#EquityVolatility - Twitter Hashtag

about 1 month ago

Goldman Sachs: Why #EquityVolatility Could Rise #Equity #volatility could rise over the longer term because of #AI uncertainty, says Vickie Chang of #GoldmanSachs Research. Recently, measures of volatility such as the #VIX—a measure of the market’s expectations of near-term #SPX500 volatility—have moved sharply due to changing sentiment about the Iran conflict. But Chang says that while short-term moves can be hard to predict, “we think this is an environment where equity volatility could rise over time—even if stocks rally.” Volatility tends to fall when stocks rise, but that is not always the case. For example, volatility and equity prices rose together in the late 1990s, Chang points out. That period was marked by rising equity valuations, rising leverage, and big questions about the ultimate impact of recent technological innovations. “Today’s equity market is similarly driven by hopes of innovation-led productivity gains,” she says. In the months and years ahead, “investors are likely to focus more attention on whether the benefits of AI justify the value that has been built in,” Chang predicts. “That means volatility should rise—both under the surface of the market and eventually at the index level—as investors work through that uncertainty. She adds that volatility could also rise for more typical reasons if the economic outlook deteriorates meaningfully. “There are multiple ways for equity volatility to rise going forward,” Chang concludes.

Francesc_Forex's tweet photo. Goldman Sachs: Why #EquityVolatility Could Rise
#Equity #volatility could rise over the longer term because of #AI uncertainty, says Vickie Chang of #GoldmanSachs Research.
Recently, measures of volatility such as the #VIX—a measure of the market’s expectations of near-term #SPX500 volatility—have moved sharply due to changing sentiment about the Iran conflict. But Chang says that while short-term moves can be hard to predict, “we think this is an environment where equity volatility could rise over time—even if stocks rally.”
Volatility tends to fall when stocks rise, but that is not always the case. For example, volatility and equity prices rose together in the late 1990s, Chang points out.
That period was marked by rising equity valuations, rising leverage, and big questions about the ultimate impact of recent technological innovations. “Today’s equity market is similarly driven by hopes of innovation-led productivity gains,” she says.
In the months and years ahead, “investors are likely to focus more attention on whether the benefits of AI justify the value that has been built in,” Chang predicts. “That means volatility should rise—both under the surface of the market and eventually at the index level—as investors work through that uncertainty.
She adds that volatility could also rise for more typical reasons if the economic outlook deteriorates meaningfully.
“There are multiple ways for equity volatility to rise going forward,” Chang concludes.

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Richard Bernstein Advisors

@RBAdvisors

5 months ago

The direction of #CreditSpreads tends to mimic the #VIX but not right now. #Credit suddenly immune to #EquityVolatility?

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S3 Partners @S3Partners

9 months ago

💰 Most shorted U.S. equities are up +48% YTD — their strongest run since 2021. S3 data shows how crowding and positioning drove alpha in 2025. Read our analysis now: https://t.co/OMviBfE8rb 📊 #S3data #ShortSqueeze #FactorReturns #EquityVolatility $HIMS $TEM $AI $IONQ $BE

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Sunil Jhaveri

@IamMisterBond

about 3 years ago

In a surprise move #OPEC + cuts oil output. #Crude prices have surged by 6% +. Likely to touch $100 soon. Hopes of no rate cuts/pause ruled out. Difficult to tame #inflation now. Brace for #recession with #EquityVolatility

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Lawrence McDonald

@Convertbond

over 4 years ago

Long vol near 15-16 VIX handle has been the trade of 2021, near 26 this am. #EquityVolatility

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Samantha LaDuc

@SamanthaLaDuc

over 5 years ago

Not Done #RateVolatility #EquityVolatility Sent this to clients Jan 10th $FVX Higher yields = Reflation But not higher $TLT $GLD Where are we now and how far can this go? #Convexity

Samantha LaDuc

@SamanthaLaDuc

over 5 years ago

We've come a long way from NIRP talk. and as I warned last week: "The latest rate volatility spike is about to leak into equity volatility land." $QQQ Credit is a volatility product and when Vol picks up, demand for credit falls. Just like Equities.

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Franklin Templeton @FTI_US

over 7 years ago

Find out why Franklin Equity Group’s Matt Moberg believes companies can grow and adopt faster than ever before and why that’s creating opportunity. https://t.co/ETGGJ7Bq8e #capitalizing #equity #equityvolatility

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PROP FUNDS TRADER @SoloXPropTrader

almost 10 years ago

$VIX #EquityVolatility vs #LIQUIDITY #CreditMarkets $LQD All-TimeHighs $HYG Near Highs

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