@tchanpoker How much can the game have changed? Sure these kids have their math and their solvers but you know what I have? 11 years of saved up one-times!
@jacasiegel Blackberry picking! One of our very favorite places is kite hill in Magnuson park. Loads of blackberries at the top, alongside amazing views of the water and a little swimming area
@billchenpoker@quantitudepod I think your prediction here is about as accurate as the predictions from the model I referenced above :-) don’t worry—you’re still the smartest person I know (that may not be saying a whole lot…)
Got covid and quarantining from my family (3 kids <= 6). On the downside, I have covid.
On the upside, wow is productivity easier when I abdicate family.
For example, today I tested a prediction model out of sample and produced r^2 = -13. Is that good @quantitudepod ?
Hey @DepressionLab we’ve never met, but just wanted to give you a shout because when I was waffling about applying to Spring’s research scientist position last year, you tweeted about it and it pushed me over the edge. So—thanks for helping me jump ship to a job I LOVE :-)
Academic Job alert!
I left my faculty job at UW psychiatry in January. I liked my job and loved my colleagues.
I came to Spring because I wanted to do precision mental health research, at scale, and roll it out. Best. Gamble. Ever. Come work with me!
https://t.co/wzZ1YlPR5Y
@HeatherTCooley The version I got was to write it “almost without references.” The rationale was that an aims page should be intuitive, uncontroversial, and out-of-the-weeds. The reviewer should just nod along in agreement the whole time. This may have been intended to balance my tendencies :-)
10pm, made myself an emergency chocolate cake-in-a-mug, had to substitute literally every single ingredient and now I finally understand the limitations of synthetic data
@EikoFried @JoranJongerling I’ve seen you make this point before and it feels really important to me. Any chance you’ve published it, or know of another citation for it?
@dp_moriarity Oh! Yeah that’s more boring :-) CFA away, then, ideally just a one group model across all 5 time points. And note that you can get away with releasing some equality constraints (partial measurement invariance). Todd Little has a great chapter on this.