13/ Bottom line: AI remains the strongest structural narrative.
But macro gravity hasn’t disappeared, it’s just temporarily hidden beneath the AI boom.
Stay selective.
Read the full article for the complete macro, stocks, AI & crypto breakdown: https://t.co/dmeyoxe9VK
1/ #85: 5-Min Macro, Stocks, AI & Crypto
The AI Citadel vs the Macro Fog
• Markets at ATHs.
• Yields rising.
• Oil above $103.
• War headlines flipping risk sentiment every 12 hours.
Yet AI stocks keep ripping.
Here’s what’s actually happening 🧵
#macro#AI
12/ The biggest risk now?
Markets are priced for AI perfection while bonds are pricing structural inflation persistence.
If CPI surprises higher again, yields could test 4.7%+ very quickly.
That’s where volatility returns aggressively.
Inflation is going higher. Cutting all expectations of a cut. Rather we might as well see a hike in coming months. Market is not taking that well.
Hike = everything gets expensive.
The real driver right now is macro.
With decisions from the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, and Bank of England this week, and oil staying elevated, rate cut expectations are being pushed out.
Less liquidity support = limited upside for now.
Stay Sharp✌️
Waiting for a Catalyst
Bitcoin is trading around $74K, holding the range, but failing to build momentum above recent highs. There’s buying on dips, but without strong volume, upside isn’t sticking.
Trump is set to sell 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
This plan will cut the nation’s emergency energy supply by over 40%, leaving oil reserves at their lowest levels since the early 1980s.
11/ Please Like and bookmark this tweet! If you found it valuable, quote it and share your thoughts.
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#83: 5-Min Macro, Stocks, AI & Crypto Weekly
Oil reversal. Credit stress. AI reality check.
This week showed something important:
Markets are being pulled by 3 powerful forces at once
• geopolitics
• liquidity stress
• AI investment cycle
Let’s break it down. 👇 🧵
#macro
10/ The Summary 🧠
We are in a collision of:
1️⃣ Energy supply shocks (Hormuz)
2️⃣ Liquidity traps (Gated Private Credit)
3️⃣ Tech Rationalization (Stargate failure)
Volatility isn’t a spike anymore. It is the baseline.
Check out the full report here: https://t.co/IOJWFdHXEP