Top Tweets for #RateSpike
Not now, bank
#RateSpike
The Fed raises interest rates for the first time in 22 years.
https://t.co/6VmEZdFW6C
#interestrate #ratespike #bww #business #businessworldwire
The Dollar and Stocks have moved like a mirror image since March.
Their correlation has collapsed to near the most negative in history.
In a liquidity-driven market, the biggest risk could be *any* drop in liquidity triggering a USD rally – more than ever, watch it like a hawk.
That’s what I’m talking about!
(To clients anyway) 👇😉
$TIP $TLT $TNX
#RateSpike
Inflation Matters...
U.S CORE CPI (MOM) (JUL) ACTUAL: 0.6% VS 0.2% PREVIOUS; EST 0.2%
U.S CORE CPI (YOY) (JUL) ACTUAL: 1.6% VS 1.1% PREVIOUS; EST 1.2%
That's $40 billion to $100 billion per *month*
At its peak, the Fed was doing $75 billion a *day*
$DXY 13/200dma bear cross happening today ⚠️ ... $TNX rising again. Reiterating correlation appears to have flipped back here and supportive of a #RateSpike
$TLT $EURUSD $USDJPY $GC_F $GLD $GDX $GDXJ $EEM $SPY $SPX $ES_F $VIX
𝗗𝗼𝗹𝗹𝗮𝗿 𝗗𝗮𝗶𝗹𝘆: $DXY wasn't able to lose 97.20 area and bullish divergence suggested bounce. Looks like its going to run into Dec #FOMC. Has been in sync with $TNX of late #RateSpike
$EURUSD $USDJPY $GC_F $GLD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $JNUG $DUST $JDST $EEM $SPY $SPX $ES_F $VIX
$TNX going with the straight up breakout not pictured 😂
#RateSpike $TLT $ZN_F $GLD $GC_F $SPY $ES_F $QQQ $NQ_F $DXY
$TNX paths with correlated $ES_F levels
Best 3-day move for European banks since April 2017.
@Simple_Trends Hola please find the unroll here: Thread by @Simple_Trends: "Rate cut odds: Rate cut still "guaranteed", with a 22.5% odds of a 50 bp rate cutThis doesn't resemble ANYTHING I have […]" #ratespike https://t.co/AF4EmU6FCp
Share this if you think it's interesting. 🤖
why stocks are selling off in one chart:
5Y real rates poised for biggest advance since 4/20/18
Fascinating, shorted $TLT last Wednesday when my #RateSpike thesis started to kick in. We had a powerful 3-day move. $TNX
I just read JPMorgan initiated a tactical short in 10Y TSY Tuesday (without specifying a target or a stop). 👈
#ReflationTradeRedux
Three days does not a Trend Reversal make, but still... $TNX
Said another way, my chosen narrative supports a further #RateSpike. Then #VolatilitySpike caused by $USDollarSpike which causes $EEM to panic + $SPX to sell off.
Wrote about timing a mo ago for clients: #IdesOfMarch
100% Agree
Or said another way, I need a narrative to justify what I see in the charts. #RateSpike
No China deal - equities tank.
Yes China deal - bonds tank so equities tank.
And here’s why:
Volatility in U.S. government debt is the foundation block for all other volatility.
100% Agree
Or said another way, I need a narrative to justify what I see in the charts. #RateSpike
No China deal - equities tank.
Yes China deal - bonds tank so equities tank.
And here’s why:
Volatility in U.S. government debt is the foundation block for all other volatility.
Political Sanctions and OPEC Cuts aside, these are the...
Top Five Reasons Oil Can Spike
1. USD Falls
2. Commodity Rotation (Relatively Cheap)
3. China Buys
4. Global Oversupply Reduced
5. Global Demand Increases
The usual reasons.
Others include:
#RateSpike
#ShortCovering
@Xiphos_Trading Remember when 10 yr and lumber traveled together… I’m going out on a limb + saying this may be A Tell for a #RateSpike
$TNX
4 days ago I called a #USDspike...
What happened today? 😉
With $USDJPY selling off then market...all while Long Gold. ‼️
Quick Review:
1st I called a #RateSpike 2.8-3.2
Then #OilSpike $70-77
Now #USDspike ...
Don’t you think you might Trade better with me than without me?
@TraderUnicorn @seeitmarket It’s never so easy or everyone would do it. At the same time I am bullish Gold…I see an inflection point in a brief, impactful #USDspike
This $DXY move could start next wk. $USDJPY lower. Thinking out loud: then when $UUP reverses hard, it could be ‘too late’ to buy Gold. $GDXJ
Realized ROI since last Wednesday's #RateSpike call to short the market:
> CHASE: +195%
> SWING: +142%
https://t.co/iu5sXZdf1Y
$2.6 Trillion Lost in Global Stock Markets This Week
China is down 30% going into next week’s economic data
No mention below in the real cause of correction: Velocity of #RateSpike that triggered EM panic + Credit Stress.
$VIX +120% from my PSA 😉
https://t.co/0lJp8Zrbci
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