Top Tweets for #Below_Normal
Week 2: Likely #abve_normal in coastal reg of KA, Mah, many parts of Central India & Odisha.
Rainfall is likely to be #below_normal in Arunachal Pradesh, Sikkim, Kerala, slightly below normal in Uttar Pradesh, East Rajasthan and Punjab.
25 Jun,ERF for Rainfall by IMD
Week 1: Likly slightly abve normal in Kerala, KA, AP, SHWB & Sikkim,some parts of Arunachal Pradesh,Assam.
It's likely to be #below_normal in E & Central India,Gujarat,Konkan Goa & many parts of NW India.
29 May, Second stage Seasonal forecast for SW Monsoon by IMD:
Five category probability forecasts for Seasonal (Jun to Sept) rainfall ovr the country as a whole during 2026 given below, suggests "84%" probability for #below_normal or #less_rainfall for the country as a whole.
All India SW Monsoon forecast JJAS issued on 13 Apr (fig 1) & South Asia Rainfall forecast (fig 2) JJAS issued on 29 Apr is shared here for comparison.
Almost same for India...
#Below_Normal & #Warmer too.
Sectors sensitive to rain will be under stress; Agri,Power,Health.
#Below_Normal southwest monsoon seasonal (Jun to Sept) rainfall over the country as a whole, during 2026.
@SDMAMaharashtra
Sub: Long Range Forecast for Southwest Monsoon Seasonal Rainfall 2026
(1) India Meteorological Department predicts below normal southwest monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall over the country as a whole during 2026.
(2) Quantitatively, the southwest monsoon seasonal rainfall over the country as a whole during 2026 is likely to be 92% of long period average (LPA) with a model error of ± 5%. The LPA of the monsoon seasonal rainfall over the country as a whole based on 1971-2020 is 87 cm.
(3) Spatially, below-normal seasonal rainfall is most likely over many parts of country except some areas over Northeast, Northwest and South Peninsular India, where it is likely to be normal to above-normal.
(4) El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-neutral conditions are most likely during April to June 2026. Thereafter, El-Nino conditions are very likely during SW Monsoon season.
(5) Neutral Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions are prevailing over the Indian Ocean. Positive IOD conditions are likely to develop towards the end of SW monsoon season which is favourable for SW monsoon seasonal rainfall.
(6) Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover as well as Eurasian Snow Cover during January to March 2026 were slightly below normal, which is favourable for southwest monsoon seasonal rainfall 2026.
(7) Detailed Press Release is available at https://t.co/r25wJBTk8f
@PMOIndia @DrJitendraSingh @moesgoi @PIBHomeAffairs @icarindia @ICRER_MHA @DDNewslive @airnewsalerts @IAF_MCC @ndmaindia @IndiannavyMedia @IndiaCoastGuard
2/2
Wk 2:Likly #below_normal in most India. No activity in R'sthan,Punjab,Haryana,UP,MP& Guj.
Wk 3:Likly #below_normal in NW,E &NE India.#Above_normal ovr entire Mah except Konkan, Telangana,AP & Kerala
Wk 4:Likly #below_normal in S India.#Above_normal ovr E & Central India &UP.
29 May, IMD's Extended range Rainfall forecast:
Wk 1: RF likly #above_normal in west coast & NE India.
Likely #below_normal in Int Karnataka,Rayalaseema & TN. No RF activity in Rajasthan, Punjab,Haryana,West U.P., Saurashtra -Kutch,most parts of TN,NIK & Rayalaseema.
1/2
6 March, Extended range forecast anomaly for Tmax fir next 4 weeks indicates interestingly #below_normal over parts of NE region & parts of Central India including Maharashtra & parts of South India. The other regions could be warmer.
Konkan 1st two weeks would remain warmer.
6 Feb,As per IMD's extended range forecast anomaly for nxt 4 weeks, #Tmin over most part of country could be #Below_Normal for 2 wks;except parts of J&K,Gujarat,North Madhya Mah including Pune.
Week 3&4;Tmin could be #Above_Normal parts of UP, Bihar,NE region in addition to above
30 Jan,#Tmin anomaly next 4 week by IMD indicate;
14-27 Feb,Tmin likely to be #below_normal in most parts of #NW, #Central #S_India including #Mah.
#Madhya_Mah most parts all 4 weeks likely to remain above normal.
J&K all 4 weeks possibly above normal
NE above normal 1st 2 wks.
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