Top Tweets for #SubPollSeries
Pro-indy voting from the #SubPollSeries for Week 25.
Flat as a pancake at 38% this week.
There is no mandate and no democratic case for indy.
#SubPollSeries week 25 and it's another terrible week for the SNP with the underlying data showing their support has dropped significantly since the election. Clearly the Murrell effect is cutting through.
Well, Here it is. The first post Murrell scandal #SubPollSeries and it's VERY interesting.
You only really see it in the underlying but that's three separate polling companies all showing the SNP taking a decent hit this week.
We need another week's data, but it looks pukka.
‼️SNEAK PEEK at the latest #SubPollSeries, the first data since the Murrell Scandal.
Small tick down in the SNP vote, but across two separate sub-polls, one very large poll from YouGov, shows a significant drop in SNP support.
Still waiting on More in Common to confirm.
#SubPollSeries for Week 22.
This gives us the baseline for the pre-Murrell party support. It will be fascinating in the coming weeks to see what happens.
Right now this is all in line with the voting at the election and pro-indy voting is at 42%!
Well here it is!!! The most eagerly anticipated #SubPollSeries in history!!! (Not really it's just after an election so no one really cares).
Week 22, all in line with the Scottish election🥱.
The Key metric, 41.18% pro-indy voting. Election 41.5%.
Oh... it works 🥳.
Still waiting for the latest data to update the #SubPollSeries but we do have a good data update to the #Yes tracker in polling.
So even with no actual indy prospectus of case, even though it's a 'free hit' with no consequences, the #Indyref polling shows <45% let alone 50%.
#SubPollSeries for Week 20 is out, this is election week so it's helpful to see WM voting intention alongside the results.
Reform still getting the better of Labour in polling. Now is that a polling error as we saw in the election?
Pro indy voting at 41.7%... I kid you not!
#SubPollSeries has been showing Pro-indy voting sitting at 41%.
Currently Pro-indy voting is at 41%.
#SubPollSeries for WM election showing a slightly different pattern than the latest Scottish polls with Reform tipping away from Labour. The underlying last couple of weeks have been very poor for them from both YouGov and MIC.
Pro-indy polling remaining no where.
Sneak preview (waiting on YouGov for this week) of the #SubPollSeries for WM. So this is probably the pre-election results.
SNP flatling continues, Reform still holding second place to Labour. The Greens, Liberals and Tories all fighting like rats on a cruise ship for 3rd.
Scottish WM polls.
HR List polls.
HR constituency polls.
#SubPollSeries
All showing pro-indy voting at 40-41%.
This was just shy of 50% in 2021.
Indy... it's a dying breed.
#SubPollSeries for week 16 os 2026, to the end of April.
Greens and Tories are now looking tied for support with the Liberal Democrats not far ahead. Reform tick up away from Labour and the SNP continue to flatline.
Latest pro-Indy vote at 41% in polling.... now I've see that number somewhere else????
Oh, now where was it?
#SubPollSeries
Holyrood Voting Intention:
Constituency:
SNP: 38% (+3)
REF: 20% (=)
LAB: 18% (-2)
CON: 12% (-1)
LDM: 10% (=)
GRN: 2% (+1)
Regional:
SNP: 29% (=)
REF: 19% (=)
LAB: 17% (=)
CON: 12% (-1)
GRN: 12% (+1)
LDM: 9% (+1)
Via @Survation, 17–23 April,
Changes w/ 14–21 April.
#SubPollSeries for Week 16 2026. SNP continue to bounce along the 30% level going no where. Most other parties haven't shifted either with Reform continuing to pip labour for second place.
https://t.co/lZ9kV1e0mi
Proof that the #SubPollSeries is as good as any Scottish only poll.
Journalists have been terrified by the potential ridicule of looking at a single sub-poll, so much so that they miss this incredibly valuable source of information.
#SubPollSeries for WM election showing a slightly different pattern than the latest Scottish polls with Reform tipping away from Labour. The underlying last couple of weeks have been very poor for them from both YouGov and MIC.
Pro-indy polling remaining no where.
#SubPollSeries Week 15 2026.
Just as interesting as the @YouGov MRP, the Sub-Poll series (which includes YG UK wide polling) has the pro-nationalist voting flat lining and Labour & Reform neck and neck again.
My advice to unionism.
There is no surge in nationalism, but they are MUCH better organised.
Helpfully we are now able to use the #SUBPOLLSERIES to calculate the enthusiasm bias by FON.
Average of the SPS over 6 weeks against FON over 6 weeks.
10 point swing towards nationalism.
Can we stop pretending this is an actual polling company?
Alongside the #SubPollSeries i've been looking at the average pro-indy vote in the Scottish Parliament, which has no power over #indyref.
Same pattern of a decay in pro-indy voting.
But...
Happy Good Friday! (do people say that?)
Anyway, #SubPollSeries for Week 14 of 2026.
Bit of a jump in the mainstream unionist parties whilst Reform continues to decay, but remains (just) in second place.
I'm wondering if this movement is tactical voting getting ready????
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