Top Tweets for #SessionPrep

3 days ago

Morning Juice – #US #SessionPrep (5th June) June 5, 2026 Sentiment The dollar fell against all Group-of-10 peers while Treasury yields dipped ahead of a key US jobs report, with traders maintaining bets on a Fed rate hike this year and pricing about a 70% chance of a quarter-point move. Docket 08:30 ET US Employment Situation for May Nonfarm Payrolls – Forecast: 88k | Prior: 115k | Range: 125k / 45k Unemployment Rate – Forecast: 4.3% | Prior: 4.3% | Range: 4.5% / 4.2% Average Earnings YoY – Forecast: 3.4% | Prior: 3.6% | Range: 3.6% / 3.3% US Private Payrolls – Forecast 89k | Prior 123k | Range 135k / 40k Canadian Employment Report for May Canadian Employment Change – Forecast: 10k | Prior -17.7k | Range 30k / -13k Canadian Unemployment Rate – Forecast: 6.9% | Prior 6.9% | Range 7% / 6.8% Speakers 09:40 ET BoE’s Dhingra delivers a speech at University College London. 14:00 ET BoE’S Governor Bailey speaks in a conversation with Ed Balls and Stephanie Flanders at the 250th Anniversary of the Wealth of Nations in Kirkcaldy, Scotland. Good luck, and have a good weekend!

233

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

4 days ago

Morning Juice – #US #SessionPrep (4th June) June 4, 2026 Sentiment Global equities pulled back as investors started to question whether the AI-driven rally had become too stretched, with Broadcom’s outlook acting as the trigger. Nasdaq futures fell more sharply than the broader market after Broadcom dropped in premarket trading because its AI semiconductor revenue outlook failed to clear very high expectations. The weakness spread across tech, with CrowdStrike also falling despite raising revenue guidance, which shows how demanding the setup has become for AI-linked names. The bigger message is not that the AI story is broken, but that expectations had become extremely elevated after such a powerful run to record highs. Investors are starting to take some profit, and the rally is being tested now that simply good results are no longer enough. Outside tech, oil easing helped a bit, Treasuries stabilised, and the dollar softened slightly, but the broader tone still reflected weaker risk appetite, with Bitcoin also extending its decline. Docket 08:30 ET US Weekly Jobless Claims Initial Claims – Forecast: 215k | Prior: 215k | Range: 225K / 192K Continued Claims – Forecast: 1.78M | Prior: 1.786M | Range: 1.8M / 1.733M Speakers 08:30 ET Fed’s Barkin [FOMC Non-Voting Member] speaks in a Fireside Chat at the Belmont Country Club. Text: No. Q&A: Yes, moderator and audience 10:00 ET Fed’s Bowman [FOMC Voting Member] testifies before the House Financial Services Committee at a hearing on oversight of prudential regulators. Text: Yes. Q&A: Yes, lawmakers. 10:00 ET US Treasury Sec. Bessent Testifies to Congress 11:40 ET BoE’s Governor Bailey delivers a speech at the Investment Association annual conference. 13:10 ET Fed’s Daly [FOMC Non-Voting Member] participates in a conversation at the Bloomberg Technology Summit, moderated by Caroline Hyde. Text: No. Q&A: Yes, moderated. 15:00 ET Trump makes an Announcement on Coal Good luck!

113

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

4 days ago

Morning Juice – #Europe #SessionPrep June 4, 2026 Good Morning Traders. It is Thursday, the 4th of June. Here is what to look out for today. Sentiment Oil prices slipped after three consecutive sessions of gains as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East showed signs of easing. Israel and Lebanon agreed to a ceasefire, contingent on Hezbollah also halting hostilities, removing a key obstacle in broader negotiations between Washington and Tehran. The development reduced some of the risk premium embedded in energy markets and weighed on crude prices. Geopolitical concerns remained in focus, though Trump downplayed the threat posed by Iranian sea mines in the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping. His comments contrasted with warnings from other US officials, who have continued to highlight potential risks to one of the world’s most important energy transit routes. In monetary policy developments, Lorie Logan said Fed officials may need to raise interest rates later this year if inflation fails to move sustainably back toward the central bank’s 2% target. The remarks reinforced the possibility that US policy could remain restrictive for longer than markets currently anticipate. Meanwhile, fund flow data showed UK investors rotated out of cash funds and into bonds during the previous month. The move was driven by elevated bond yields, which have increased the attractiveness of fixed-income investments relative to cash holdings. The combination of easing geopolitical tensions, persistent inflation concerns, and shifting investor positioning highlights the competing forces currently shaping global markets. While lower oil prices may offer some relief for inflation expectations, central bank officials continue to signal caution over declaring victory against price pressures. Docket 02:30 ET Swiss CPI YoY Median Forecast: 0.7% | Prior: 0.6% | Range: 1% / 0.3% Swiss CPI MoM Median Forecast: 0.3% | Prior: 0.3% | Range: 0.5% / 0.2% Speakers 04:00 ET ECB’s Lagarde Speaks in Aix-en-Provence

125

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

5 days ago

Morning Juice – #US #SessionPrep (3rd June) June 3, 2026 Sentiment US equity futures edged slightly lower after a strong AI-led rally pushed major indices to record highs. The move higher has remained heavily concentrated in technology and semiconductor stocks, with AI-related names continuing to outperform while much of the broader market has lagged. That leaves the rally looking powerful at the index level, but still quite narrow underneath the surface. The more immediate risk is the renewed rise in oil. Brent climbed back above $98 a barrel as tensions in the Middle East threatened the fragile US-Iran ceasefire, pushing bond yields higher as investors reconsider the inflation outlook. The dollar also firmed modestly, while markets continued to watch diplomatic developments alongside ongoing military activity. The broader market is now caught between strong AI momentum on one side and rising energy prices and yields on the other. Docket 08:15 ET US ADP Employment Change for May Forecast: 120k | Prior: 109k | Range: 145k / 57k 09:45 ET US S&P Services PMI May Final Forecast: 51 | Prior: 50.9 | Range: 54.4 / 50.9 10:00 ET US ISM Services PMI for May Services – Forecast: 53.8 | Prior: 53.6 | Range: 54.9 / 52 Prices Paid – Forecast: 72.3 | Prior: 70.7 | Range: 75 / 68 Employment – Forecast: 49 | Prior: 48 | Range: 50 / 47 10:00 ET US Factory Orders for April Forecast: 4.6% | Prior: 1.5% | Range: 6% / 0.5% 10:30 ET US Weekly EIA Crude Oil Inventories Forecast: -3M | Prior: -3.327M | Range: -2M / -4.789M 14:00 ET Fed’s Beige Book Speakers 09:00 ET Fed’s Barr speaks in a Moderated Discussion Community Development Bankers Association (CDBA) Peer Forum 2026 Text: No. Q&A: Yes, moderator. 09:30 ET ECB’s Cipollone gives an introductory statement at a hearing on the digital euro before the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs of the European Parliament in Brussels, Belgium. The text will be made available on the ECB’s website. 10:00 ET US Treasury Sec. Bessent Testifies to Congress. 16:00 ET Fed’s Logan [FOMC Voting Member] participates in a moderated conversation at the University of Texas at El Paso. Text: No. Q&A: Yes, moderator Earnings 16:15 ET Broadcom Q2 2026 Earnings Est. EPS: $2.39 Est. Rev: $22.1B Good luck!

201

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

5 days ago

Morning Juice – #Europe #SessionPrep June 3, 2026 Good Morning Traders. It is Wednesday the 3rd of June. Here is what to look out for today. Sentiment Japan’s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reiterated that authorities are prepared to respond to foreign exchange moves as needed at any time, in comments that came as the yen weakened to levels near where authorities intervened to prop it up in late April. Oil rose for a third day on pessimism over the prospects of the US and Iran reaching a peace deal and as fresh fighting flared up in the Middle East. Japan’s cabinet approved a $19.4 billion extra budget to fund measures meant to cushion households from inflation tied to Middle East turbulence, putting fiscal policy back in the spotlight for bond investors. Andy Burnham canceled a call with hedge fund managers this week that was due to discuss fiscal policy and the bond market, as the would-be UK premier continued his campaign to win a seat in Parliament. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has hired conservative policy analysts Paul Winfree and Daniel Heil as temporary advisers, according to people familiar with the matter. China’s capital controls remain among the world’s strictest. Individuals are generally limited to transferring $50,000 overseas each year, while emigrants are given a one-time opportunity to move their assets abroad. Docket 03:50 ET French PMI’s Services – Forecast: 42.9 | Prior: 42.9 | Range: 43.6 / 42.9 Composite – Forecast: 43.5 | Prior: 43.5 | Range: 44 / 43.5 03:55 ET German PMI’s Services – Forecast: 47.8 | Prior: 47.8 | Range: 47.8 / 47.8 Composite – Forecast: 48.6 | Prior: 48.6 | Range: 48.6 / 48 04:00 ET Eurozone PMI’s Services – Forecast: 46.4 | Prior: 46.4 | Range: 47.2 / 46.4 Composite – Forecast: 47.5 | Prior: 47.5 | Range: 48.3 / 47.5 04:30 ET UK PMI’s Services – Forecast: 47.9 | Prior: 47.9 | Range: 48.9 / 47.9 Composite – Forecast: 48.5 | Prior: 48.5 | Range: 49.5 / 48.5 05:00 ET Eurozone PPI YoY – Forecast: 4.9% | Prior: 2.1% | Range: 5% / 2.8% MoM – Forecast: 0.6% | Prior: 3.4% | Range: 1.5% / 0.4%

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

6 days ago

Morning Juice – #US #SessionPrep (2nd June) June 2, 2026 Sentiment The US equity rally paused after the S&P 500’s longest winning streak in more than a year, as investors weighed continued AI enthusiasm against uncertainty around the Middle East conflict. Futures slipped slightly after eight straight gains, but tech remained a clear support, with Marvell jumping in premarket trade after Jensen Huang said it could become the next trillion-dollar company. More broadly, the market is still being pulled higher by AI optimism even as the geopolitical backdrop remains unresolved. Oil eased back after a sharp run higher, with Brent down 1% to around $94 a barrel as Trump said he was still optimistic about securing an interim peace agreement with Iran within a week. But Tehran’s threat to suspend negotiations shows how fragile that outlook remains, and markets still have to price a wide range of possibilities, from a sharp drop in crude if talks progress to a renewed push higher if the conflict worsens. Treasuries recovered modestly, the dollar was little changed, and the broader market tone suggests investors are still trying to balance strong AI-driven risk appetite with the unresolved energy and inflation risks coming from the Middle East. Docket 10:00 ET US JOLTS Job Openings for April Forecast: 6.865M | Prior: 6.866M | Range: 7.05M / 6.7M Speakers 08:30 ET Fed’s Hammack [FOMC Voting Member] speaks on monetary policy in a moderated Q&A at The City Club of Cleveland Text: Yes. Q&A: Yes, audience. 09:35 ET ECB’s Vujcic gives online remarks at an Icelandic conference on the occasion of the publication of the report by Catherine Mann on Iceland’s currency options. No text will be made available 10:00 ET BoE’s Gov. Bailey appears in a hearing with the House of Lords Economic Affairs Committee. 11:00 ET BoE’s Greene delivers a speech on “assessing the inflation risks from the recent energy shocks” at the University of Derby Business School. A text will be released at 16:00 UK time. 11:00 ET ECB’s Sleijpen speaks in an annual appearance in parliament in The Hague for a hearing on financial stability 14:00 ET US Secretary of State Rubio Testifies on The Budget. Good luck!

185

Anglabyte Studio Africa @anglabytestudio

6 days ago

A good session starts with a good conversation. Before a mic goes up we ask the artist what this record needs to feel like. Not sound like. Feel like. That answer shapes every technical decision that follows. 🎙 #StudioLife #BehindTheScenes #SessionPrep

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

7 days ago

Morning Juice – #US #SessionPrep (1st June) June 1, 2026 Sentiment Stocks extended their advance, with US futures pointing to fresh record highs after a strong May rally led by chipmakers and broader AI enthusiasm. Microsoft rose in premarket trade as software shares gained after Jensen Huang played down fears that AI will disrupt the sector, while Nvidia also moved higher on news of its planned expansion into the PC market. Strong earnings and upbeat business guidance continue to support the rally, with the semiconductor index on track for its strongest quarter on record. At the same time, oil prices rebounded, with Brent rising 3% to nearly $94 a barrel as uncertainty persisted around any lasting US-Iran agreement and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Bonds also weakened, with the 10-year Treasury yield moving higher. Markets are still looking for confirmation that negotiations are progressing, especially after renewed regional escalation involving Hezbollah, Iran, and the US over the weekend. Even so, for now, the equity market is still leaning more heavily on AI momentum and earnings strength than on the geopolitical risk backdrop. Docket 09:45 ET US S&P Manufacturing PMI May Final Forecast: 55.3 | Prior: 55.3 | Range: 55.4 / 55 10:00 ET US ISM Manufacturing PMI for May Forecast: 53.2 | Prior: 52.7 | Range: 53.5 / 52.5 Speakers 12:00 ET  BoC Senior Deputy Governor Rogers will appear before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Public Accounts. The Senior Deputy Governor will be accompanied by Coralia Bulhoes, Chief Financial Officer and Managing Director of Financial Services. No remarks will be published on the Bank’s website. Good luck!

269

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

7 days ago

Morning Juice – #Europe #SessionPrep June 1, 2026 Good Morning Traders. It is Monday the 1st of June. Here is what to look out for today. Sentiment The US and Iran traded messages over the weekend seeking changes to a draft agreement that would extend a ceasefire and open the Strait of Hormuz, but it was unclear whether the sides were making much progress. Oil rose from a six-week low Bond traders are looking to the monthly jobs figures this week to confirm their wagers that the US economy is strong enough to push the Federal Reserve to lift interest rates by next year. Yen traders face a heightened risk of intervention over the next two weeks after Japan’s currency defied historic attempts to prop it up. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer will be forced to publish hundreds of private exchanges between disgraced former ambassador Peter Mandelson and members of his government on Monday, disclosures which are likely to put his beleaguered premiership in further danger. The European Central Bank shouldn’t hesitate to act, given elevated consumer-price pressures, according to Governing Council member Alvaro Santos Pereira. “When there are potential inflationary spirals, I prefer that we act more quickly and decisively” Docket 02:00 ET German Real Retail Sales YoY – Forecast: -1.6% | Prior: 0.9% | Range: -1% / -3% MoM – Forecast: -0.5% | Prior: -2% | Range: 1% / -1% UK Nationwide House Prices YoY – Forecast: 2.3% | Prior: 3% | Range: 2.5% / 1.9% MoM – Forecast: -0.2% | Prior: 0.4% | Range: 0.1% / -0.5% 03:00 ET Swiss GDP QoQ – Forecast: 0.6% | Prior: 0.1% | Range: 0.7% / 0.1% YoY – Forecast: 0.4% | Prior: 0.7% | Range: 0.5% / 0.3% 03:50 ET French Manufacturing PMI Forecast: 48.9 | Prior: 48.9 | Range: 49.1 / 48.9 03:55 ET German Manufacturing PMI Forecast: 49.9 | Prior: 49.9 | Range: 50.1 / 49.9 04:00 ET Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Forecast: 51.4 | Prior: 51.4 | Range: 51.6 / 50.5 04:30 ET UK Manufacturing PMI Forecast: 53.7 | Prior: 53.7 | Range: 53.8 / 53.6

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

about 2 months ago

Morning Juice – #Europe #SessionPrep April 14, 2026 Good Morning Traders. It is Tuesday the 14th of April. Here is what to look out for today. Sentiment President Donald Trump began a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a move intended to raise pressure on Tehran, even as the two countries are weighing another round of talks in hopes of cementing a longer-term ceasefire. Australian consumer and business confidence tumbled as soaring fuel prices coupled with another interest-rate increase triggered dramatic falls in both readings. Oil dropped on signs Washington and Tehran may revive peace talks following the start of a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz China’s export growth slowed sharply in March from previous months, reflecting intensifying strains on the world’s No. 2 economy as the war in Iran upends global energy supply Australia’s central bank will need to set interest rates at a level that brings inflation back to the 2-3% target. Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser said, adding the board doesn’t have “high confidence” that they’re there yet. Japan’s 20-year government bond auction drew its strongest demand since 2019 as elevated yields attracted investors despite the continuing conflict in the Middle East Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said the energy shock triggered by the Iran war has yet to impact longer-run inflation expectations, and he expects price pressures to return to the central bank’s target in a year’s time. Docket 04:00 ET IEA Monthly Report

169

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

about 2 months ago

Morning Juice – #US #SessionPrep (13th April) April 13, 2026 Sentiment Oil prices moved back above $100 a barrel after weekend US-Iran peace talks stalled and Trump authorised a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Brent jumped 7.7% to above $101, while S&P 500 futures pointed 0.6% lower at the open. Bonds recovered some of their initial losses, with the two-year Treasury yield rising 2bps to 3.82%, the dollar gained 0.3% for its biggest rise in almost a week, and gold was slightly lower at $4,710 an ounce. Oil and gas flows through the Strait remain a central market focus, with new US restrictions on vessels calling at Iranian ports threatening to intensify the global energy shock. Even so, the relatively modest pullback in risk assets suggests investors are still holding onto the view that some form of resolution remains possible. At the same time, the renewed jump in crude, combined with a strong March US CPI print, is pushing bond markets back toward an inflation focus. Japan’s 10-year yield briefly hit its highest level since 1997 before easing, European government bonds posted moderate losses, and US money markets are now pricing less than a one-in-five chance of a rate cut by December. Docket No noteworthy economic indicators Speakers & Events 08:15 ET ECB’s de Guindos speaks at the 4th “Wake Up, Spain” symposium organised by El Español, Invertia and D+I (Disruptores e Innovadores) in Madrid, Spain. No text will be made available. 09:00 ET BoE’s Taylor speaks at the PSE-BdF Conference on International Macroeconomics in Historical Perspective. Good Luck!

102

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

4 months ago

Morning Juice – #Europe #SessionPrep February 23, 2026 Good Morning Traders. It is Monday the 23rd of February. Here is what to look out for today. Sentiment Senior US officials said President Donald Trump’s tariff defeat at the Supreme Court won’t unravel deals negotiated with US partners as they sought to defend the administration’s assertive trade policies. In a swift reversal of fortunes, countries that had been hardest hit by US President Donald Trump’s tariffs have emerged as the biggest winners from the Supreme Court’s decision to strike down his emergency levies. Oil fell as investors weighed the odds of a nuclear deal between the US and Iran, with more negotiations on the issue expected later this week as American forces mass in the Middle East. New Zealand retail sales increased more than economists expected in the fourth quarter, suggesting the economic recovery maintained its momentum in the final months of 2025 Docket 04:00 ET German IFO’s Expectations – Forecast: 90 | Prior: 89.5 | Range: 91 / 88 Business Climate – Forecast: 88.3 | Prior: 87.6 | Range: 90.5 / 87.8 Current Conditions – Forecast: 86.2 | Prior: 85.7 | Range: 87.5 / 85.8

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

4 months ago

Morning Juice – #Europe #SessionPrep February 11, 2026 Good Morning Traders. It is Wednesday the 11th of February. Here is what to look out for today. Sentiment Australia’s central bank Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser warned that inflation is still “too high” and remains a significant challenge for the interest-rate setting board, which can’t allow it to go on much longer. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said interest rates could be on an extended hold while officials evaluate incoming economic data China’s factory deflation eased more than expected in January, as downward pressure on prices moderates thanks to higher commodity costs and government efforts to rein in excessive competition among companies. The US House on Tuesday passed a bill that would seek to exclude China from global financial institutions if it were to threaten Taiwan and pose a danger to American interests. Oil gained as tensions in the Middle East focused on Iran outweighed a US industry report that pointed to a big rise in stockpiles

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

4 months ago

Morning Juice – #Europe #SessionPrep January 30, 2026 Good Morning Traders. It is Friday the 30th of January. Here is what to look out for today. Sentiment The Trump administration is preparing for the president to nominate Kevin Warsh to be the next Federal Reserve chair, according to people familiar with the matter. President Donald Trump said Thursday he plans to announce his pick to lead the US central bank on Friday morning. Tokyo’s pace of inflation cooled more than expected and a gauge of consumer spending was weaker than consensus, backing the Bank of Japan’s gradual approach to raising interest rates without necessarily derailing it from that pursuit. President Donald Trump said he would charge a 50% tariff on aircraft from Canada sold in the US and decertify all planes made in that country until Ottawa agreed to approve certain jets made by Gulfstream, a unit of General Dynamics Corp. The UK promised greater access to Chinese markets for Britain’s services sector, including visa-free travel, after Prime Minister Keir Starmer and President Xi Jinping agreed in Beijing to build a more stable relationship. US President Donald Trump authorized his administration to slap tariffs on goods from countries that provide oil to Cuba, tightening the squeeze on the communist-run government he wants to see replaced. Docket 01:30 ET French GDP QoQ – Forecast: 0.2% | Prior: 0.5% | Range: 0.4% / 0% YoY – Forecast: 1.2% | Prior: 0.9% | Range: 1.3% / 0.9% 03:55 ET German Unemployment Rate – Forecast: 6.3% | Prior: 6.3% | Range: 6.4% / 6.3% Change – Forecast: 3K | Prior: 3K | Range: 25K / 0K 04:00 ET German GDP QoQ – Forecast: 0.2% | Prior: 0% | Range: 0.4% / 0.1% YoY – Forecast: 0.4% | Prior: 0.3% | Range: 0.5% / 0.2% ECB CPI Expectations 04:30 ET BoE Consumer Credit Forecast: 1.7B | Prior: 2.1B | Range: 2.3B / 1.5B 05:00 ET Eurozone GDP QoQ – Forecast: 0.2% | Prior: 0.3% | Range: 0.4% / 0.1% YoY – Forecast: 1.3% | Prior: 1.4% | Range: 1.5% / 1% Eurozone Unemployment Rate Forecast: 6.3% | Prior: 6.3% | Range: 6.4% / 6.2% 08:00 ET German CPI YoY – Forecast: 1.9% | Prior: 1.8% | Range: 2.3% / 1.5% MoM – Forecast: 0% | Prior: 0% | Range: 0.2% / -0.5% HICP YoY – Forecast: 2% | Prior: 2% | Range: 2.2% / 1.7% HICP MoM – Forecast: -0.2% | Prior: 0.2% | Range: -0.1% / -0.6%

111

Crits and Calamities @CritsCalamities

5 months ago

Stream starts in 10 minutes! Don't miss it. #ttrpg #dnd5e #twitch #patreon #sessionprep

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

6 months ago

Morning Juice – #US #SessionPrep (11th December) December 11, 2025 Sentiment US equity futures pared a sharp early drop as bargain hunters stepped in, softening a selloff sparked by concerns over Oracle’s plans for massive new AI-infrastructure spending. S&P 500 futures, down more than 1% at one point, were recently off about 0.5%, while Nasdaq 100 contracts also recovered part of a 1.6% slide. Oracle — widely viewed as a proxy for AI-capex intensity — plunged over 10% premarket after cloud revenue missed expectations and the company raised its 2026 capital-spending target by $15 billion to $50 billion. Skepticism toward big AI names lingered, with Nvidia leading the Magnificent Seven lower, Bitcoin drifting toward $90,000, and the dollar little changed. The update revived anxiety about stretched tech valuations and whether enormous AI-infrastructure outlays will generate expected returns, prompting some investors to rotate away from mega-cap tech even as the broader US economy remains resilient. Focus is now shifting to Broadcom’s earnings after the close, following a 180% rally from its April low. Oracle’s results landed just as the S&P 500 ended Wednesday within reach of an all-time high, supported by the Federal Reserve’s rate cut and Chair Jerome Powell’s relatively upbeat economic assessment. Markets took comfort from policymakers leaving room for additional easing next year, despite three dissents on the quarter-point cut. Traders continue to price in two cuts for 2026, versus the Fed’s projection of just one. Treasuries extended Wednesday’s rally, with the 10-year yield slipping to 4.14% as the Fed paired its cut with plans to resume bill purchases to rebuild bank reserves. The move halted a rise in global yields that had pushed one benchmark to its highest since 2009. Powell said the Fed has done enough to stabilize the labor market while keeping policy restrictive enough to cool inflation, with officials raising their 2026 growth forecast to 2.3% and expecting inflation to ease to 2.4% next year. Docket 08:30 ET Weekly US Initial Jobless Claims Forecast: 220K | Prior: 191K | Range: 240K / 191K US Trade Balance for September Forecast: -63b | Prior: -59.6b | Range: -47.7b / -70.5b Canadian Trade Balance for September Forecast: -4.50b | Prior: -6.32b | Range: 1.30b / -6.91Bb 13:00 ET US 30-Year Bond Auction Prior High Yield – 4.694% Prior Bid-to-Cover – 2.29 Speakesr 13:00 ET White House Press Briefing with Press Sec. Leavitt Earnings 16:15 ET Broadcom Q4 2025 Earnings Estimated Revenue: $17.47B Estimated EPS: $1.87 Costco Q1 2026 Earnings  Estimated Revenue: $67.07B Estimated EPS: $4.28 Good Luck!

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

6 months ago

Morning Juice – #US #SessionPrep (3rd December) December 3, 2025 Sentiment US stock futures are signaling a second day of modest gains as traders wager that economic data due later Wednesday will reinforce expectations for an interest-rate cut next week. Bitcoin extended its rebound. Traders are piling into bets that a new Federal Reserve chair and the release of delayed economic data this month will support Donald Trump’s calls for lower interest rates. Swiss inflation unexpectedly stalled in November and an underlying measure slowed to a four-year low, a setback for central bank officials just days before their final interest-rate decision of 2025. The UK and Japan are responding to investor demand to boost short-term borrowing, a shift in strategy that offers governments lower interest payments but exposes them to potentially costly rates swings at the time of debt rollovers. Docket 08:15 ET US ADP Employment Change for November  Forecast: 5K | Prior: 42K | Range: 50K / -50K 09:15 ET US Industrial Production MoM for September Forecast: 0.1% | Prior: 0.1% | Range: 0.5% / -0.4% 09:45 ET  US S&P Services PMI Final for November Forecast: 55 | Prior: 55 | Range: 55.5 / 54.8 10:00 ET US ISM Services PMI for November Forecast: 52 | Prior: 52.4 | Range: 53.2 / 49.5  US Quarterly Employment & Wages Q2 10:30 ET Weekly EIA Crude Oil Inventories Forecast: -2M | Prior: 2.774M | Range: 3.095M / -3.233M Speakers 08:30 ET ECB’s Lagarde speaks at the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON) and will discuss the Quarterly assessment of the ECB’s Monetary Policy 12:00 ET BoE’s Mann speaks on a panel at the GIC College of Central Bankers Symposium about reserve currencies 14:00 ET  Nvidia’s CEO Huang meets the GOP Bank Committee Good Luck!

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

7 months ago

Morning Juice – #US #SessionPrep (24th November) November 24, 2025 Sentiment Stocks pared tech-fueled gains as Bitcoin resumed its decline on Monday, signaling that risk sentiment remained fragile after a volatile week. Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.4% after earlier rising more than 1%. S&P 500 contracts added 0.2%. In Asia, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. jumped 4.7% in Hong Kong after a strong debut for its AI app. Alphabet held gains of more than 2% in premarket trading. European stocks were little changed. Bitcoin fell again toward $86,000 after a weekend rebound and is on track for its worst month since 2022 amid a broader slump in digital assets. Oil edged lower as traders weighed prospects for a potential Ukraine-Russia peace deal. Treasuries rose and the dollar was little changed. The cautious comeback in tech stocks followed a volatile week marked by concerns over lofty valuations and whether a debt-fueled investment spree in artificial intelligence will deliver long-term returns. With the December Federal Reserve meeting seen as the next key milestone for markets, investors and are relying on dated reports after delays caused by the US shutdown. Docket 11:30 ET US 6-Month Bill Auction Prior High Yield – 3.710% Prior Bid-to-Cover – 2.80 US 3-Month Bill Auction Prior High Yield – 3.795% Prior Bid-to-Cover – 2.790 13:00 ET US 2-Year Note Auction  Prior High Yield – 3.504% Prior Bid-To-Cover – 2.59 Speakers 09:45 ET ECB’s President Lagarde speaks at the High-Level Summit on AI No Q&A, Text is expected 12:45 ET ECB’s Nagel speaks on a panel discussion with the topic of focus being “Asserting oneself in a changing world” 16:00 ET Trump signs an Executive Order Good Luck!

122

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

7 months ago

Morning Juice – #US #SessionPrep (19th November) November 19, 2025 Sentiment The dollar rose as traders awaited Nvidia earnings, in what will be a pivotal test for big tech. Treasuries were little changed as investors looked ahead to minutes from the Fed, along with speeches by policymakers, including Miran and Barkin, for clues on the path of rates. USD/JPY rose 0.3% to 155.99, its highest since January 27th, after Japan’s Finance Minister Katayama said she did not specifically discuss FX with BoJ Gov. Ueda during a meeting earlier in the day, easing some speculation that the government is preparing to intervene to support a weakening yen. The 10-Yr yield edged up 1 BPS to 4.12%. The swaps market indicates a 42% possibility that the Fed will deliver a 25 BPS cut next month, little changed from Tuesday. Docket 08:30 ET US Trade Balance for August Forecast: -$60.65B | Prior: -$78.3B | Range: -$54.5B / -$85b 10:30 ET US Weekly EIA Crude Oil Inventories Forecast: -1.7M | Prior: 6.413M | Range: 4.811M / -4.92M 13:00 ET US sells $16 bln 20-Year Bonds 14:00 ET FOMC Meeting Minutes Speakers 10:00 ET Fed’s Miran will deliver prepared remarks on the U.S. financial regulatory framework at the Bank Policy Institute. Following his prepared remarks, Governor Miran will join BPI President and CEO Greg Baer for a fireside chat exploring recent regulatory developments and policy priorities heading into the coming year. Text: Yes Q&A: Yes, from moderator. 12:00 ET Trump speaks at US-Saudi Investment Forum 12:45 ET Richmond Fed President repeats Nov. 18 speech on the economic outlook at the University of Richmond Jepson Alumni Center, Q&A: yes, audience. BoC’s Deputy Governor Vincent speaks 14:00 ET Fed’s Williams delivers welcome remarks at event “Making Missing Markets: Connecting Communities and Capital”. No Text or Q&A is expected. Earnings 16:20 ET Nvidia Q3 2025 Earnings Est. EPS: $1.18 Est. Rev: $54.59B Good luck!

151

Joseph Angelo

@Beachdudeca

7 months ago

Morning Juice – #US #SessionPrep (12th November) November 12, 2025 Sentiment Tech leads the charge: Nasdaq 100 futures rose, driven by gains in the Magnificent Seven and a 5% jump in AMD, which projected faster revenue growth. Nvidia and its supply chain partners — including Hon Hai Precision and Infineon Technologies — also rallied on upbeat outlooks. S&P 500 futures gained, suggesting the index could extend its winning streak after investors rotated into defensives earlier in the week. Shutdown resolution in sight: Lawmakers appeared close to ending the record 43-day government shutdown, with a House vote expected on a new spending bill. A reopening would restore the flow of key economic data, potentially bolstering the case for a Fed rate cut amid uncertain policy timing. Historically, U.S. equities have rallied following shutdowns — though some analysts warn that this rebound may already be partly priced in after this week’s 1.8% gain. Beyond the US: In the UK, political tensions weighed on gilts and sterling after reports of an internal challenge to Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s leadership. Despite today’s global uptick, strategists caution that U.S. equity valuations remain stretched, keeping markets vulnerable to renewed volatility if the AI-driven optimism fades. Docket 08:30 ET Canadian Building Permits MoM Forecast: 0.9% | Prior: -1.2% | Range: 1% / -0.7% 12:00 ET EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook Report (Tentative) 13:00 ET US sells $42 bln 10-Year Notes Prior High Yield – 4.117% Prior Bid-to-Cover – 2.480 13:30 ET BoC Meeting Minutes Earnings 16:05 ET Cisco Systems Q1 2026 Earnings Estimated EPS – $0.98 Estimated Revenue – $14.77B Speakers 09:20 ET Fed’s Williams speaks at the US Treasury Market Conference 2025 Text is expected, No Q&A 10:00 ET Fed’s Paulson speaks at the Ninth Annual Fintech Conference hosted by the Philadelphia Fed Text is expected, No Q&A  10:20 ET Fed’s Waller speaks at the Ninth Annual Fintech Conference hosted by the Philadelphia Fed Q&A is expected with a moderator, No Text 10:45 ET US Treasury Sec. Bessent speaks 12:15 ET Fed’s Bostic speaks about economic trends at the Atlanta Economics Club Text and Q&A are expected with an audience 12:30 ET Fed’s Miran Speaks in a fireside chat at the University of Cambridge Judge Business School Q&A is expected with a moderator, No Text. 13:00 ET White House Press Briefing with Press Secretary Leavitt 16:00 ET Fed’s Collins speaks at the 4th Annual Regional Community Bankers Conference at the Boston Fed Text is expected, No Q&A Good Luck!

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