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Bull vs Bear ratio improved drastically - from -200 to +6 on Bulls side as of Data 9.25am
Next batch of data will come 9.40am
If it stays on + side for 1 hour then Bullish turnaround has happened for the day!
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Data Analytics and #Situational_Awareness for Wednesday, 14 Oct '26๐โ๐ป
As we discussed yesterday, #Nifty delivered a strong bullish candle, crossed our highest intraday target of 22600, and finally closed at 22721.
But why was I so confident about today's bullish move?
The answer was in the data.
From October 8 to October 10, the Bull vs. Bear ratio improved sharply from -200 to -64. That was a significant turnaround signal, indicating that bearish pressure was weakening.
Today, the price action reflected that improvement across the charts.
However, there is another important development to watch.
The Bull vs. Bear ratio has now slipped to -88, compared with -64 yesterday.
In simple terms, while the market printed several strong green candles today, the underlying data suggests that selling pressure may still be present in the background.
If this weakness continues, we could see its impact on tomorrow's price action across indices and individual stocks.
But here is the key point: the ratio is still far away from the previous extreme of -200. The broader reversal signal remains active, although the latest reading calls for caution.
So, what is the trading plan for tomorrow?
For #Nifty, I will consider longs only if the index breaks above the next resistance at 22770.
On the downside, I will consider shorts only if Nifty breaks below 22650.
The intraday levels will be shared tomorrow morning, depending on how GIFT Nifty opens.
#BankNifty view
The biggest resistance is at 55710.
Below this level, volatility could continue. However, the overall structure remains bullish.
I will look for long opportunities near the support zone of 55300โ55200, provided price action confirms the setup.
#Sector rotation:
The strongest sector currently is Software Services (IT), followed by Financials and FMCG.
These two sectors will remain on my radar for potential opportunities.
Remember, a strong green candle does not tell the entire story. Price shows us what happened; data helps us understand what may be developing beneath the surface.
For tomorrow, the plan is simple: respect the levels, wait for confirmation, and let the data guide the trade.
Levels at a glance:
Nifty resistance: 22770
Nifty next targets - 23000/23100
Nifty support: 22650/22500
Bull vs. Bear ratio: -88 (previous reading: -64)
Market bias: Bullish reversal remains active, but caution is warranted
BankNifty resistance: 55710
BankNifty support zone: 55300โ55200
Sector focus: IT, followed by Financials and FMCG
Strategy: Long above resistance or short below support, with confirmation
That's all I can conclude from the current data.
Take care. Have a profitable tomorrow.
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