.
@Gordon91918009 John Campbell’s claim about vaccinated COVID deaths ignores the base rate fallacy. With 90%+ of UK over-50s vaccinated, most deaths will be in this group by sheer numbers, not inefficacy. See CDC data & Lancet studies for true vaccine impact. #BaseRateFallacy #Science
@returns8143 @Alex_on_A14 @Riddlescue @jneill @DavidAKirkwood @BerryTartlet @rebeccabutlerm2 @roger_santos7 #BaseRateFallacy
Read and educate yourelf:
https://t.co/szlzF8KoRh
@returns8143 @BreezerGalway @Riddlescue @jneill @DavidAKirkwood @BerryTartlet @rebeccabutlerm2 @roger_santos7 Erm yes.
And why?
They are over 95% vaccinated and vaccine does not make you immortal.
Go Google #BaseRateFallacy and come back when you are ready to be grown up about this.
A million decliners have preventable passed now.
@Jeanetteisback @BreezerGalway @DawnsMission You have just committed the #baseratefallacy.
Yep....more of the older vulnerable are va%ed so even though it protects them up to 12 fold....more will pass.
@mansenior6 @jneill @Sarah__Caul @MemeDealin @Sharky_vs_Evil @SecretSocialis4 @RachelAshleyVox #BaseRateFallacy
@boianspeaks @adiosmuchachos4 @BreezerGalway @KuikenAndrew #BaseRateFallacy
Still waiting for an explanation.
@boianspeaks @Creativologist @DrSHankMD Ah, you've fallen for the #BaseRateFallacy.
Also:
https://t.co/izWFMCM7qD
Unvaccinated vs Ever Vaccinated
Jan 2021 - May 2023
All cause deaths↙️ ↘️Covid deaths
NB. Jan-Mar 2021 uses the July 2022 dataset.
@DonnieV23 @jneill @yawlnellie10 @JaneHogarth84 @ButHisEmails Oh Donnie, you’ve fallen straight into that one, classic school boy error 🤣
#baseratefallacy
@goneallweek @AlBowers1 @M4ro0on So that's a massive subject change.
And you commit the #baseratefallacy of sharing data from high va% without correction for cofounders or the high rates of va% and boosting.
I'm right I think is the point you wish to make.
@toadmeister Er, wouldn’t that be because of the very high percentage of people being vaccinated?
#baseratefallacy
@MemeDealin @Sarah__Caul @jneill @Sharky_vs_Evil @SecretSocialis4 @supertanskiii @RachelAshleyVox #BaseRateFallacy
@SmarterSig @Debunk_the_Funk Meanwhile you don't understand the #BaseRateFallacy nor the fact you're citing a know liar who propagates disinformation.
@WardogsDan @LongCovidNews @ValZimmer2 @S4R41_K44R @FormerAntivax @ONThealth #Poodle, that’s what is known as #BaseRateFallacy. Have you heard this term before, mon #trésor?
@Sangre_Pura_ @drDavidKeegan @AdrianaLaGrange Hi #Silly... are you aware that this #study was done before the #CovidVaccines were available? You might also want to look into #BaseRateFallacy.
Because #Yikes, mon #coeur, being so wrong all the time must feel icky.
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