Top Tweets for #Debtdeflation
What actually caused the greatest downturn in the history of capitalism?
In my presentation, I argue as Irving Fisher did in 1933 that it wasn’t “panic,” “technology shocks,” or just “the Fed,” but a collapse in credit-based demand at a time of very low inflation, after private debt had already become dangerously high.
Using historical data, I show how US credit shifted from roughly +8–10% of GDP in the 1920s to about −30% in the early 1930s, while inflation went from roughly zero to −10% per year.
That combination of over‑indebtedness and deflation—the debt disease and price‑level disease—meant that the more debtors paid down their loans, the heavier their real debt burden became.
I also explain why mainstream (neoclassical) economists ignored Fisher’s debt‑deflation theory, left banks and private debt out of their models, and focused instead on equilibrium stories and “loanable funds” where bank lending has no macroeconomic impact.
That intellectual blind spot is exactly why they failed to anticipate the Global Financial Crisis, even as private debt more than tripled relative to GDP between the end of World War II and 2007.
Lastly, I contrast the fantasy banking model with a realistic one using my Ravel software and show how turning credit negative shrinks the money supply and drags GDP down—precisely what happened in the early 1930s and again after 2008.
I also highlight the crucial role of government spending: from the New Deal to World War II to the post‑2008 deficits that quietly stopped another Great Depression.
Watch here: https://t.co/oryrT6zsjs
#Economics #Finance #GreatDepression #PrivateDebt #Macroeconomics #Banking
and its domestic debts eyewatering
#debtdeflation
🇨🇳 China's domestic economy keeps weakening:

We aren't just building clouds; we are building "Dark Silicon." The $1T AI CapEx trade is walking straight into an Irving Fisher trap. Hyper-Investment, Token Costs dropping to zero. Revenue deflates. Debt stays fixed. $NVDA $SMCI #Macro #AI #DebtDeflation

Alleen deze oude man en ik verwachten schuld deflatie...
#debtdeflation #deflatie #schulddeflatie #irvingfisher
#minsky #minskymoment
An interview with William White (OECD, BOE, BIS, BOC) who predicted the 2008 financial crisis on the consequences of easy money and that Government debt has reached a tipping point.
I doubt this post gets much interaction even though it should. Four minutes is too long for the Goldfish generation.
Do you KNOW WHAT THE DEBT DEFLATION IS EXACTLY?
https://t.co/Pfaacy5uFc
#DEBTDEFLATION

Indebtedness is living beyond one means.
The pendulum of debt does not then revert or stop at the equilibrium level but moves to austerity and deflation.
#Deflation #DebtDeflation

The Psychology Of Deflation!
Deflation seems like a bargain, right? 📉💸
But it's a tricky dance. Falling prices make us delay spending, hurting businesses and jobs. It's a bland economic soup that can lead to a vicious cycle.
#EconomicWinter2024 #DebtDeflation
Hoe zit het met de deflatieverwachtingen in Nederland? #deflatie #deflation #debtdeflation #schulddeflatie
Schuld deflatie en You'll own nothing and be happy.....
You'll own nothing and be happy is a phrase originated by Danish Politician Ida Auken in a 2016 essay for the World Economic Forum (WEF).
#debtdeflation #schulddeflatie
#deflatie
#deflation

Debt-Deflation Is Inevitable.
Economic Winter's End with Deflation!
Let me explain why!
A Thread And Video Update
#DebtDeflation
Canada's Bubble Economy 2001-2024!
The implications are the inevitability of an Economic Depression (Economic Winter) and Deleveraging!
#EconomicWinter2024 #DebtDeflation
https://t.co/b2KBYglcH0
This will push the next leg down in Real Estate, as the market is telegraphing to the Bank Of Canada to raise rates a quarter point.
Economic Winter and deleveraging could begin by the Fall of 2023!
#EconomicWinter2024 #DebtDeflation

Global Future Inflation Oscillator 1994-JUNE 2023 Update
Hard landing into 2024, with Debt-Deflationary forces "building."
The Hangover from too much debt will assert itself in the fall!
Economic Winter alert is now active!!
#DebtDeflation #Deleveraging

ACTUAL US #EMPLOYMENT NOT seasonally adjusted FELL in Jan 2023! Is the #FOMC too tight to fight #inflation? Will #debtdeflation occur? See my blog below. Sources: @BLS_gov, FRED of @stlouisfed.
#econtwitter #recession #economics #Fed #deflation #debt
https://t.co/3zxyB6gYh5
@wclemente It is likely $100s of billions of bonds will need to be bought by the Fed before Christmas. Flows of necessity are like that. #QT #DebtDeflation #CreditCollapse
Canada's Mortgage Growth Model 1935-2022
Forecast to the 2030s
#DebtDeflation and #Deflation will be prevalent by that time!
Economic Winter

This exhaustion of accumulated Financial wealth (Real Estate) forces the economy into a period of sharp retrenchment.
Generally, economic winter entails a three-year collapse, followed by a 15-year #deflationary workout period.
2022-2040?
#DebtDeflation
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