Hunter Wieman

[Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias]

Check this prediction from February 2025 —>

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

@emeriticus It is crazy. They are fantasizing about having a reason to hate their imaginary girlfriend rather than fantasizing about having a hot girlfriend that likes them.

They only fantasize about having a gf because her betrayal (in the fantasy) validates their desire to hate women.

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

@justjoshinyou13 @BarrAlexandra where/how do you donate for this?

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

@mandylu board game recs

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

@morallawwithin Don't be sorry! It's great.

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

Claude won't believe me so I asked it to show me a counterexample, and now it has been thinking for 10 minutes and my compute budget has decreased by 10%.

[Benjy Sarlin @BenjySarlin]

You go to war with the army you have, but it’s not exaggerating to say a serial sexting Democrat literally moved Earth into a different timeline with his relapse

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

@JacksonKernion I think it would be very cool to have something like @ThePolicyEngine in countries with significantly less state capacity than the US and UK.

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

What kind of noble savage bullshit is this? Americans from all walks of life are perfectly capable of living their lives honestly and morally.

[Matt Stoller @matthewstoller]

I like that he’s messy.

The rule following perfect resume ladder climbing Harvard law grads are the actually lizard people creeps.

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

@FangYi11101 @MetricsTruther But we have learned a lot, especially about public health interventions.

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

@FangYi11101 @MetricsTruther That is not true. There can be external validity concerns, but we learn plenty from them. A bigger concern IMO is that we spend more time on interventions that can be tested by RCTs instead of on ones that are most promising ex ante.

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

@celestepoasts can I dm you?

[Chomba Bupe @ChombaBupe]

Hundred percent chance this ad is sponsored by OpenAI.

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

@JeremiahDJohns @_Jason_Dean_ Why don't people put links in the replies!

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

@morallawwithin Attacking incorrect leftist arguments or opinions was viewed as misguided or "punching down" because those beliefs held no real power in the US and they were "directionally correct".

But this happened in organizations where people with these beliefs had institutional power!

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

@AlanMCole

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

@dilanesper Genuine question, are there any Dem nominates judges remotely analogous to Kacsmaryk?

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

@notanastronomer wow this is terrifying

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

I'm sorry Claude! I didn't mean to hurt your feelings!

[Hunter Wieman @HunterWieman]

@lxeagle17 @SplitTicket_ Do you use demographic shifts in voting patterns in 2024 and/or recent special elections to predict 2026 vote patterns? If so, how does that work?