The biggest controversy on Polymarket right now isn’t politics.
It’s about whether a company that openly reported selling Bitcoin… actually “sold Bitcoin” for the purposes of a market.
Here’s what happened:
If a company sells Bitcoin before the deadline, does it count even if it wasn’t filed publicly until the next day?
No matter which side you’re on, it’s a reminder that prediction markets aren’t just about getting the outcome right.
The Kalshi hate posts from @mattkalish seems like bad taste from the founder of a sports book.
Just curious, do these posts make you more or less inclined to use Kalshi?
because $2 feels small.
But if you’re trading often, that $2 becomes the difference between having edge and being unprofitable.
Fees don’t feel expensive until you look at your PnL.
I’ll take @Polymarket everyday.
This is why I never trade on Kalshi.
Take the exact same $100 NBA trade at 50¢.
That’s 200 contracts.
Polymarket fee: $1.50
Kalshi fee: $3.50
Same trade. Same exposure.
But Kalshi charges 133% more.
ONE HUNDRED THIRTY THREE.
People underestimate fee drag...