Top Tweets for #managedmoney
My personal take on the #GC, #Gold futures weekly chart, following HUGO's great post and glorious graphic.๐
I see the #COT as reasonable evidence that #ManagedMoney has behaved like real, profitable traders over the past several years.๐
On the short side of this gargantuan uptrend from $1,600 to $5,600, the #SwapDealers acted instead as if they weren't particularly interested in putting money on fire.๐คก
Interesting times to be alive.๐
#FuturesTrading #PreciousMetals
๐จ GOLD COT Aug 18
Speculators are still leaning heavy on the buy side (near 1-yr long extremes), but hedging pressure is building
๐ขMM: +2.9% WoW | 88th%tile
๐ดCommercials: +2.3% WoW | 75th %tile
๐กWatch out for a potential short-term shakeout if momentum stalls.
#Silver and #gold futures - Commitment of Traders
#ManagedMoney pushed really hard on their net long at Tuesday's close on #SI, increasing their exposure by more than 30%, to 2,792 contracts.๐ฎ
#SwapDealers didn't react much, poor souls, adding just 6% to their net short on the white metal. Good for them, considering silver closed the week up 10%.๐
As I've noted several times over the last few months, these two groups behave very differently.
Managed Money are acting like real #traders, with an actual interest in the outcome of their trades: they care about entry and exit points and risk management throughout the entire life of their positions.๐
Swap Dealers, on the other hand, don't seem particularly concerned about the financial outcome of their operations.๐ค
They martingale losing trades, adding when underwater, or ramp up their net short, always net short in a vicious bull market, after a six-month, 50% correction, right at the support of a long-term moving average.๐ฅฒ
MM position management isn't perfect, but it reflects a fairly consistent, profitable and rational approach. SD, on the other hand, seem more interested in keeping some pressure on price, no matter what.
The mysterious ways of big precious metals #futures traders.๐คก
#COT #PreciousMetals #FuturesTrading
Not this week!! #bulls can't blame the #managedmoney #speculators-. As of Tuesday- they were still #buyers of #corn #soybeans and #wheat. 75K #corn; 30K #beans 12K #wheat.
#SI - #Silver futures - Commitment of Traders
Nice imbalance between #ManagedMoney and #SwapDealers at Tuesday's close.๐
The former reduced their net long by just 219 contracts out of 11,501, or less than 2%, while the latter trimmed their net short much more aggressively: 2,480 contracts out of 29,889, or more than 8%.
This sharp move, with silver sitting right on long-term support, partially offsets the one-way acceleration we've seen in Swap Dealers' net short exposure over the past few weeks. They have been adding to their shorts aggressively, while Managed Money hasn't increased its net longs proportionally on the other side.๐
As usual, especially with silver, any negative geopolitical news or a #RiskOff acceleration can have a significant short-term impact so always make sure you manage your position sizing and risk properly.๐ค
#COT #PreciousMeatls #gold
#ManagedMoney reduced their net long exposure, liquidating 1,700 contracts and adding to the modest selling pressure from the #SwapDealers, the Martingale traders, who increased their net short position by just 150 contracts. It is relatively rare to see both groups moving in the same direction.๐ฅฒ
If you zoom in on the blue and green circles highlighting the last few weeks, the difference in conviction is striking. The SDs have been building their position far more aggressively and decisively, while their archenemies have been adding to their longs only timidly, getting steamrolled by the relentless downward momentum.๐ซฃ
This time, we have to give the Swap Dealers credit. Even though they started adding shorts well after #silver had already peaked, they did so with remarkable conviction, increasing their net short exposure by 40% in just a few weeks while the price declined by roughly 30%. That's no small feat.๐ซก
Let's see if, for once, they can stay on the right side of the market more than a few weeks.๐
#MarketStructure #PreciousMetals #COT #COMEX #futures #SI
#managedmoney- 1) Short in the Hole in January after the USDA on the 10th- 2) Long 300K at the top in May- 3) Short 70K going into June 30th- Now 4)- Long 25K as of Tuesday. Do they finally "have it right" for the rest of the year? We'll find out in 6 weeks. #oatt #COT #corn
#SI, silver futures: Commitments of Traders report
#ManagedMoney still looked a bit shell-shocked at Tuesday's close after their recent attempt to expand their net long position failed rather miserably.๐ฅฒ
#SwapDealers, the Martingale traders, took the opposite approach. They decisively increased their net short exposure, making this one of those less common weeks in which both groups ended up selling contracts.โบ๏ธ
What's particularly interesting is the timing.
After relentlessly slashing their net short position by more than 50% over several months, the Swap Dealers stopped covering only once silver finally reached its long-term weekly moving average.๐คช
Since then, they've gradually started leaning net short again. These guys really aren't very good traders.๐คก
The last time silver touched this moving average was in March 2025, when spot closed below $30 for the week.
Now, 450 days later and 103% higher, we're back to visit this old friend and see whether it can work its powerful magic once again.๐
Have a nice weekend, everyone.
#Futures #MarketStructure #PreciousMetals
Very similar dynamic on #SI, #silver futures #COT.
Here the imbalance between #ManagedMoney longs and #SwapDealers shorts is even more extreme: 10,403 vs. 23,709 contracts, a 2.27x ratio.๐
That's quite a gap.๐
#GC futures, Commitment of Traders - #COT.๐
We finally cleared the record distance from the long-term moving average. #ManagedMoney is net long 105,863 contracts, while the Martingale Traders at #SwapDealers remain net short 181,736.๐
Let's see how it goes.โบ๏ธ
#FuturesTrading
#SI, silver futures: Commitments of Traders report
I was really curious to see how last week's slam in #silver showed up in #ManagedMoney and #SwapDealers positioning.โบ๏ธ
Of course, with the #COT report still archaically frozen at Tuesday's close, I had to wait a week and a half only to find that not much actually happened, especially on the Managed Money side.๐
Swap Dealers increased their net short position more decisively, adding 3,320 contracts, or nearly 16% to their existing exposure while SI fell 10% last week: MM barely flinched, adding 389 contracts.๐
This week's figures are much flatter but, once again, they only reflect positioning as of Tuesday's close. We'll have to wait another full week to see how the big boys reacted to Thursday's and Friday's gorgeous reversal.๐
A medieval #COMEX reporting system, with no credible justification in 2026 other than preserving asymmetric informational advantages.๐คก
#Futures #MarketStructure #PreciousMetals
#GC, gold futures: Commitments of Traders report - #COT
#ManagedMoney and #SwapDealers still show no real interest in changing their net positioning, with yet another week of essentially flat variations after months of extremely turbulent price action and violent position swings. ๐คช
Notice the absolute depth of #OpenInterest, showing participation at 10-year lows.
What stands out is the footprint of a masterclass in how NOT to trade the market, performed openly and without shame by the Martingale traders at the Swap Dealers bucket shop. ๐
Throughout the entire phenomenal #gold rally from $2,350 to $5,600, they have stubbornly remained short an average of around 200k contracts. ๐ต
Letโs run a quick back-of-the-envelope calculation:
Price move: 5600 โ 2350 = 3250
GC contract size: 100 oz
Loss per contract: 3250 ร 100 = 325,000
Total loss: 325,000 ร 200,000 = 65,000,000,000
โ $65B notional loss ๐ฑ
They can afford something like this because they are very close friends with our dear Tutors at the Magic Printing Press department, so itโs not really their money theyโre setting on fire.
Itโs not even money, in the real sense of the term. ๐คทโโ๏ธ
But do not try this at home, you peasants: you will be called upon to settle your trading debts without mercy. ๐
#Futures #MarketStructure #PreciousMetals
#GC, gold futures: Commitments of Traders report - #COT
Huge reduction in net positions for both #ManagedMoney and the martingale #SwapDealers traders, with a substantial cut of roughly 25k contracts on each side. Important to note the asymmetry: for MM this represents about 22% of their net long exposure, while for SD it is only around 12%: not a trivial difference. ๐
Inevitably, the insane volatility forced some form of position and risk management, as the dollar damage associated with tens or even hundreds of thousands of contracts has spiraled dramatically higher. ๐
When I started this COT series more than a year ago, I noticed a breath-like cycle of rising and falling exposure centered around the yellow neutral line. The blue sinusoidal line has never been changed since then, and so far it has offered a remarkably reliable path.
The distance of price from the moving average in the lower panel, on the other hand, has been completely dwarfed. At the time, the historic extreme was 26.9, respected for more than two decades. We are now around 35, after extending to 40.
Totally uncharted territory. ๐ต
Keeping an eye on charts and metrics does not mean they will prevent price from doing what it has to do. โบ๏ธ
#COMEX #Futures #MarketStructure #PreciousMetals
#ManagedMoney added around 5k contracts to their net long position over the past few weeks, while #SwapDealers, still trapped in a terrible short after things unraveled in June 2025, have been relentlessly trying to exit and limit the damage. ๐
A closer look at the chart shows that even the biggest players can get it right at times and completely wrong at others, just like the rest of us. โบ๏ธ
MM scaled out of their net long gradually, as they should have, after going full size at the perfect moment, while on the other side SD kept doubling down on a deeply compromised position until max pain finally forced them to cover at any available price. ๐ฅฒ
That, in turn, fueled the meteoric rise from June 2025 to the end of January 2026, a semester of mayhem and heavy paper losses for professionals who, in this case, behaved like complete amateurs. ๐คก
Special mention to #OpenInterest at absolute lows in #Silver futures: a #CME extinction event.
#SI #COT #GC #gold
#ManagedMoney and #SwapDealers behavior in the silver #COT could not be more different from what we see in gold.
Here, Swap Dealers completely avoided the martingale syndrome. They did the right thing by stepping aside ahead of, and throughout, the sharp price rise from around $35 before the summer to the recent records above $90. That short covering surely contributed, at least in part, to the upside explosion itself. ๐
Managed Money, by contrast, kept taking profits all the way up. Long exposure was steadily reduced from around 50k contracts in June to less than 14k at Tuesdayโs settlement. โบ๏ธ
In the latest report, once again, MM cut longs while SD increased shorts, outlining even here a full reversal of the mirror-like dynamic we usually see in #GC futures, where the two categories tend to take opposite sides of the market week after week. ๐ค
#Silver #futures behave like a completely different beast compared to their big #gold brothers. ๐คจ
Absolutely stunning new visual on #COT, the Commitment of Traders Report from HUGO. ๐
Thank you โบ๏ธ
#Futures #COMEX #ManagedMoney #SwapDealers
๐จ#Silver #COT weekly update
โ ๏ธBottoming out at levels not seen since the $30 range
There was a more pronounced shift in Money Manager sentiment, with a net increase of +2,523 contracts up 32.5% Wow to 10.3K contracts , largely due to a significant reduction in short positions (-2,099) -41.4% Wow
#preciousmetals #commodities #bullion #silversqueeze
Itโs been a couple of weeks since the #gold #COT chart moved, with no notable variations in #ManagedMoney or #SwapDealers positions. ๐ฅฑ
Swap Dealers are still stuck with a massive ~180k contracts short, representing 65% of the entire gap with Managed Moneyโs ~98k contracts long. MM went diligently and massively long in 2023, with gold around $2000, held the position for years, and slowly started taking profits on the way up. Theyโre now around half their peak of 220k contracts in January 2025. ๐
The Martingale traders, Swap Dealers, did the opposite, holding a huge, stubborn short position that never went below 150k #GC contracts and peaked above 260k, even as gold staged a historic +200% move. ๐ซฃ
Even now, theyโve reduced their losing exposure by just 31%, while the disciplined Managed Money is down 59% from their maximum size. Two trades that will enter the history books. ๐
A masterclass in trade conviction and risk management on one side and a blueprint of what not to do on the other. โบ๏ธ
#PreciousMetals #COMEX #MoneyPrinting #MarketResearch #TradingPsychology
Look at how different the situation is in the #gold #COT compared to #silver. Here, #ManagedMoney and #SwapDealers remain elevated in their mirroring positions. ๐คจ
Both started accumulating net long and net short in the summer of 2022, briefly returning to the midline about a year later. Since then, their positions grew steadily until summer 2024, when their behaviors began to diverge.
Managed Money slowly and smoothly reduced their net long in regular waves, forming lower highs and lower lows in a well-defined downtrend. The Martingale traders, Swap Dealers, acted more erratically and are still nearly 180k net short, almost double the 92k net long of their counterparts on the other side of the fence. โบ๏ธ
It must have been painful sitting short gold with such size since 1850. But hey, they are hedging a huge physical stack, so it is not exactly a loss, right? ๐
#PreciousMetals #COMEX #MoneyPrinting #MarketResearch
Week 47- Feb. 27, 2026 #AgCommodityCorner+ #Podcast - Funds are Long the Grain & Oilseed Complex for the 1st Time Since Feb of 2025! BULLISH PRICES!
https://t.co/YLRRicGj9h
#funds #long #grain #oilseed #2025 #bullish #CFTC #managedmoney #bull #AI #rotation #tech #ag #commodities #king #wallstreet #Trump #tariff #FDN #crude #WeatherUpdate
Look at how different the situation is in the #gold #COT compared to #silver. Here, #ManagedMoney and #SwapDealers remain elevated in their mirroring positions. ๐คจ
Both started accumulating net long and net short in the summer of 2022, briefly returning to the midline about a year later. Since then, their positions grew steadily until summer 2024, when their behaviors began to diverge.
Managed Money slowly and smoothly reduced their net long in regular waves, forming lower highs and lower lows in a well-defined downtrend. The Martingale traders, Swap Dealers, acted more erratically and are still nearly 180k net short, almost double the 92k net long of their counterparts on the other side of the fence. โบ๏ธ
It must have been painful sitting short gold with such size since 1850. But hey, they are hedging a huge physical stack, so it is not exactly a loss, right? ๐
#PreciousMetals #COMEX #MoneyPrinting #MarketResearch
I spent a few more hours studying the Commitments of Traders #Silver chart, and I think it deserves som more words. ๐
#ManagedMoney pulled off a truly glorious trade, impeccable from both a risk/reward and risk management standpoint, at a time when betting on the white metal was neither widespread nor sexy, outside of our tiny community and a few select, secretive circles. โบ๏ธ
They were actually net short around $23 in February 2024, then flipped to net long 40k contracts in just a few weeks, a notional of ~$5B at the time, and crucially, deployed most of their size at a very delicate juncture: the infamous $25 silver mark we fought, suffered and bled over for years. ๐ซก
They reached their full size of 50k contracts with price clearing $34, $35, and $36, and kept pushing right through the nightmarish April 2025 Killer Slam with absolute determination, after a forced halving of their positioning in a single week.
Think about that for a second: managing a 20% price drop in two days with a notional around $8.5B.
Not exactly your average trade. ๐
They started printing lower highs in position sizing just above $41, though still heavily exposed at 40k+ contracts.
From there, the unwind was steady and controlled: 22k contracts at $61, 10k at $100... and now they're essentially done. ๐
A trade for the history books.
Congratulations. ๐ค
#PreciousMetals #COT #COMEX #MoneyPrinting #MarketResearch
I would not call #ManagedMoney a contrary indicator on this #silver trade, Bob. โบ๏ธ
Yes, they had a tiny ~4k contract short in February 2024 that pales in comparison to the 40โ50k contract Juggernaut long they rapidly amassed afterward, flipping from a moderate bearish to a massive bullish exposure in a heartbeat, as a good trader should do when following market signals. ๐ค
They kept that enormous net long position for almost two years, never going below 20k contracts even in the midst of the infamous April 2025 Silver Savagery, and only recently started selling into extreme strength and increased volatility, not in a rush but in a steady, organized way. ๐
This is a textbook example of how anyone should trade, at any size, on any timeframe, not an example of a contrary indicator. โบ๏ธ
They ebbed back and forth between 2022 and 2024 because the market was trapped in a nasty consolidation after the 2020 tumultuous, murderous swings, but they rode the move from $23 to $120 in an absolutely professional and impeccable way.
Let's give them the merit and recognition they deserve and try to learn something from how they managed this glorious position. ๐
#PreciousMetals #COT #COMEX #MoneyPrinting #MarketResearch
Commitment of Traders Report - Silver Futures
Managed money positioning on the long side has evaporated.
The managed money positioning for the report below (highlighted in blue) is now at the levels not seen since February 2024. For those who do not remember, this is when managed money was massively short right at the beginning of the biggest $ move higher for silver (see my post below which is also at its 2 year anniversary)
Managed Money can be a contrary indicator.
I spent a few more hours studying the Commitments of Traders #Silver chart, and I think it deserves som more words. ๐
#ManagedMoney pulled off a truly glorious trade, impeccable from both a risk/reward and risk management standpoint, at a time when betting on the white metal was neither widespread nor sexy, outside of our tiny community and a few select, secretive circles. โบ๏ธ
They were actually net short around $23 in February 2024, then flipped to net long 40k contracts in just a few weeks, a notional of ~$5B at the time, and crucially, deployed most of their size at a very delicate juncture: the infamous $25 silver mark we fought, suffered and bled over for years. ๐ซก
They reached their full size of 50k contracts with price clearing $34, $35, and $36, and kept pushing right through the nightmarish April 2025 Killer Slam with absolute determination, after a forced halving of their positioning in a single week.
Think about that for a second: managing a 20% price drop in two days with a notional around $8.5B.
Not exactly your average trade. ๐
They started printing lower highs in position sizing just above $41, though still heavily exposed at 40k+ contracts.
From there, the unwind was steady and controlled: 22k contracts at $61, 10k at $100... and now they're essentially done. ๐
A trade for the history books.
Congratulations. ๐ค
#PreciousMetals #COT #COMEX #MoneyPrinting #MarketResearch
#Silver, Commitments of Traders - #COT
#ManagedMoney are nearing zero in their net long exposure, down 90% since last summerโs peak at around 50k contracts, when price was near $33. ๐ต
Thatโs a perfectly timed and managed trade: bought the weakness before the rise and slowly took profits all the way up. Recent volatility surely proved them right and likely encouraged further lightening of their massive dollar risk exposure: congratulations. ๐
Contrast that with the opposite behavior from the Martingale Traders, the #SwapDealers department. They kept their underwater position all the way up, reducing it less aggressively while incurring huge losses, and are still almost 26k contracts short at a $77 close.
This is not how you manage a losing trade. ๐คก
Sure, you can do it if your friend next door prints money out of thin air. But as we have recently seen, delivering real metal against those shorts is becoming increasingly challenging.
#PreciousMetals #COMEX #MoneyPrinting #MarketResearch
#Silver, Commitments of Traders - #COT
#ManagedMoney are nearing zero in their net long exposure, down 90% since last summerโs peak at around 50k contracts, when price was near $33. ๐ต
Thatโs a perfectly timed and managed trade: bought the weakness before the rise and slowly took profits all the way up. Recent volatility surely proved them right and likely encouraged further lightening of their massive dollar risk exposure: congratulations. ๐
Contrast that with the opposite behavior from the Martingale Traders, the #SwapDealers department. They kept their underwater position all the way up, reducing it less aggressively while incurring huge losses, and are still almost 26k contracts short at a $77 close.
This is not how you manage a losing trade. ๐คก
Sure, you can do it if your friend next door prints money out of thin air. But as we have recently seen, delivering real metal against those shorts is becoming increasingly challenging.
#PreciousMetals #COMEX #MoneyPrinting #MarketResearch
#GC, gold futures: Commitments of Traders report - #COT
Huge reduction in net positions for both #ManagedMoney and the martingale #SwapDealers traders, with a substantial cut of roughly 25k contracts on each side. Important to note the asymmetry: for MM this represents about 22% of their net long exposure, while for SD it is only around 12%: not a trivial difference. ๐
Inevitably, the insane volatility forced some form of position and risk management, as the dollar damage associated with tens or even hundreds of thousands of contracts has spiraled dramatically higher. ๐
When I started this COT series more than a year ago, I noticed a breath-like cycle of rising and falling exposure centered around the yellow neutral line. The blue sinusoidal line has never been changed since then, and so far it has offered a remarkably reliable path.
The distance of price from the moving average in the lower panel, on the other hand, has been completely dwarfed. At the time, the historic extreme was 26.9, respected for more than two decades. We are now around 35, after extending to 40.
Totally uncharted territory. ๐ต
Keeping an eye on charts and metrics does not mean they will prevent price from doing what it has to do. โบ๏ธ
#COMEX #Futures #MarketStructure #PreciousMetals
#GC, gold futures: Commitments of Traders report, #COT
Quite a muted COT report for GC futures, at least as of Tuesdayโs settlement. Both #ManagedMoney and the martingale #SwapDealers traders slightly added to their main exposure, widening the total gap by only 4,158 contracts. A tiny number.
Truth is, Thursday and Fridayโs ferocious movements will be reflected in the next report, so as usual when assessing the weekly COT, we are half blinded. ๐ซค
And no, this has nothing to do with technology. There is no technical limitation in 2026 that justifies relying on Tuesday data to analyze positioning over the weekend.
The data already exists daily. Aggregating it is trivial. Near real time reporting would be easy: the delay is driven by governance, not capability.
The usual excuses are rolled out, legal validation windows, confidentiality thresholds, internal sign offs, fear of misinterpretation, institutional risk aversion, and, especially, bla-bla-bla. ๐คก
All incredibly trivial when weighed against the scale, speed, and sophistication of modern markets.
We have microwave towers transmitting trades in millionths of a second, but position transparency is frozen in a legacy framework that materially reduces clarity. Call it caution, call it inertia, but the outcome is opacity. ๐คก
Rant apart, nothing really noticeable this week, COT-wise, even if gold gained an awesome, quite rare 8.51%, closing just shy of the unfathomable $5,000 mark, where fortunes will be made and lost intraday, trying to squeeze each side out of the market. ๐ค
I am old enough to remember when $2,000 was an unbeatable threshold. ๐
Enjoy your deserved weekend, precious metal investors. It has been an absolutely glorious week. โบ๏ธ
#FuturesTrading #Commodities #PreciousMetals
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