Top Tweets for #TEDModel
Virginia Tech @ NC State
๐ TED Fair Line: NC State -6.5
๐ Market Line: NC State -9.5
๐ Edge: +3.0 pts toward Virginia Tech
๐ฐ EV: ~8.5%
๐ฏ Bet: Virginia Tech +9.5
๐ฆ Units: 1.5U
#CBB #CollegeBasketball #BettingTwitter #CBBPicks #SportsBetting #EV #RobskiVegas #TEDModel
๐ Drexel @ Elon
๐ Schar Center
๐ Market Spread: Elon -4.5
๐ Fair Spread: Elon -1.5
๐ Edge: +3.0 pts (Drexel)
๐ EV: ~8.5%
๐ฏ Play: Drexel +4.5
๐ฐ Units: 1.5U
#CBB #CollegeBasketball #BettingTwitter #CBBPicks #SportsBetting #EV #TEDModel
๐ Brown +15.5 @ Yale
๐ TED Model:
โข Fair spread: Yale -11
โข Market: Yale -15.5
โข +4.5 pts of edge
๐ง Ivy League games = slower pace, tighter margins
Play: Brown +15.5
Units: 1.5U
#CBB #IvyLeague #CollegeHoops #ValuePlay #SpreadBet #TEDModel #RobskiVegas #BettingTwitter
๐ CBB Play โ FGCU +1.5 (1.5U)
Ted Model has this closer to FGCU -1.
Market still pricing them as the dog.
๐ Edge: ~2.5 pts
โ๏ธ EV: ~9โ10%
๐ฏ Play: FGCU +1.5 (1.5U)
#CBB #NCAAB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #BettingTwitter #ValueBet #TedModel #SharpSide
๐ Oklahoma @ Kentucky
Fair Spread: Kentucky -6
Market: -8.5
Edge: +2.5 pts | EV ~8โ9%
Oklahoma can score enough to hang around, and this number is inflated by Kentuckyโs home bias. Expect a competitive game for 40.
Play: Oklahoma +8.5 (1.5U) ๐๐ฅ
#cbb #gamblingX #Tedmodel
๐ George Washington @ Saint Josephโs
Fair Spread: GW -4
Market: GW +1.5 / ML -105
Edge: ~5.5 pts
EV: ~11%
Play: George Washington ML (-105)
Unit: 1.5U ๐๐ฅ
#CBB #tedmodel #GamblingX
๐ Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina
Arkansas State has the clear edge inside + better shot profile.
๐ Fair: ASU -6.5
๐ Market: -4.5
๐ Edge: ~2 pts | EV ~9โ10%
๐ฏ Arkansas State -4.5 | 1.5U
#CollegeBasketball #CBB #TEDModel
๐ Drake @ Belmont
๐ Fair Spread: Belmont -6.5
๐ Market Spread: Belmont -9.5
๐ EV: ~9โ10%
๐ฐ Sharp Signal:
Drake ML holding 67% of handle on just 4% of bets โ quiet money on the dog.
โ
Play: Drake +9.5 (1.5U)
#CBB #ValuePlays #SharpMoney #TedModel
๐ Southern U @ Jackson State
๐ Lee E. Williams Athletics & Assembly Center
๐ Fair Line: Southern U -7
๐ Market: Southern U -5.5 (-110)
๐ Edge: ~1โ1.5 pts
๐ฅ PLAY: Southern U -5.5 (-110)
๐ฃ UNITS: 1.5U
#CBB #CollegeBasketball #BettingTwitter #tedmodel
๐ WEEK 4 โ TED MODEL RESULTS (FINAL)
๐ CBB: 13โ7 | +8.40U
๐ YTD โ TED MODEL (WEEK 4)
๐ CBB: 40โ24 | +23.38U
๐ NFL: 12โ6 | +5.50U
๐ CFB: 4โ2 | +3.25U
๐งฎ ALL: 56โ32 | +32.13U
#SportsBetting #BettingTwitter #BettingResults #DailyRecap #SportsAnalytics #TedModel
๐ Illinois @ Nebraska
๐ Pinnacle Bank Arena
๐ Fair Line: Nebraska -3.5
๐ Market: Nebraska -1.5
๐ Edge: ~2 pts
Nebraska at home is a different team โ stronger defensive efficiency
PLAY: Nebraska -1.5
UNITS: 1.5U
#CBB #NCAAB #BettingTwitter #Tedmodel
๐ Kentucky Wildcats @ Arkansas Razorbacks
๐ฐ Kentucky +6.5 | 1.5U
๐ Fair line: Arkansas -3.5
๐ง Kentuckyโs guard play + shot creation keeps this within one possession
๐ Market shading too hard
#CBB #CollegeBasketball #BettingTwitter #ValueBet #RobskiVegas #TEDModel
๐ Stanford @ Florida State
๐ฐ FSU -2.5 | 1.5U
๐ Fair line: FSU -4.5
๐ง Size + athletic edge at home
๐ Market still short of the true number
This is the value window.
#CBB #CollegeBasketball #BettingTwitter #ValueBet #RobskiVegas #TEDModel
๐ Oklahoma State @ Utah
๐ฐ Utah ML -115 | 1.5U
๐ Fair line: Utah -2.5
๐ Market flipped to dog pricing โ value created
๐ง Better half-court team + late-game execution edge
#CBB #CollegeBasketball #BettingTwitter #ValueBet #RobskiVegas #TEDModel
๐ Boise State +1.5 @ Grand Canyon
Fair: Boise -1 | Edge: ~2.5 pts | EV: ~9%
GCU without Shaw (8 PPG).
Heavy GCU money, line holds โ value on Boise.
One-possession profile.
2U โ Boise State +1.5
#CBB #BettingTwitter #SharpPlays #EV #RobskiVegas #Tedmodel
๐ Michigan -1.5 (+100) vs Michigan State
๐ Breslin Center
Fair Spread: Michigan -2.5 / -3
Market: -1.5
Edge: ~+1.5 pts
EV: ~+7โ9% โ
๐ฏ Play: Michigan -1.5 (+100)
#CBB #CollegeBasketball #SportsBetting #ValueBets #BettingTwitter #SharpMoney #TEDModel
๐ CBB Recap โ CASHED ๐ฐ
โ
Samford +5.5 (1.5U)
โ
Memphis -2.5 (1.5U)
โ
Utah State -5.5 (1.5U)
โ
Stony Brook +5.5 (2U)
๐ฅ 4โ0 | +6.5U
Price > narrative.
Model + market alignment.
#CBB #CollegeBasketball #BettingTwitter #SportsBetting #SharpMoney #ValueBets #TedModel
๐ Utah Valley @ Tarleton State
๐ฐ Utah Valley -4.5 โ 1.5U
๐ง TED Fair Spread: ~-8.5
๐ Edge: ~4 pts
Tarleton missing leading scorer Johnson + 3rd-leading scorer Hicks โ major hit to offense & margin
#CBB #CollegeBasketball #TEDModel #BettingX #GamblingX
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