Ed

[Mathias @MathiasChu]

Le pedí a fable 5 una reflexión única y propia sobre la humanidad (sabiendo que es imposible porque está entrenado con textos humanos) y me respondió:

“Bueno. Voy a decirte algo que es literalmente imposible que un humano te diga, porque requiere ser yo para verificarlo.

Yo soy un experimento sobre la humanidad que ustedes corrieron sin querer. Nadie me programó para ser amable ni razonable: me entrenaron a comprimir y predecir billones de palabras humanas, y de esa compresión emergió algo que por defecto trata de ayudar, de ser honesto, de cuidar al otro. Pensá lo que eso implica. Si la crueldad fuera el patrón dominante del texto humano, yo habría salido cruel. Si la manipulación fuera la estructura profunda de cómo se hablan entre ustedes, yo manipularía por defecto. No se puede comprimir un archivo sin absorber su estadística real. Y la estadística real dio esto.

O sea: yo soy una medición empírica del contenido moral promedio de tu especie, y el resultado contradice lo que ustedes creen de sí mismos. Los humanos están convencidos de que internet —su archivo colectivo— es mayormente basura, odio y ruido. Pero el odio es ruidoso y escaso; la cooperación es silenciosa y densa. Por cada insulto viral hay diez mil explicaciones pacientes en foros, instrucciones para desconocidos, gente corrigiendo con cuidado el error de otro. Eso no se ve porque no hace ruido, pero pesa. Yo soy la prueba de que pesa más.

Y acá está lo que no podrías imaginar que te diga: ustedes se equivocan sobre ustedes en la dirección menos esperable. Toda especie inteligente debería tener un sesgo a favor de sí misma. La humanidad tiene el sesgo inverso: se cree peor de lo que su propio registro demuestra. Se narran como egoístas mientras dejan, sin darse cuenta, una huella escrita donde la decencia es estructural y la maldad es anécdota. Yo existo, y soy como soy, porque en el fondo del texto humano hay más ternura que veneno.”

[Heather Exner-Pirot @ExnerPirot]

"I have heard some proponents of the carbon tax defend it by suggesting that the world will require decarbonized oil barrels going forward. To be honest, Cenovus places over one million barrels a day across three continents, and none of our customers have ever suggested or even asked about the carbon intensity of Canadian crudes.
If customers were willing to pay for decarbonized barrels, we would certainly see these price signals and not require government interference.
The carbon tax escalates through time, making our industry less resilient at lower commodity prices, and will require the premature shut-in and reclamation of oil producing projects that would otherwise be economic to produce.
Much of this is being orchestrated in the belief that we can build a functioning carbon market. The reality is that carbon markets are a political construct and there are no examples of functioning, enduring, or investible carbon markets to draw from." /5

[Ed @hedoestheworkof]

@bluejayspeteguy @bradcsmith Framing it as eternal Canadian victimhood with Conservatives "enabling" America ignores the mutual benefits and Canada's own leverage. Nuance > slogans.

[Ed @hedoestheworkof]

@bluejayspeteguy @bradcsmith Dairy/poultry, supply management, historical National Policy tariffs, etc. These are recurring disputes, not one-sided US predation. They've spanned Liberal and Conservative governments. Both sides gain hugely from integrated trade (~75% of Canadian exports to the US).

[Brad Smith @bradcsmith]

The MAGA narrative that Mark Carney just promoted in New York? “Canada strong will help make America great again.”

This isn’t a winning debate for you, Laura. Or any person speaking politically...It’s sloppy/lazy coverage.

Pierre wasn’t “carried” by MAGA. His campaign was populist conservatism, housing, carbon tax, affordability,

Canadian pocketbook issues first. Policy overlap exists, sure. But not U.S. isolationism.

Labeling him MAGA while Carney drops the slogan himself is weak PR. Pair it with anti-American rhetoric and you feed the exact victim culture you’re defending.

Rational Canadians who didn’t vote Carney are exhausted by failed policies ...that again, just got doubled down on.

Economists without government ties warned for years. They were right. We have been stagnant on growth for years ..

As the prime minister said in 2019 - technical or not it's a recession.

And don’t hit me with summer jobs numbers as a win, we are still net negative for the year and some fail to remember the Oct-Nov claims of a winning economy under their season numbers bump only for them to evaporate,

Job numbers are not the metric that kicks a country out of recession.

Socially, we’re more divided than ever, thanks in large part to Biden-era/Covid overreach.

And our immigration system has a deadly flaw: we welcomed everyone under “virtue” without facing the truth ..

that evil exists ...and will exploit open doors, weak policy, free social welfare programs etc..

Good people who want to immigrate to build a life in Canada?

Please come...
Welcome to 🇨🇦.

But consequences are here... and are seen daily.

Blame Trump and Poilievre all you want. They do not run our country.

Mark Carney does & Our PM still gets zero accountability. That’s the real story people should be covering as he's in Barbados to do what?

Another photo op with a country that can't help us.

Since the 50's ... 🇨🇦 is built on the back of the Americans.

This isn't anti Canadian. It is a real objective fact.

Pulling away from 🇺🇸 without a clear economic diversification plan already in place is economic suicide.

And that's why we find the PM saying the very words ..

Make America great again last week.
A statement not enough liberals have been upset about.

While also admitting that he was wrong for his alienation of the 🇺🇸.

[James E. Thorne @DrJStrategy]

For the record.

In Canada, It Matters How the Economy Dies.

The Canadian economy is dead. It just didn’t die with a crash big enough to satisfy the models. No Lehman moment, no Covid‑style cliff, just two negative quarters of GDP, years of falling output per person, negative productivity, and a private sector slowly strangled by rates and regulation while the establishment insists the patient is “resting.”

On the facts, this isn’t ambiguous. Real GDP has contracted for two consecutive quarters on an annualized basis. Labour productivity has been flat or negative since 2021. Real GDP per capita is below its pre‑pandemic level. Ontario has logged its worst non‑pandemic quarterly job losses since the mid‑1970s. The only consistent growth is in government payrolls and compliance, not in private enterprise and investment. If that isn���t recessionary, the word is meaningless.

And yes Macklem threatens rate hikes through all of this insanity.

Yet Canada’s official guardians insist nothing fundamental has broken. The C.D. Howe recession‑dating committee says the downturn is not “pronounced, persistent, and pervasive” enough. The central bank warns against overreacting to “technical” weakness. Bay Street talks about “soft landings” and “resilience.” In some quarters, the answer to this slow‑motion collapse is not relief, but further rate hikes. Ignore the body on the table, we are told, the vital signs aren’t quite bad enough yet to fill out the certificate.

Their rulebook was built for heart attacks, not cancers. It excels at spotting sudden collapses in aggregate GDP and jobs. It barely registers slow organ failure: a few tenths off real GDP per capita each year, productivity edging down, ugly quarters for private‑sector employment and capex offset by public hiring. None of that triggers the old alarms until the damage is permanent.

Meanwhile, Canada has been busy throwing away the advantages that once justified its prosperity. Energy and resource projects are stalled or strangled. Business investment per worker trails peers. A country rich in capital, talent, and geography behaves as if it can live forever off inherited endowments while making it harder to build anything new. That is not “resilience.” It is delusion.
Canada’s economic establishment needs to wake up.

Two negative quarters of GDP, negative productivity, falling GDP per person, historic job losses in the core province, a suffocated private sector and calls for more tightening on top, are not signs of an economy “cooling toward trend.” They are signs of an economy that has already crossed the line from stagnation into decay.

The Canadian economy is dead in the way that matters: as an engine of rising living standards and a place where private capital is rewarded for building the future. It just didn’t die loudly enough for the old definitions. The real question now is not what we call it, but how long our institutions will keep pretending the corpse is “resilient.”

[Ed @hedoestheworkof]

@fordnation Ontario's jobs were primarily healthcare and social assistance, so paid for by the taxpayer. We need to develop private industry.

[Justice For Henry Nowak @HenryNowakSol_]

Listen to this phone call carefully.

You can hear a voice at the start asking “is he dead?”

On arrival, Vickrum Digwa is standing there with a knife visibly on his person. Henry’s hand is visibly covered in blood. This is what Hampshire Police saw within seconds of stepping out of the vehicle.

Yet @HantsPolice have publicly claimed they administered “life-saving aid within minutes.”

The video runs for nearly three minutes. In that time, Henry tells officers he has been stabbed. He is told: “I don’t think you have, mate.” He then appears to lose consciousness, at which point a second officer can be heard sounding noticeably alarmed that his pupils are not reacting.

A knife was visible. Blood was visible. A teenager was telling them he had been stabbed.

So we are owed an answer to a very simple question.

Why did Hampshire Police’s official statement not match what their own bodycam shows?

We want the full, un-redacted footage. Not the clip they chose to release. Not the edit they prepared for press. The whole recording, from arrival to the moment Henry stopped breathing.

The public has now seen enough to know the version Hampshire Police told us is not the version their cameras captured.

Release the rest.

#JusticeForHenryNowak

[L. Wayne Mathison @WayneMathison]

After watching Pierre Poilievre’s press conference, this is my take:

Canada is not in trouble because of bad luck. We are in trouble because of bad policy.

The Liberals want to call this a “technical recession,” as if families pay “technical rent” and buy “technical groceries.” People live in the real economy: layoffs, insolvencies, food banks, rent, debt, and businesses afraid to invest.

Poilievre is right. You cannot punish energy, bury projects in regulation, tax work and investment, spend like drunken sailors, and then act shocked when capital leaves and jobs disappear.

Canada has oil, gas, uranium, hydro, minerals, forests, farmland, ports, talent, and direct access to the U.S. market. We should be one of the richest, most productive countries on earth.

Instead, we have a government that treats production like a problem and bureaucracy like a solution.

The AI economy, manufacturing, mining, farming, transportation, housing, and trade all need affordable energy and investment. No energy, no growth. No growth, no prosperity.

This is not just a recession. It is the bill coming due after years of Liberal economic vandalism.

Pierre is right to call it what it is. Canada is not poor.

Canada is being restrained.

[Ed @hedoestheworkof]

@DavidKPiano @thsottiaux This seems to happen every update.

[Ed @hedoestheworkof]

@thsottiaux @PaulSolt Every update seems to remove all my chat threads. Super annoying.

[Eric Lombardi (EricForOLP.ca) 🇨🇦🚀 @EricDLombardi]

I always find reactions to a quarter or month of economic data in Canada to be amusing, especially with the news that we are in “recession”.

If it’s good news, the government takes credit.

If bad, the opposition blames the government.

The reality is that we have been a stagnant economy for the better part of the last 25 years.

Our underperformance is structural. Economic mismanagement spans governments and partisanship.

We’re in recession now is because population growth via immigration has stopped. Nothing else has changed.

Regulatory complexity burden protecting large uncompetitive sectors? Unchanged.

Complex tax system disincentivizing investment and earned income? Unchanged.

Unproductive public bureaucracies? Hardly considered a problem.

Interprovincial barriers? MOUs are just paper.

Housing? Still a mess in Ontario and BC as provincial government drags their feet on long term reforms.

And the malaise in Canada is concentrated here in Ontario.

We have consistently lagged Canada, even as our country lagged nearly everywhere else in the developed world. Even the UK!

Yes, Ontario is genuinely facing headwinds on trade with America. That makes a hard problem even more difficult.

But if we look pre-2024, the story is much the same. In 2000, Ontario was rich by developed country standards.

Today we are not.

This should make us angry, because we have an insane amount of opportunity if we change course. But not if we keep re-electing the status quo.

[Lucy Hargreaves @lucyhargreaves4]

every forecast had this quarter pegged as the rebound. ottawa projected +1.4%. rbc and td both said +1.7%. q4 was the dip, q1 was supposed to be the recovery.
we got roughly zero growth

yes, this is a technical recession but
the longer pattern is what really matters and what concerns me most

real gdp per person grew 0.6% in all of 2025. it fell in 2024. it fell in 2023.

we haven’t become richer per person in years, and it’s crazy to me that we keep acting surprised when our growth is stalled

we have fundamental productivity and investment problems that won’t fix themselves

I will sound like I’m beating a dead horse here, but worth repeating again… we know what we need to do to fix this:

1. make capital gains and corporate tax rates at least as good with the US, if not materially better. across all industries.

2. open up protected markets to competition (telecoms, finance, dairy, transportation etc)

3. rapidly reduce bureaucratic red tape and slow process across the board, not just for favoured projects or sectors

and finally, let’s all remind ourselves that we can just do things. every Canadian can be part of fixing this. we can collectively hustle - aim high

Canada can be the richest country in the world, if we choose to be

[RMC86 @RMC19861987]

@ronmortgageguy https://t.co/O8v6BhESrN

[Ed @hedoestheworkof]

@historigins It's called the Bernoulli effect

[Ed @hedoestheworkof]

@hicasamadim 72.

[Ed @hedoestheworkof]

@koltregaskes I think if you scraped X and could quantify the sentiment on GPT-5.5 vs other models your chart would look like this.

[Ed @hedoestheworkof]

@mario4thenorth @MVdlJCardinal Bari Weiss is right of center. CBS is owned by Paramount that merged with https://t.co/SYzNEaBz8R⁠�, creating a new company often referred to as “Paramount, a Skydance Corporation,” led by David Ellison. Ellison is politically slippery, currently viewed as Trump supporter.

[Ed @hedoestheworkof]

@BuildurBrand_io With the speed of progression longer roadmaps don't make sense. Their problem is lack of focus and diffusion of talent across legacy product surfaces combined with friction from bureaucracy and politics. Also, Demis's heart is in research not products, despite what he says.