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#GMTT #Levels
$ES, $VIX, $NK, $TLT, $GC, $SI, $HG, $CL, $NG, $BTCUSD, $DX, $TLT
$ES – Daily Update – November 25, 2025
$ES (ES- DEC) on a sell signal from 6786. The $ES is currently trading in Globex at 6719. Trading range for today is: 6694 – 6728 Below 6694: 6685 6659, 6646, 6635, 6607, 6598, 6582, 6564, 6547, 6526, 6502, 6486 and 6430 Above 6728: 6736, 6750 and an intraday close above 6759 cancels the sell signal short term.
$VIX (Cash) on a buy signal from 18.25. The $VIX stays on a buy signal so long as there is no intraday close below 19.00.
$NK (DEC) on a sell signal from 49120. The $NK reached an intraday low of 48422.50 and need one better close above 49300 to confirm a s buy signal.
$TLT – on a buy signal from 86.05. $TLT is moving towards our 91.20 target and strays on a buy signal so long as there is no end of day close below 88.65.
$GC (FEB) on a buy signal from 4156. $GC triggered a short term buy signal which gets again cancelled on an intraday close below 4119.
$SI (MAR) on a buy signal from 50.90. $SI triggered a short term by signal which gets again cancelled on an intraday close below 50.15.
$HG (MAR) on a sell signal from 5.03 (DEC). $HG stays on a sell signal so long as there is no intraday close above 5.20. Near-term downside target is 4.91.
$CL (JAN) on a sell signal from 59.50 (DEC). $CL needs an intraday close above 59.60 to confirm a buy signal. Above 59.60: 61.00, 62.35, 64.00
$NG (JAN) on a buy signal from 4.52 (DEC). $NG cancels its buy signal on an intraday close below 4.50.
$BTCUSD on a sell signal from 112.000. $BTCUSD bounced off its last low but needs an intraday close above 95k to confirm a buy signal. Next downside target is 79K.
$DX (DEC) – on a buy signal from 97.05. $DX still needs another close above 100.30 to confirm a next move towards 102.15. The buy signal gets cancelled on an intraday close below 97.50.
Wishing you a successful trading day
#GMTT #Levels
GMTT – Daily Update – September 16, 2025
E-Mini S&P 500 $ES- DECon a buy signal from 6462 (SEP).
The blowout phase we mentioned a few weeks ago appears to be ongoing, it seems.
We had our doubts about how high the ES would reach before we began to witness a more significant pullback.
Our role is to provide a signal and attempt to ascertain the market's next direction from a technical standpoint.
From that viewpoint, we would have anticipated the ES to be at least 100 to 150 points lower.
We did signal a buy signal at 6442 (SEP) / 6497 (DEC), but within that buy signal, we also identify pullback levels that, according to algorithms, should be reached.
However, that has not occurred thus far, which leads us to question how quickly the market will begin to decline once it determines it has peaked.
We have transitioned to the DEC futures and recalibrated the pullback levels, as well as where the ES triggers a sell signal.
We do not have any higher projected targets, but that does not imply that the market cannot inch a bit higher.
The pullback levels to watch for the upcoming day(s) are: 6678, 6661, 6646, 6629, 6614, 6695, and it triggers a sell signal on an intraday close below 6576.
Below 6576 we get a first leg lower towards 6434.
The in between targets are: 6557, 6545, 6494, 6469.
VIX (Cash) – on a sell signal from 15.25.
The VIX cancels its sell signal on an intraday close above 16.25.
Above 16.25: 17.80 - 19.60 - 21.40 - 23.45
Nikkei 225 (DEC) on a buy signal from 43400.
The Nikkei cancels its buy signal on an intraday close below 43875.
TLT – on a buy signal from 86.05.
TLT is trading near our 90.65 target and a close above it gives a next target of 91.20.
The buy signal gets cancelled on an intraday close below 87.00.
Gold (DEC) on a buy signal from 3419.
Gold re-tested its 3705 target and printed earlier today a new intraday high at 3736.97.
First pull-back level is 3708, followed by 3677 and 3654.
The buy signal gets cancelled on an intraday close below 3649.
Silver (DEC) on a buy signal from 38.50 (SEP).
Silver printed a new 52-week high at 43.23 and cancels its buy signal on an intraday close below 42.40.
Copper (DEC) on a buy signal from 4.57 (SEP)
Copper re-tested its 4.69 target and cancels its buy signal on an intraday close below 4.62.
Crude (OCT) on a buy signal from 63.40.
Crude gives a near-term upside target of 64.80 and cancels its buy signal on an intraday close below 61.70.
Nat Gas (OCT) on a buy signal from 3.04.
Nat Gas triggered earlier today again a buy signal, and we can see a re-test to 3.11 and above it towards 3.26.
The buy signal gets cancelled on an intraday close below 2.90.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a buy signal from 113.365.
BTC/USD gives a next upside target of 118.870 and cancels its buy signal on an intraday close below 112.290.
US Dollar Index (DEC) – on a sell signal from 96.85.
DX triggered a sell signal and gives a first downside target of 96.00.
The sell signal gets again cancelled on an intraday close above 97.05.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
#GMTT #Levels
GMTT – Daily Update – July 9, 2025
E-Mini S&P 500 (ES- SEP) – on a buy signal from 6056.
The ES held yesterday within its given trading range (6263 – 6301).
Today we keep the same range, and the buy signal gets cancelled on an intraday close below 6249.
Below 6263: 6249 – 6239 - 6217 – 6198 – 6187 – 6172 – 6164 – 6154 – 6147 - 6036.
Above 6301: 6309 – 6314 - 6322 – 6334 – 6360
VIX (Cash) on a sell signal from 16.35.
The VIX is trading this morning slightly below our 16.35 target and technically gave a short term sell signal.
That signal gets again cancelled on an intraday close above 17.80.
Above 17.80: 19.60 - 20.35 – 21.40 – 23.45
Nikkei 225 (SEP) on a sell signal from 40050.
The Nikkei reached an intraday high of 39992.50.
However, it failed to maintain that momentum as the trading session progressed.
To get a short-term buy signal, we need one better close above 39970.
TLT – on a buy signal from 84.85.
The buy signal gets cancelled on an intraday close below 85.00.
Gold (AUG) on a sell signal from 3319.
Gold reached our 3302 target and is now trading near our next target of 3286.
Below 3286 opens the move towards 3252 and the sell signal gets cancelled on an intraday close above 3336.
Silver (SEP) on a sell signal from 36.40.
Silver gives a near-term downside target of 36.05 and cancels its sell signal on an intraday close above 37.20.
Near-term downside target is 36.05.
Copper
Yesterday copper futures experienced an unprecedented move, rallying as much as 17% in just one day, the biggest jump seen in over thirty years.
This significant jump followed President Donald Trump's announcement of a staggering 50% tariff on copper imports.
A move that caught the market off guard, as many had anticipated a more moderate increase of around 25%.
The recent tariff announcement has plunged the copper market into a state of uncertainty and potential volatility.
Investors are keenly observing developments, as the elevated tariffs may drive up domestic prices and alter global trade patterns.
The implications of this decision could ripple through various commodities and sectors linked to copper's supply and demand.
This pivotal moment in the copper market underscores the rapid shifts in economic conditions and highlights the significant influence of policy decisions on market dynamics.
Copper (SEP)
The buy signal gets cancelled on an intraday close below 5.36.
Below 5.36: 5.29 – 5.21 – 5.11 – 4.93
Crude (AUG) on a buy signal from 66.30.
Crude reached our 68.80 target and projects a next upside target of 69.40 and above 70.20.
The buy signal gets cancelled on an intraday close below 66.00.
Nat Gas (AUG) on a buy signal from 3.46.
Nat Gas cancels again its buy signal on an intraday close below 3.21 and projects a first upside target of 3.56.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a buy signal from 105.820.
BTC/USD needs one better close above 109K to confirm its next leg up towards 111K.
The buy signal gets cancelled on an intraday close below 107.00.
US Dollar Index (SEP) on a sell signal from 98.45.
The Dollar Index needs a close above 97.90 to confirm a buy signal.
#GMTT #Levels
As we transition from the long weekend, it's important to remember that today is Tuesday (not Monday).
A short trading week filled with significant economic data releases which promises to be eventful.
The release of the FOMC meeting minutes, updates on tariffs, and various uncertainties could impact market dynamics.
Expect increased volatility as the influx of information is likely to lead to fluctuations in market sentiment.
Mini S&P 500 $ES -– back on a short term buy signal from 5852.
On Friday, the ES reached our target of 5770 before reversing, and it is currently trading above 5900 in the Globex market.
Since Friday's low, we have observed a significant recovery up to this morning (Tuesday).
The question remains: will this rally sustain itself, or is it merely a temporary rebound, often referred to as a "dead cat bounce"?
Our analysis suggests that it is indeed a fleeting recovery, and we anticipate that the ES will likely retest the 5770 level again (or lower) this week.
We are particularly eyeing a potential reversal zone between 5923 and 5944.
For a more bullish outlook, a close above 5952 would be necessary to pave the way for a test of 6008 and possibly higher levels.
For today's trading, we expect a range between 5864 and 5923.
Key resistance levels identified at 5944, 5952, 5967, 5981, 5994, and 6008.
The buy signal gets cancelled on an intraday close below 5864.
$VIX (Cash) on a buy signal from 20.35.
The VIX reached on Friday an intraday high of 25.53 and is now trading around 20.00.
A close below 19.80 triggers a short term sell signal and an intraday close above 21.00 confirms another test towards 25 and higher.
$Nikkei 225 (JUN) - on a buy signal from 37120.
The Nikkei gave again a buy signal and reached an intraday high of 37977.
The buy signal gets cancelled on an intraday close below 37300.
Near-term projected upside target 38175.
$TLT – on a sell signal from 84.20.
TLT needs an intraday close above 84.85 to cancel its sell signal.
Above 84.85 we get a first upside target of 85.60 then followed by 87.20 and 88.00.
$GC Gold (AUG) on a buy signal from 3270 (JUN).
Gold rolled over to the AUG contract, but JUN is still trading on the highest volume.
Currently the AUG contract trades $30 above the JUN contract.
The buy signal gets cancelled on an intraday close below 3268 (JUN) / 3298 (AUG)
#GMTT #Levels
GMTT – Daily Update – April 7, 2025
Mini S&P 500 (ES- JUN)
We anticipated a decline in the stock market, but the extent of the drop has taken us by surprise.
The current wave of losses seems excessive, and we are optimistic about a potential recovery or rally on the horizon.
However, with the VIX soaring to “60” and the stock market experiencing another dip of 5-6% at the time of this update, one might wonder how such a rebound could occur.
Our analysis indicates that the market is significantly oversold, presenting what could be a rare buying opportunity.
That said, we did not foresee the ES falling below 5270, and since it has, we are exercising caution in declaring that we have reached the bottom.
The next couple of days will be crucial in determining whether our outlook is accurate.
We are closely monitoring several bounce levels: 4996, 5033, 5088, 5136, 5270, 5418, and up to 5739.
Notably, Globex hit an intraday low of 4822, which represents a support level.
As long as this low holds, we remain hopeful for a bounce and a potential V-shaped recovery.
Technically the sell signal gets cancelled on an intraday close above 5136.
VIX (Cash) on a buy signal from 20.35.
The VIX reached earlier this morning an intraday high of 60.00!! and reversed slightly.
We expect to see a pull-back with the following levels to watch: 48.00 – 43.50 – 39.00 and 35.00.
An intraday close below 35.00 will be another indication that it is time to get slowly back into the market as a buyer.
On a technical level the VIX needs an intraday close below 28.00 to cancel its buy signal.
Nikkei 225 (JUN) - on a sell signal from 37300.
The Nikkei reached an intraday low of 30880 which is now down close to 20% from where we signalled a sell signal.
We are not getting lower targets for the near-term and here too we expect to see a bounce.
The bounce levels to watch for are: 32050 – 32750– 33480 – 34100.
An intraday close above 34100 cancels the sell signal.
TLT – on a buy signal from 89.70.
TLT reached our 93.00 target and projects a next upside target of 94.20 and above it we can see a move towards 96.00.
The buy signal gets cancelled on an intraday close below 91.00.
Gold (JUN) on a sell signal from 3121.
Gold reached an intraday low of 2987.40 and our projected target is 2970.
A close below 2970 projects a next leg lower and the sell signal gets cancelled on an intraday close above 3105.
#GMTT – Daily Update – April 4, 2025
Mini S&P 500 (ES- JUN)
The ES has successfully hit our target of 5398, and we are now eyeing a subsequent downside target of 5374, which is then followed by 5354 and 5272.
From a technical perspective, it appears that the ES is approaching a point where a tradable low may be established—at least for the time being—and we anticipate a potential bounce. T
he levels we are monitoring for this bounce include 5448, 5480, 5506, 5550, 5578, 5632, and 5706.
It is important to note that these levels represent potential bounce points, and only a close above 5706 would cancel the current sell signal.
VIX (Cash) on a buy signal from 20.35.
The VIX reached our 29.00 target and cancels its buy signal on an intraday close below 21.00.
Nikkei 225 (JUN) - on a sell signal from 37300.
The Nikkei is trying to find a low but needs a close above 34550 to cancels its sell signal.
TLT – on a buy signal from 89.70.
TLT still needs a close above 93.00 to confirm its next up-move.
The buy signal gets cancelled on an intraday close below 90.85.
Gold (JUN) on a sell signal from 3121.
Yesterday gold triggered our sell signal and reached our first projected downside target of 3080.
The next projected downside target is 3054 and the sell signal gets cancelled on an intraday close above 3160.
Silver (MAY) on a sell signal from 34.65.
Silver reached earlier this morning an intraday low of 31.50 and projects a next downside target of 31.05 and below it 30.65.
The sell signal gets cancelled on an intraday close above 33.80.
Copper (MAY) on a sell signal from 5.19.
Copper reached earlier today our 4.79 target and projects a next downside target of 4.72.
The sell signal gets cancelled on an hourly close above 4.96.
Below 4.72: 4.61 – 4.54 – 4.36
Crude (MAY) on a sell signal from 69.00.
Yesterday crude triggered a sell signal and reached earlier this morning an intraday low of 65.99.
Near-term projected downside target id 65.35 and below it 64.80.
The sell signal gets cancelled on an intraday close above 68.40.
Nat Gas (MAY) on a buy signal from 3.96.
Nat Gas cancels its buy signal on an intraday close below 3.92.
Below 3.92: 3.81 – 3.76 – 3.64
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a sell signal from 83750.
BTC/USD projects a first downside target of 80745 and cancels its sell signal on an hourly close above 85460.
Below 80745: 79050 - 77600 – 74300 – 71680 - 67000
US Dollar Index (JUN) on a sell signal from 103.60.
DX reached yesterday an intraday low of 100.97 and projects a next downside target of 100.30.
The sell signal gets cancelled on an intraday close above 103.50.
Have an enjoyable and relaxing weekend!
#GMTT – Daily #Levels Update – March 28, 2025
Mini S&P 500 (ES- JUN) on a sell signal from 5756.
We will keep today's update brief and to the point.
The ES reached our 5715 target and projects a next downside target of 5701.
Trading range for today: 5701 – 5756
The sell signal gets cancelled short term on an intraday close above 5808.
Below 5701: 5674 - 5648 – 5635 – 5586 - 5480
Above 5756: 5778 - 5794 - 5808 – 5830 – 5845 – 5860 – 5882 - 5920
Nikkei 225 (JUN) - on a sell signal from 37300.
The Nikkei reached an intraday low of 36752.50 and projects a next downside target of 36470.
The sell signal gets cancelled on an intraday close above 37200.
VIX (Cash) on a sell signal from 22.80.
The VIX cancels its sell signal on an intraday close above 20.35.
Gold (APR/JUN) on a buy signal from 3048.
There are no signs yet of any weakness and gold stays on a buy signal so long as there is no intraday close below 3058 (APR) / 3088 (JUN).
Silver (MAY) on a short term buy signal from 34.15.
Silver reached our 35.05 target and projects a next upside target of 35.60.
The buy signal gets cancelled on an intraday close below 34.65.
Copper (MAY) on a sell signal from 5.19.
Yesterday copper gave a sell signal, and our first projected downside target is 5.05.
The sell signal gets cancelled on an intraday close above 5.22.
Below 5.05: 4.96 - 4.87 - 4.83 - 4.79 - 4.72
Crude (MAY) on a buy signal from 67.00 (APR)
Crude reached our 70.00 target and projects a next upside target of 71.35.
The buy signal gets cancelled on an intraday close below 67.80.
Nat Gas (APR) on a sell signal from 4.09.
Nat Gas cancels its sell signal on an hourly close above 4.96 and projects a next downside target of 3.62.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a sell signal from 85360.
BTC/USD triggered again a sell signal and projects a first downside target of 82900.
The sell signal gets cancelled on an hourly close above 87105.
Below 82900: 80000 - 77600 – 74300 – 71680 - 67000
US Dollar Index (JUN) on a buy signal from 104.12.
DX projects a first upside target of 104.85 and stays on a buy signal so long as there is no intraday close below 103.60.
Have an enjoyable and relaxing weekend!
#Levels #GMTT
GMTT – Daily Update – December 9, 2024
Last week the some of the Indices and equities printed again all-time new highs led by the Magnificent seven and the Crypto mania.
Yes, the trend is your friend but on a technical perspective we should have seen at least a few healthy pullbacks to close some near-term gaps.
Also based on its inflection points that topped we would expect to see some “mild” corrections into mid-DEC.
What has not been can still come but we do suggest being cautious at the current levels on the long side.
Talking about Mania / Euphoria and some overbought stocks – there are many but for illustration we use Tesla, Meta and Netflix.
Tesla is trading near its all-time high and projects near-term downside targets of 367, 345 and 324.
Meta reached on Friday an all-time high and projects near-term downside targets of 594, 581, 564 and 545.
Netflix reached too an all-time high on Friday and projects near-term downside targets of 891, 879, 852 and 840.
Keep an eye on these three stocks this week if we move in the projected direction we are looking at a pull-back of minimal 100 ES points if not more.
Let the week unravel and see in the next days where the markets are heading, if I am right its South and if wrong then we need to go back to the drawing table.
As always levels are key and just as a reminder the ES is still on a buy signal and the VIX on a sell.
Mini S&P 500 (ES- DEC) on a short buy signal from 5964.
The ES reached on Friday 6111 close to our 6112 target.
The buy signal gets cancelled on a close below 6052.
Trading range for today: 6072 – 6094
Above 6094: 6105 - 6112
Below 6072: 6061 - 6052 – 6044 - 6032 – 6021 – 6006 – 5990 – 5978 – 5964 – 5942 – 5932 – 5918
VIX (Cash) on a short term sell signal from 14.90.
The VIX reached a low of 12.69 on Friday and a cancels its sell signal above 14.40.
Above 14.40: 15.20 – 16.70 – 18.35 – 19.60
Gold (FEB) on a sell signal from 2656.
Gold cancels its sell signal short term on a close above 2686.
Near-term projected downside targets: 2638 – 2624
Silver (MAR) on short term buy signal from 31.40.
Silver reached our 32.05 target and projects a next upside target of 32.65.
The buy signal gets cancelled on a close below 31.70.
Below 31.70: 31.40 - 30.95
Copper (MAR) on a short term buy signal from 4.17.
Copper reached 4.27 and its next projected upside target is 4.32.
The buy signal gets cancelled on a close below 4.21.
Crude (JAN) on a sell signal from 69.05.
Crude reached our 67.50 target and cancels its sell signal on a close above 70.20.
Next projected downside target is: 66.70.
Nat Gas (JAN) on a buy signal from 3.17.
Nat Gas triggered this morning our buy signal and its first projected upside target is 3.26.
The buy signal gets cancelled on a close below 3.16.
Above 3.26: 3.32
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a buy signal from 101.480.
On Friday BTC/USD triggered our short term buy signal which gets again cancelled below 97130.
We repeat that 78K is still the focus with a first projected downside target of 94068, then followed by 87044.
US Dollar Index (DEC) on a sell signal from 105.98
DX reached our 105.54 target, and its next projected downside target is 105.00.
The sell signal gets cancelled on a close above 106.15.
#GMTT $ES
E-Mini S&P 500 (ES- JUN)
We are now mid-APR, and it was our forecast in our April 1st Daily Update that the ES was going to roll-over.
This was based on its infection points, that topped, but also of what we outlined on the massive rally in Gold and Silver and the increased tension in the Middle East.
So far we can conclude that the ES reached an all-time high on March 29 at 5333.50 and has since shed 252 S&P points which is close to a 5% correction.
In overnight trading the ES reached remarkably close to our 5080 target.
A close below that projects lower targets – but for now we expect to see a bounce.
The sell signal from 5209 gets cancelled on a close above 5138.
Trading range for today is: 5080 – 5115.
Above 5115: 5138 – 5156 – 5184 – 5209 – 5228 – 5246 … 5305.
Below 5080: 5072 – 5052 – 5036 – 5010.
#GMTT
E-Mini S&P 500 (ES- JUN)
The ES reached 5327 and the next projected upside target is 5335 followed by 5346.
Trading range for today: 5292 – 5335.
Below 5292: 5286 – 5270 - 5258 - 5237 – 5220 - 5209 – 5196 – 5189 - 5174
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