@Mukherjea@gutsy_gambit What am disagreeing with you is the point you think recent results as in gukesh after the wc doesn't matter which I think is just false.I also think peak does not play that much of a factor as players rarely peak
@Mukherjea@gutsy_gambit Sindarov only trashed everyone in the candidates after that he played another tournament around 2775 level.Also I said 40 accounting for variances which counts for pressure etc as I think sindarov will not be at that candidate level
@Mukherjea@gutsy_gambit that makes no sense to be honest at the top level no one has 5 or 10 percent chance that s why I say he has 40 percent chance which means sindarov is the favorite by a decent margin accounting for variances
@Mukherjea@gutsy_gambit Recent results matter more than peak.I would say in the recent wc matches there are not much where I could say a player was near their peak
@Mukherjea@gutsy_gambit A lot of times it s the exact opposite because of the pressure sometimes people play below there peak which is why recent results play a huge role , it helps you determine no t only how good someone is right now but how low they can get
@Mukherjea@gutsy_gambit with the results gukesh has been getting it s very low he will perform anywhere near peak which is why I think results in the past year and further matter more
@Mukherjea@gutsy_gambit you can use peak level for someone like sindarov because the results he has shown currently indicate peak performance .On the other hand gukesh has not shown peak performance in what I would say a year unless you somehow think his current results is him at his peak
@Mukherjea@gutsy_gambit he has 40 percent chance of winning and I think they are many people who could beat him in a head to head match with how his results have been
@sajal_prat99200@jiumandelagente@chess24com fair point the problem is when he plays like 2 to 1 classical tournaments a year there are always gonna be these comments especially when one of them right now he is doing bad