hence

[hence @hencexox]

@anmhouston @lxeagle17 The money is the big X factor here. If they spend for Crowley like their spending for Stevens in Michigan then he is going to move up fast.

[hence @hencexox]

@AGlavkoverkh And the money as well. Most of the field has less than $500k on hand. Get a PAC to dump $10m for Crowley and you change the race in an instant.

[hence @hencexox]

@BLM0617 @StatisticUrban Evers beat Scott Walker and put up the best Dem performance since Obama in 2022. He deserves and will get deference from voters.

[hence @hencexox]

@StatisticUrban Evers going out of his way to not endorse Barnes is going to raise a lot of questions even if there isn’t really a scandal. It’s not often a governor snubs their Lt Governor like that so a lot of voters are going to think something’s up and that’s not good for Barnes.

[hence @hencexox]

@DCCyclone I think Evers likely endorsement of Crowley is devastating for Barnes. His whole campaign is centered on his time serving under Evers so how does he explain the Gov going with someone else? The endorsements likely push Barnes to exit or collapse his campaign

[hence @hencexox]

@ChazNuttycombe Feel like Evers endorsing someone else than his former Lt Gov is going to be pretty hard for his campaign to spin. Barnes whole campaign has been centered on his time serving under Evers.

[hence @hencexox]

@ChazNuttycombe I feel like this is going to be a professional op with big endorsements out the gate and big money PACs blanketing the airwaves for Crowley. He didn’t bring his campaign back from the dead without serious commitments

[hence @hencexox]

@WI_RightWing_Ls Evers & Baldwin are the only endorsements he really needs, they cover both bases of the party nicely.

[hence @hencexox]

@JAllen_NYC This is a lot better than the sexist ads IMO. I think it’s about time his defund the police support is brought up since it’s been proven to be unpopular with the black community.

[hence @hencexox]

@okayheyjay And neither of them should go further in their political careers because of it.

[hence @hencexox]

@wedgewoodpol @PollTracker2024 Having the endorsement of a popular incumbent governor gives Crowley an upper hand. Also Evers going out of his way to not endorse his former Lt Gov raises questions about Barnes

[hence @hencexox]

@NickyFrank30 This feels like more than electability concerns. Evers served with him up and close when he was his Lt Gov and he doesnt want to endorse.

[hence @hencexox]

@eldermullenial Evers, Baldwin & Moore endorsement would be worth a lot along with a PAC willing to drop a lot money promoting him.

[hence @hencexox]

@admcrlsn @DrewSav If Evers is going to this lengths to not endorse his former Lt Gov then he must have a good reason. Barnes is not the guy.

[hence @hencexox]

@mattyglesias Let's not forget Dearborn swung hard against Whitmer in '22 because she was pro-abortion & pro-LGBT. Despite the swing Whitmer increased her statewide margin. This was all before October 7th so there are other issues keeping them from voting Dem and Gaza is just a pretense...

[hence @hencexox]

@eldermullenial I suspect he's going to be getting some frantic calls from DC now because a weak candidate at the top of the ticket makes picking up WI-03 harder. I hope there's some movement in the next few weeks.

[hence @hencexox]

@samshirazim Her disapproval pretty much matches the 48% who voted against the redistricting amendment. She’s clearly underperforming with the Yes voters which tells me she has base
issues. Vetoes & data centers are the likely cause.

[hence @hencexox]

@AndrewDahDude @PollTracker2024 Probably why I doubt Dems are sweating in 2027. They have quite a big cushion before their majorities are at risk no matter how bad they mess up. They have 21 senate and 51 delegate seats that Harris won by double digits as their floor.

[hence @hencexox]

@Faj1791 @Ericrse37986 Jay Jones won ‘indies’. In VA they are just Dem leaning voters who dont want to tell pollsters their with a party.