HonestPM

(BigCo) Product Management is the new Consulting

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

Sometimes I think of Project Rolling Stone, the absolutely monstrous feat of migrating Amazon from Oracle to AWS. It took 2-3 years but it was done. Stunning task of change at scale.

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

@nntaleb Basically all these anti vax now can only afford to have these discussions because of the many heroes who took the risk of vaccines on their behalf, turned covid into a less lethal issue

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

@nntaleb Friend of mine gave Japan as counterexample. Thoughts?

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

True fact, intentionally misleading conclusion. Fuck @zerohedge

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

Nearly 40% Of All Illinois COVID Deaths In The Last Month Are Breakthroughs. What Gives? https://t.co/WCo7wpbGC4

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

@phl43 Vaccines

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

I am bearish. Not because of the business fundamentals, but because they had to hire McKinsey to look at their costs. 🚩🚩🚩

[Lauren Thomas @laurenthomas]

SCOOP: Peloton is working with consulting group McKinsey & Co. to review its cost structure, which could entail layoffs and store closures. One employee tells me morale at the company is at an "all time low." $pton

https://t.co/Wch6nnwS5M

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

@JesseOberoi Cook

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

@michelletandler We reward ppl for being good at being elected not for being good operators. That is purely luck.

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

Amazon has tens of thousands ppl on it. Wondering what’s going to happen.

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

@AeonCoin @nntaleb @michaelmina_lab Yes. Can build a model that takes the real probability of an attendee being infectious as an input variable. Maybe I’ll get it done over the weekend.

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

@AeonCoin @nntaleb @michaelmina_lab Yes of course that can be a variable.

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

@nntaleb @michaelmina_lab Would be interesting to understand, say, what happens at a party of 100 ppl when everyone tested negative for antigen and all are asyntomatic. What are the odds that someone slips through and infects others?

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

@nntaleb @michaelmina_lab Some # on antigen tests vs pcr here. https://t.co/4CAbEEzqY8

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

@ole_b_peters Fooled by Randomness: the revenge

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

@Jac5Connor Hilarious

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

Balaji is considered one of the finest thinkers in SV and tech world. And yet he makes such basic and naive mistakes that I don’t know whether to laugh or cry. See the entire thread below with NNT

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

No.
You can predict what she or he will purchase next quarter, maybe.

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

Some call it “disagree and commit”

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

If you disagree w/the current form of centralized government (& I do), you must have worked BEFOREHAND on changing the structure/building alternatives, instead of hampering its PRESENT crisis management (wars/pandemics), particularly where there is no immediate alternative.

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

@nntaleb @maircomm Given this irrefutable evidence isn’t there a moral argument for policymakers in favor of vaccine mandates?

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

Exactly. The top-down cEnSorShIp that ppl complain about (understanble to an extent) really is trumped by the self-censorship most twitter celebrities do on their own accounts by optimizing content on “what has worked”.

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

When followers get upset, they go away, and you get new followers.
More generally, I despise authors who follow their audience, guided by "what has worked".

[HonestPM @HonestPM1]

@GidMK Isnt there also the problem that they perhaps excluded counties with declines in cases?