Top Tweets for #ES_H
Well, that Big W-little w pattern turned into a bigger rally with diverging momentum. Will it continue? Or will the declining RSI drag price back down?
#ES_H
(Not a recommendation)
@SchwabTrading
@SchwabNetwork



beware
again
all my targets & walls are based on index $SPX which is fixed
while #ES_H (June) after the rolling this week,
is about 32 pts above $SPX
emini-futures in Contango term-structure due to higher rate expectation
the spread will gradually converge to 0 on June Q-OpEx
breaking:
SVB Financial Group has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in a New York court after Silicon Valley Bank collapsed last week
SVB Financial Group says it has approximately $2.2 billion of liquidity at time of filing.
in case you don't know
$SPX = 3853
#ES_H (Mar) = 3855
#ES_M (Jun) = 3885
#ES_futures
spread is ~= 30 pts for Rolling to June contracts
Backwardation TS
hence,
I always use $SPX as the magnets & walls & targets
the spreads are changing over time
$SPX is an Index; fixed
US Feb PPI Inflation
PPI 4.6% Y/Y, Exp. 5.4%; Prev 5.7
Slowest Annual Increase Since Mar 2021
PPI Core 0.0% M/M, Exp. 0.4%
PPI Core 4.4% Y/Y, Exp. 5.2%
ON another pump & dump
planned bull-trap
shocked? Surprised?
unpossible
you can't make this script up
Mexican Wall by Fri?🤣


all walls update:🧲🧲🧲
Matcha-wall (not on chart 4315)
Kerb-wall (4125)
Great-wall (not on chart 4000)
Trump-wall (3950)
Cramer-fence (not on chart 3900)
Biden-fence (3850)
Mexican-wall (not on chart 3800)
Berlin-wall (3700)
Powell-wall (3400)
Doomsday-wall (not on chart 3200)
when all monkeys buying Put-hedges (long Gamma) en masse, then Ponzi's are net-Short Gamma
=>
if $SPX flushes to the Gamma-flip level,
then
the Ponzi's need to short-more $SPX #ES_H on the way down for delta-neutral hedging of these negative Gamma's
exacerbating the plunge🦃💣🦃
just remember
Gamma works both ways
these massive put hedges in Oct/Nov/Dec @ lows
prompted the massive Gamma squeeze to the upside in Jan
but Gamma works both ways
if super-hawkish Powell shows up
then
these huge Gamma would accelerate
the Gamma-bomb flip to the downside💣🦃
short-calls strike = 4150
too bad, these are expired worthless today.
I keep the premiums
original intention was to get these assigned ITM
and
effectively shorting #ES_H @ 4172
but, no luck.
just keep the premium👍🤣
it's okay, making some 🫖🍵🍵🍵🫖 money
🫖🍵🍵🍵🫖
😋😋😋
short-calls strike = 4150
too bad, these are expired worthless today.
I keep the premiums
original intention was to get these assigned ITM
and
effectively shorting #ES_H @ 4172
but, no luck.
just keep the premium👍🤣
it's okay, making some 🫖🍵🍵🍵🫖 money
waiting to be expired worthless this Friday
if I get assigned,
effectively, shorting @ 4172
which was my original intention anyway
win-win

why most day-trades & scalpers fail & can't last for 1 year?
they scalp futures #ES_H with awful position sizing & risk mgmt
they might make some pennies over a series of wins
but
they would blow up their accounts in 1 trade
only top 5% day-traders make money in the long-run
market are overbought & euphoric
@ 10AM UofM plunging inflation expectation
old news, not justified,
on that pump,
sold some weekly OTM calls
delta = 0.3
1 week out
strike ~= 4150
if expiring ITM,
effectively, shorting @ 4170
if expiring OTM
I keep the premium
not official
🤔 I think this is a legit cup n handle formation. Let’s see how this plays out. Could be very positive over 4018ish. Also breaking the downward channel around 4010 could also give a pop. #ES_H $SPX $SPY

$ES_H = 4021.50
that's e-mini futures
spread between $SPX spot & #ES_H
~21.50 pts
that translates to
$SPX ~=4000 pre-market
CFDs $SPX sometimes trade differently based on their local traders & bid-ask spreads
hence local CFD brokers are not official quote
very important
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