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✳️GRAIN WEATHER ALERT ....LA NINA FADING ?✳️ ➡️NEW JUNE CLIMATE MODELS COMING IN WEAKER WITH LA NINA ⬅️ The brand new European climate model came out this morning of June 5 for ENSO region 3.4--- that is the critical region in determining whether the equatorial Pacific-- is showing NO La Nina conditions this summer/ autumn or winter. Since the European model on May 5 was slightly colder than the April 5 forecast... there was some hope or anticipation that the June 5 European model run would be a tad colder than the May climate model run. But as you can see on IMAGE 1⃣ that has turned out to be completely false. In fact the June 5 new run of the European climate model is even weaker and LESS favorable for the development of ANY kind of La Nina -even a weak one. Taking verbatim the model shows no La Nina conditions right through the Autumn into the winter. Moreover this is the third or fourth run in a row where the European climate model has refused to jump in bed with the other climate models and show a moderate or strong La Nina. This has SIGNIFICANT implications for the agricultural concerns/ grain markets all around the world. If this is correct and ENSO stays neutral throughout the summer it would significantly reduce the chances of hot and dry conditions for the Midwest the Eastern Plains and the Delta. It would have a significant impact on the hurricane season in terms of the activity. And if this forecast were to hold true it would greatly increase the chances of having a normal winter across the Central and Eastern us in 2024-25. Indeed the new European climate model rainfall projections for the main grain areas in the US are wetter than the previous runs and show large areas of either normal or above normal rainfall throughout the heart of the Midwest and the upper Plains for June July and August. Finally it should be pointed out that the European model here is not alone. Most of the climate models over the past three or four Cycles have significantly reduced the La Nina development and its intensity. SEE IMAGE 2⃣ The event is coming in much weaker than initially forecasted back in February and March on these other climate models and it is not nearly as strong. #agwx #oatt #corn #soybeans #wheat #grain #agriculture #Commodities #farming #agtwitter #grains