Top Tweets for #StephsStormWatch
π¨ Here we go again! X4.05 flare detected from AR4274! π¨ Although the active region is rotating towards the limb it continues to produce major flares. Proton flux measurements are also showing an increase. AR4274 keeps delivering!βοΈ
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There is now a G5 (extreme) geomagnetic storm watch in place, we are waiting for the third eruption to arrive although, due to uncertainty in the propagation models it is unclear whether it will arrive today or tomorrow ππ¨ππ #SpaceWeather #Aurora #StephsStormWatch
Geomagnetic storm watch for G5 storm from 12-Nov 12:00 UTC to 13-Nov 23:59 UTC https://t.co/9wIcjC6lQf
CME arrival!π― Real-time solar wind data from ACE at L1 showing the first CME from AR4274 is arriving.β‘
This is the start of a long geomagnetic storming period - aurora chasers, get ready! ππ
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Hereβs our one-two-three punch! π₯ π₯π₯ According to the latest run of the HUXt model the third CME is expected to impact on 13th November at around 13 UT. This is going to be a tiring couple of days π
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The full halo CME has produced a ground level enhancement, strong energetic particles detected by ground-based neutron monitors! This is not very common! There have been 75 recorded since 1942, with the latest being GLE75 on June 8, 2024. ππ₯π¨π#SpaceWeather #StephsStormWatch
This X5.1 flare is causing a GLE, Ground Level Event. Not a common occurrence but they can happen with stronger energetic particle flares. The Oulu Neutron Monitor is picking this one up.
π¨ X5.1 FLARE from AR4274! π¨
Active Region 4274 just unleashed an X5.1 solar flare - one of the strongest of the current solar cycle! β‘The flare was associated with another full halo earth-directed CME βοΈ This AR keeps on giving!
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π¨ G3 (strong) geomagnetic storm watch in effect from 18:00 UT tonight! π¨ Two Earth-directed CMEs from AR4274 arriving late Tues/Wedβ‘Aurora visible across northern UK with clear skies, potentially extending further south π #SpaceWeather #StephsStormWatch #Aurora
A new G3 Watch due to another potential CME arrival. The most recent CME occurred in early a.m. of 10 Nov and is anticipated to arrive with flanking influences the evening of 11 Nov (EST) and continue into 12 Nov. Stay space weather aware at https://t.co/TV7Yw6Lq1Y for the latest
π Latest HUXt forecast shows 2 CMEs from AR4274 arriving on 12 Nov at ~4 & 15UT respectively. AR4274 is delivering a one-two punch!β‘οΈπ₯G2+ storm conditions increasingly likely. Aurora prospects strong for northern UK despite poor weather forecast.
#SpaceWeather #StephsStormWatch
Now that we have the coronagraph data from GOES/CCOR I can now confirm that the CME is a full halo, which means it is Earth-directed. This increases the chances of a stronger geomagnetic storm and impressive aurora displays. Stay tuned! ππ₯π¨π #SpaceWeather #StephsStormWatch
π¨ AR4274 just fired off another X-class flare! β‘
CME confirmed, main bulk doesn't appear Earth-directed, though it's difficult to determine atm. If AR4274 keeps this up... are we heading for a situation similar to May 2024? Keep watching π
#SpaceWeather #StephsStormWatch
π― Direct Hit! The CME from AR4274's X-class flare should arrive on ~12th Nov at 03:30 UTC β‘G2 (moderate) storm watch forecast in place for 11/12th Nov π Aurora likely across northern UK... but the weather forecast is dire βοΈπ© #SpaceWeather #StephsStormWatch
The X1.8 flare from AR4274 did produce a CME! While the bulk of the eruption appears to be propagating northwest, there is likely an Earth-directed component π Waiting for the models to understand propagation & arrival β‘
#SpaceWeather #CME #StephsStormWatch
π¨ What we have been waiting for. AR 4274 just unleashed an X1.8 solar flare! π₯ We will have to wait and check the data to see if this beast erupted and if there's an Earth-directed CME heading our way ππ¨π
Updates to follow!
#SpaceWeather #SolarFlare #StephsStormWatch
π¨ What we have been waiting for. AR 4274 just unleashed an X1.8 solar flare! π₯ We will have to wait and check the data to see if this beast erupted and if there's an Earth-directed CME heading our way ππ¨π
Updates to follow!
#SpaceWeather #SolarFlare #StephsStormWatch
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