Top Tweets for #ForensicCollapse

Normally I'd call this "gaslighting," but we're dealing with some of the dumbest people alive here. There is a very reasonable chance that she believes what she is saying. "We've known the sheath doesn't fit." In reality, it couldn't fit more perfectly. A bloody Ka-Bar knife sheath was found adjacent to two bodies. This sheath contained the DNA of Bryan Kohberger. Ok, let's leave open the possibility that his DNA is on there via some sort of non-nefarious means (touch DNA can be easily transferred after all). If there's an innocent explanation, investigators start digging into Bryan Kohberger should start running into major issues. But what did they find? He happened to own the same type of car they were looking for. He happened to be out driving in the dead of night, at a time consistent with him being the killer. Minutes into this trip, he powered off his phone, only turning it back on after the murder window closed. 8 months prior to the murders, Kohberger purchased a matching Ka-Bar knife with sheath, and a sharpener, all of which are now inexplicably missing. Two days following the murders, Kohberger began searching for the exact same model knife that he had previously purchased. It appears he went as far as to click "buy now" before exiting the Amazon purchase page. We do not convict people based on mathematical odds, but the numbers are shocking. Check this out: 1. Ownership of the same type of car. 2. Driving at a time consistent with him being the killer. 3. Powering down his phone throughout the murder window. 4. Purchasing the same model knife and sheath, which are now missing. 5. Seeking to purchase the same model knife and sheath, beginning two days following the murders. Let's assign some conservative odds to his behaviors: Car: ~1/100 (0.01) Driving at 4 a.m.: ~1/50 (0.02) Phone powered down: ~1/50 (0.02) Owning and missing knife: ~1/5,000 (0.0002) Searching for knife post-murder: ~1/10,000 (0.0001) You multiply these numbers (independent events) together to obtain the combined probability. This translates to a 1 in 125 billion chance that an innocent person would match all these criteria by coincidence. Even if we adjust for partial dependence (e.g., knife ownership and searching being related), the combined probability remains extraordinarily low, likely on the order of 1 in millions. And the sheath doesn't fit. Holy fucking shit. #idaho4 #kohberger @AudreyDNAcast