𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳

𝓒𝓵𝓾𝓮𝓵𝓮𝓼𝓼 .. 𝓪𝓼 𝓼𝓽𝓲𝓵𝓵 𝓵𝓮𝓪𝓻𝓷𝓲𝓷𝓰 𝓪𝓯𝓽𝓮𝓻 𝓪𝓵𝓵 𝓽𝓱𝓲𝓼 𝓽𝓲𝓶𝓮. 𝓞𝓹𝓲𝓷𝓲𝓸𝓷𝓪𝓽𝓮𝓭, 𝓼𝓪𝓻𝓬𝓪𝓼𝓽𝓲𝓬 & 𝓪𝓷𝓽𝓲𝓽𝓱𝓮𝓽𝓲𝓬𝓪𝓵.

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

My Status .... for the curious 😌

[Adithya Krishna Menon @AdithyaKM_]

Arunachal Pradesh needs the Frontier Highway & dams (for hydro, pumped hydro & flood mitigation). Without transport & power there won't be any economic development. Or defence. Or tourism. Or advanced agriculture.
- Those imbeciles who blindly say no to basic development just because "aww nature" should be deprived of all modern amenities. Such entitlement should be a crime. You can't build a single shed without causing ecological problems, go live in thatched huts or caves instead of 5 star hotels under AC then. Biblical levels of hypocrisy.
- Obviously overdevelopment of fragile areas is bad. The best India can and should do is prioritize. We've built too much in some areas and nothing in others. Time to build where there's nothing currently.

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

Said thus 5 years back. Still stand by it.

[Adithya Krishna Menon @AdithyaKM_]

India 🇮🇳 has to make more pragmatic, risky decisions regarding Myanmar 🇲🇲 imo.
While 🇮🇳 might be engaging with Kachin (KIA) regarding rare earths, the flagship Kaladan project remains stalled:

Kaladan corridor in brief:
- Caego taken from Zorinpui 🇮🇳 to Paletwa 🇲🇲 by road. Cargo shifts to Kaladan river barges. Taken to Sittwe port operated by 🇮🇳.
- Road completed till border. Land cleared in 🇲🇲 stretch but not built. Jetty at Paletwa is ready.

Now the fun part:
- 🇮🇳 border is with Chin state of 🇲🇲
- Paletwa is also in Chin. But Sittwe is in Rakhine state.
- Rakhine focused Arakan Army (AA) currently controls the entire stretch till 🇮🇳 border, including Paletwa & other stretches in Chin areas. Paletwa is now considered by AA to be a district of Arakan state.
- AA offensive has captured all of Rakhine but Sittwe, Chinese port-SEZ Kyaukpyu & the island of Munaung. Their offensive appears to have stalled, mostly.
- AA is interested in legitimacy & has not harmed Kaladan or the Chinese investments.

The main strategic objectives of 🇮🇳 are stability & access to NE states. We don't want the myriad insurgent groups in 🇮🇳 as well as 🇲🇲 to destabilize the area.
However, ground reality also includes:
- Tatmadaw has continued to leverage anti-India groups for its own goals against the resistance.
- Tatmadaw control over 🇲🇲 is not for the benefit of their people & is not necessarily in 🇮🇳 interest either. 🇲🇲 has been troubled for decades thanks to them. 🇮🇳 needs stability across the border here for development & access.
- 🇮🇳 is building a border fence along the 🇲🇲 border & seeking to settle minor disputes. Atleast the need for a fence was realized after decades, phew. FMR can't happen when there's a rather never ending war on the other side.
- Even if the Tatmadaw miraculously gives up, the dozens of EAOs & groups in 🇲🇲 will keep it a very conflict ridden / unstable nation.

What can 🇮🇳 realistically achieve here?
- Fence, being realized
- Strikes against anti-India insurgents, being done on a need basis
- Rare earths, being explored
- Engage with EAOs, being done but can improve more. If 🇨🇳 can have deep ties with 🇲🇲 EAOs along its border, why can't 🇮🇳? Imo Tatmadaw has proven itself uninterested/unable to truly uproot anti-Indian groups. Shouldn't that be the bare minimum expected froma neighboring "government"? The larger EAOs are not exactly against 🇮🇳, perhaps they will do better job against these fringe anti-India groups of supported & trusted by 🇮🇳. And they can use that support.
- Kaladan: Now 🇮🇳 has engaged with AA but little progress on the ground. Can 🇮🇳 & AA do something more here? AA offers NE a link to the Bay of Bengal, almost all of it under their control.
- This is not just about Kaladan, access is just one part of our core needs. Development of the border areas in 🇲🇲 also means stability for 🇮🇳. Tatmadaw has been given enough chances. Perhaps we can see if atleast AA, if not other groups, can prove to be better partners. Perhaps realistic decisions regarding the sovereignty of 🇲🇲 or atleast Tatmadaw's monopoly over parts of it can be made.

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

Reposting.

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

On Pakistan.

The rule (role) in proxy further strengthened.

Incumbent PM & DM are useful 'tools'. Will be the fall guys if things go awry.

Power now comprehensively in hands of the Pakistani Armed Forces in a more overt (for the establishment there anyway) way.

Rearm, re-equip while salvaging the "image" - charade of "victory" reinforced.

A deflection with IK the possible bogey to divert the attention .... action against him will be a calculated move to further consolidate power. (Pakistan Supreme Court ruling allowing Military Courts to try Civilians was Step 1; action against IK may lead to civil protests - martial law?)

Will allow PA to get a breather as it lacks the ability to undertake a military action over IWT. Deflect citizens' attention. But this is a temporary move.

Interesting times.

On Kangladesh.

Chief Adviser remains a tool for US, China, Pakistan in varying capacities. Mutually beneficial in short term.

Entry of US into Bangladesh, while aimed at checking China primarily, plays into longer strategic calculus of keeping India in check too. Intervening on Pakistan's behalf (by US) is a further pointer. Have always said that after China, India is next.

For China -

Munir is, for all practical purposes, beholden to US. CPEC is a suspect for China now. China will try to stymie the losses here by military hardware diplomacy.

Bangladesh is a short investment to add a pressure point on India. Should India show a softer stand to China, they will dump it quickly. They have a hold, for now, in Myanmar.

Takeaways:

India needs to up its domestic game - production, manufacturing & tech needs to be focused on. Indigenous & self reliance can not be mere slogans now.

Mobilization of national resources in a major way for strengthening basic architecture of society & economy is of utmost urgency.

Action against aliens & illegals, must be done now.

Interesting, but risky times ahead

[心灵书舫 | SoulSloop @SoulSloop99]

中国花2000万买了个航母空壳？乌克兰专家：光是4个发动机就超过两千万。

​​一开始乌克兰给这艘未完工的航母开出了4亿美元的报价，连续挂牌五年都无人问津，直到九十年代末，财政窘迫的乌克兰才把价格压到了2000万美元，几乎等同于一堆优质特种钢材的废铁价。

​​当时西方媒体集体嘲讽，说中国人花2000万美元买了一堆毫无用处的海上废铁，完全是当了冤大��。

​​可熟悉这艘航母建造全过程的乌克兰工程师却在旁边心疼得直咂嘴：这艘舰上原装的4台TB-12蒸汽轮机，光是出厂时的造价，单台就超过500万美元，四台加起来的价值早就超过了2000万美元。

​​这四台动力系统，是苏联当年为了对抗美国尼米兹级航母专门研发的核心装备，单台功率高达4.5万马力，四台同时输出能让6万多吨的航母跑出30节以上的最高航速。

​​整套动力系统的耐高温、抗冲击性能，在当时全球范围内都属于顶尖水平，哪怕放在20多年后的今天，依然是重型航母动力体系里的第一梯队产品。

​​乌克兰专家心里比谁都清楚，这四台几乎全新的蒸汽轮机，本身的价值就已经远超2000万美元的总成交价，更别说舰体上采用的特种甲板钢、大型舰体结构件，这些东西的总造价，在苏联时期就已经超过了20亿美元。

​​但当时的西方势力根本不可能让中国完整拿到这套核心装备，在美国的强硬施压下，乌克兰方面被迫对航母进行了“剥皮式”的拆解：舰上所有的武器系统、雷达控制系统、管路线束全部被炸毁切割。

​​唯独这套安装在舰体最深处、体积巨大难以拆解的蒸汽轮机和配套轴系，被保留了下来。

​​西方的评估报告里笃定地认为，哪怕留下了动力系统，没有配套的控制系统，中国人也根本不可能让这艘6万吨的巨舰重新动起来，最终只能把它拆成废钢铁卖掉。

​​当年以2000万美元拍下这艘航母的徐增平，也没有只盯着船壳本身，他在谈判桌上咬死了一个旁人都觉得多余的条件：必须把全套完整的设计图纸一起交付。

​​最终乌方妥协，整整装了8辆大卡车、总重四五十吨的全套设计图纸，和航母一起交付给了中方，这些图纸里详细标注了每一个舱室的结构、动力系统的安装参数、舰体的应力��布数据，这些资料的价值，根本不是2000万美元能衡量的。

​​后续的归国之路更是走得无比艰难，瓦良格号1999年从黑海造船厂出发，在土耳其博斯普鲁斯海峡被无理阻拦了整整506天。

​​光是滞留期间的拖船费、停泊费就烧掉了近千万美元，之后又因为苏伊士运河不让无动力船只通行，只能绕非洲南端的好望角兜了大半个地球，整整走了四年零八个月，才终于在2002年抵达大连港。

​​算上沿途的所有通行成本、协调开销，整个项目的实际投入，早就远远超过了最初的2000万美元。

​​后来中国的造船团队接手这艘航母之后，依托完整的设计图纸和几乎完好的原装动力系统，用了7年时间完成了全部改装工作。
​​2012年，这艘被重新命名为“辽宁舰”的航母正式交付中国海军，中国终于拥有了自己的第一艘航空母舰。

​​当年乌克兰专家口中“4台发动机就超过两千万”的判断，后来被完全印证了：这套原装的蒸汽轮机，为中国航母动力体系的研发节省了至少十几年的摸索时间，后来国产航母山东舰的动力系统，正是在这套技术的基础上完成了国产化自主生产。

​信息来源：环球网《瓦良格号航母刚到中国时满是淤泥破败不堪》

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

It is okay. Your flight has a block time. Lands within the appointed time. In a country where a Pax pushes past the operating Captains in a rush to board aircraft as if Gold Medal is to be won, something needs to be done keeping in view the office (not a person).

[Lloyd Mathias @LloydMathias]

Boarding on AI 882 AMD-DEL is delayed by 20 minutes because Supreme Court Judge Vipul Pancholi & wife had to be VIP boarded first. They walk in with a posse of 6 guards + 3 AI staffers. Is this the VIP culture that India’s judiciary advocates? @MLJ_GoI ?
#VIPculture 🚨#lalbatti

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

@dgurpreet Will get back and have that session. Been time ... travelling ..

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

With the acknowledgement that the Offr concerned should focus exclusively on his remit, the Chinese still have that concept of trying to deny India a breakthrough as, else, if achieved, India will be able to rapidly change the situation in the concerned sector & consolidate.

[Jaidev Jamwal @JaidevJamwal]

I remember reading an article written by a Chinese military officer (perhaps a Border Defence Regiment Commander) about his time serving on Indo-Tibet border in the eastern sector, perhaps near Bhutan or Arunachal. Time period should be around 2000s or early 90s.

The base he was commanding had a simple mandate to hold any Indian advance for 30 minutes. If Indian forces advanced past him in 29:59 minutes, he'd be considered a failure and treated accordingly. If he held on for 30 minutes or more, then he'd be a celebrated war hero.

Now our senior para-military commanders are singing the same tune as him. Copium of drones and Ukraine war added for extra flavour too. How fortunes change in such a short time.😅

[Richard @ricwe123]

All the time we are told how the war in Ukraine is "unprovoked"

But then i see this video from early 2014, were Ukrainian soldiers, fully supported by the CIA, are firing at homes in Eastern Ukraine, creating chaos in the region........

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

@dakuurukhasb28 @sidhant Nothing like that.
Only we are foolish enough to concentrate on one aspect at a time.
80 crores to be fed, laadli behena etc issue.

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

@slayer50766 Not so. His remit is limited to ensuring his organization's task of guarding the border, is carried out to the best of his capabilities. Not sing away to glory about Chinese capabilities .

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

What U-Turn? Something being missed by me?

All I see is her saying that video was made to congratulate the Bangladeshi anarchists ...

[The Jaipur Dialogues @JaipurDialogues]

Ek Jhatke mein Comrade ki Saari Karnti Nikal Gayi

Listen to Neha Bora taking a UTURN

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

@dakuurukhasb28 @NetramDefence Ah okay

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

@slayer50766 He should have stuck to his domain.

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

@dakuurukhasb28 @NetramDefence Post deleted.

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

@dgurpreet Law is very clear. Notwithstanding any clause of Constitution with respect to Fundamental Rights, reasonable restrictions can be imposed if the actions may result in acts disruptive in nature and affecting public order & rights of fellow citizens. Funny how that works

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

@AdithyaKM_ Consolidation is indeed needed to streamline & enhance effectiveness. Especially in the re-arranged global security landscape, the opportunities are ours to lose.

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

It so caught me by surprise 😏

https://t.co/xhIjF2DpDN

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

@TBarman97871 Exactly.

Professionals from recognized institutes with vetted backgrounds.

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

Make a Civil Services cadre with a very big caveat - eligibility only for those who have served minimum 5 years in Military Services & other professional services with recognized institutions (power to recognize such institutions to be decided by GoI) subject to military laws 😁

[Union Public Service Commentary (UPSC) @upsc_unofficial]

The Rajamannar Committee recommend the abolition of the All India Services (IAS, IPS, and IFS).

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

@AmithabV49638 Second part .... miltary laws.

And other professional organizations. Not only military.
Vetted ... hence 5 years minimum

[𝕳𝖊𝖑𝖑𝖋𝖎𝖗𝖊🇮🇳 @hellfire_81]

I reallly can not understand stuff for people

[Chakravarthi @commandersamrat]

As if if you were in the military you are 7 khoon maaf💀🤡

People still think there is no corruption in military