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US-Iran tensions ramping up again... Iran demanding the US to lift the maritime blockade before any talks, calling it piracy.
Vance still in DC, Hezbollah rockets just violated the ceasefire...
That risk-off + stronger dollar vibe is putting pressure on $AUDUSD and $GBPUSD right now.
Holding both carefully with tight stops or BE... This could be a short term flip.... until de-escalation and price will reprice back in.
You seeing the same?
Drop it 👇
Weekly Pairs I'm looking at ☕️
Pinned for open discussion + live updates.
Another Long week I guess... I did cut to 2 pairs only as I just target 6%+ Gain weekly😎#Forex #Macro #IMD
Never forget: "A master of Patience is a master of all skills"
Lets take a look at my pairs for this week:
$AUDUSD Long - $AUD straight up stronger on growth + has a nice rate advantage over the US, Also $AUD is backed by Australia’s solid 2.6% GDP growth compared to the US which slowed sharply to just 0.5%.
On top of that $AUD rates at 4.1% vs US at 3.75% gives decent carry for holding $AUD long.
Inflation and unemployment are pretty matched on both sides, consumers are soft everywhere, but Australia’s overall growth edge and higher rates make the long look attractive and favors staying long until one side starts cutting harder...
$GBPUSD Long - $GBP holding up better than the struggling US... Also $GBP has a steadier look with PMIs slightly above 50 and unemployment stable at 5.2%, while the USD is weighed down by very weak US GDP at 0.5% and consumer sentiment down at 47.6.
For this pair rates are pretty similar now but the relative growth and stability picture still favors $GBP "mildly" on the long side... It’s not a blowout edge but enough to keep the quiet positive tilt for longs on any USD softness.
#Quick Broader Market Environment View: The week ahead looks interesting... US retail sales drop Tuesday, then Eurozone/UK PMI and Lagarde speech on Thursday.
Overall sentiment stays optimistic on de-escalation and earnings, keeping risk appetite decent and VIX low😅this should support $AUD and $GBP.... Still some caution if geopolitics flare or gold/yen grab safe-haven flows.
#Quick Thoughts on the week ahead: Pairs still looks solid, lets ride them to the moon...
#Tip: Good window to hold or add to $AUDUSD / $GBPUSD longs on any small USD dips, especially if retail sales or PMIs come softer than expected.
#OnTheSide: Fundamentals back these pairs and price has respected the recent risk-on moves.... But forex is momentum + expectations and geopolitics or hotter than expected data can flip the script fast, Pay attention to that.
Sticking to the process as always. New week, clean slate!
Drop your charts, setups and Updates right here.
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O Mary conceived without original sin...
Pray for us!
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Today’s challenge:
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Wrong answers only:
How did you come to work today?
Our people said what they said 😂
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Wrong answers only:
How did you come to work today?
Our people said what they said 😂
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