Top Tweets for #RushingExpectation
A lot of people have been asking about #RushingExpectation.
I've decided to retire the series (for now?), due to the time commitment it requires to chart each running back.
Something HUGE is taking up all of my time this off-season. Official #announcement just a few weeks away.
Alvin Kamara #RushingExpectation
90th percentile Expectation Score 0-4 air yards, where he saw by far the most
amount of volume (44.7%).
That said, 22.8% of his targets were still 5 or MORE air yards, which bests players like McCaffrey.
Full breakdown: https://t.co/weFUgMt9EK
Kerryon Johnson #RushingExpectation
He ranked in the 90th and 81st percentile in regards to the two segments he saw the most targets.
On the ground, he finished in the 83rd percentile up the gut, where he received 41.5% of his carries.
Full Breakdown: https://t.co/nqPLsxe70n
David Johnson #RushingExpectation
Clear mismatch in space... it's only natural he was rammed into LOS as much as possible (72.5% of attempts came through the middle) π€¦
*96th percentile Expectation Score on targets 5 or more air yards.
Full Breakdown: https://t.co/NwHEJmQnYj
Damien Williams #RushingExpectation
About as bullish as it gets.. in a small sample π―
99th percentile 2nd Level Yards per attempt.
96th % Big Play Rate per attempt.
99th % Big Play Rate per target.
90th % Yards After Catch per reception.
Full Breakdown:https://t.co/yNx5ia5wOo
Saquon Barkley #RushingExpectation
84th and 89th percentile average time behind the LOS and big play rate per attempt, respectively.
Neither stat is adjusted for offensive line play. This is bullish in an incredibly poor environment.
Full breakdown: https://t.co/GJBS71RuyQ
Joe Mixon #RushingExpectation
ELITE efficiency as a receiver:
2017- 96th percentile targets behind LOS.
2018- 91st%
IMPROVED on the ground:
2017- 20th percentile.
2018- 67th%
2017- 31st percentile big plays per attempt.
2018- 99th%
π
Full Breakdown: https://t.co/dSTExfnYlj
Christian McCaffrey #RushingExpectation
2017- 77th percentile Expectation Score (o-line adjusted efficiency), through the air.
2018- 94th, ON MASSIVE VOLUME.
2017- 75th percentile Big Play Rate per attempt.
2018- 95th
ππ
Full Breakdown: https://t.co/vzGgiQr4N2
Phillip Lindsay #RushingExpectation
His overall efficiency of a 49% success rate on the ground is very good... after adjusting for his offensive line, however, it's far less less impressive.
Full Breakdown: https://t.co/ge8xW3nTlM
Aaron Jones #RushingExpectation
His 61st and 58th percentile on the ground and through the air, respectively,
may look modest.
However, his expected success rate behind the GB run-blocking was sky high. His raw SR of 54% is very elite.
Full Breakdown: https://t.co/BN7MejnVCx
Austin Ekeler #RushingExpectation
Saw a huge chunk of his targets BEHIND the LOS, where he was much more efficient than Melvin Gordon (71st percentile versus 23rd) in terms of Expectation Score through the air.
Full Breakdown: https://t.co/UBtOCVNo34
Saquon Barkley #RushingExpectation
84th and 89th percentile average time behind the LOS and big play rate per attempt, respectively.
Neither stat is adjusted for offensive line play. This is bullish in an incredibly poor environment.
Full breakdown: https://t.co/GJBS71RuyQ
Tarik Cohen #RushingExpectation
24.7% of targets were 5 or more air yards, his highest Expectation Score for any area of the field (77th percentile). Deep targets are valuable in Fantasy Football.
Volume is the main concern, for meπ
Full Breakdown: https://t.co/UVJSjybn3i
James Conner #RushingExpectation
Faced 8+ defenders in the box at a 70th percentile frequency in 2018.
90th % Big Play Rate per attempt.
83rd % 2nd level yards per attempt.
89th % Yards After Catch per reception.
π
Full Breakdown: https://t.co/VmrapUpGW0
James Conner #RushingExpectation
Faced 8+ defenders in the box at a 70th percentile frequency in 2018.
90th % Big Play Rate per attempt.
83rd % 2nd level yards per attempt.
89th % Yards After Catch per reception.
π
Full Breakdown: https://t.co/VmrapUpGW0
Dalvin Cook #RushingExpectation
It's tough to look past a 9th percentile Expectation Score (o-line adjusted efficiency) on the ground.
The scheme (Gary Kubiak) and '19 o-line changes should help, and 3-down backs always have value in FF.
Full Breakdown: https://t.co/rx3edelq5L
David Johnson #RushingExpectation
Clear mismatch in space... it's only natural he was rammed into LOS as much as possible (72.5% of attempts came through the middle) π€¦
*96th percentile Expectation Score on targets 5 or more air yards.
Full Breakdown: https://t.co/NwHEJmQnYj
Damien Williams #RushingExpectation
About as bullish as it gets.. in a small sample π―
99th percentile 2nd Level Yards per attempt.
96th % Big Play Rate per attempt.
99th % Big Play Rate per target.
90th % Yards After Catch per reception.
Full Breakdown:https://t.co/yNx5ia5wOo
Mark Ingram #RushingExpectation
Expectation Score (o-line adjusted efficiency) Rushing
2016- 72nd percentile
2017- 13th %
2018- 42nd %
Stuff Rate
2016- 72nd %
2017- 39th %
2018- 16nd %
Receiving
2016- 91st %
2017- 46th %
2018- 12th %
π
Full Breakdown: https://t.co/wtRQRy0ni3
Alvin Kamara #RushingExpectation
90th percentile Expectation Score 0-4 air yards, where he saw by far the most
amount of volume (44.7%).
That said, 22.8% of his targets were still 5 or MORE air yards, which bests players like McCaffrey.
Full breakdown: https://t.co/weFUgMt9EK
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