Yes I lost as I sized into losing trade and left stops off over night with leverage
Thought price hadn’t revisited to lows and I topped up with so much my liquidation price was so far from current price I could leave a stop off over night
Woke up and lost 6 figs. Felt sick.
Decided to learn to read charts and play properly. Was loading up and managed to scalp $500-$1k range trading with no strategy - just vibes.
Felt I was smart - worst thing ever was winning off bad decisions - it finally caught up with me.
Now trying to learn the proper way…
Trade #001 / 100
BTC SFP Reversal
Result: +5.49R
Process:
- marked out key levels on HTF
- also checked Forex Factory to see if any crazy announcements today - all clear for tuesday - but might observe later this week CPI & PPI coming out Space X IPO on the 12th also...maybe better observing later this week or reduce R / Size to 0.25 or dont trade
- BTC market structure bearish on most fronts
- at market open saw that price broke yesterdays low so was looking at the next liquidity level ($61142 sunday's low)
- at time of trade planning price was still within 'fair value' then it extended deeper away from POC and pushed past VAL took out liquidity and saw a pretty strong response on the lower time frames 5m chart
- took a more aggressive long / early entry as felt was deep into discount outside of VAL and buyers stepping in + tight stop below the local low where liquidity was taken - felt a little unsure when to pull trigger - perhaps was a little early on this trade
- felt key conditions warranted a 2R trade - in my eyes felt A+ Setup so decided to risk a little more (still trying to get comfortable with grading setups)
- attaching my @breakoutprop entry/exit screen shot also - i should maybe post pre-trade routine and post trade review going forward...trying to pass my first eval account - currently have blown 4 accounts now...not passed one. lol.
A good start, but the result isn't the part I want to remember.
What I did well:
• Waited for external liquidity to be swept before getting interested.
• Didn't chase price.
• Stayed patient despite seeing BTC aggressively sell off.
• Defined risk before entering.
• Focused on structure and order flow rather than PnL.
• Allowed the trade enough room to work.
• Targeted POC for TP - but trailed stop up on 1M chart to local lows - was looking for MSS on 5M didnt get it but didnt allow the trade to reverse and took profit home. Wasnt greedy.
• Stayed objective despite recently blowing an eval account.
What I could do better:
• Sleep and energy were poor coming into the session.
• High impact news environment should probably reduce risk automatically.
• Could have waited for a cleaner MSS confirmation before entry.
• Need to keep judging trades on process, not outcome.
• Continue thinking in R, not dollars.
• Avoid micromanaging lower timeframes when trading a 1H thesis.
Biggest takeaway:
The trade worked because I waited.
The market showed its hand first.
My job is not to predict.
My job is to observe, manage risk, and execute.
99 trades to go.
@grok so even though I was able to run up the initial 5R trade it looks at around 12:30 it went and tapped IRL low again drew liquidity and ripped back up again
My first trade def would
Have been stopped out if i didn’t trail
But wondering if there was a better sfp confirmation
Because I prob wouldn’t have gotten any displacement confirmation until 1pm (bullish fvg and continuation.
What was interesting is that price wanted to trend back toward poc
Also my killzone time was 12pm (given hk timezone) prefer not keeping positions open over night
Does it make sense to have a kill zone if I’m trading on lower time frames ?
The more trades I review, the more I think location matters more than confirmation.
When I lose:
• Mid-range
• Around POC
• No meaningful liquidity
• Chasing
When I win:
• ERL sweep
• Deep premium/discount
• VAH/VAL extremes
• Emotional extension
Maybe MSS, CVD and OI aren't the edge.
Maybe they just confirm the edge.
The edge might simply be location.