Olivia Hayes

Olivia Hayes | Market Analyst
Tracking U.S. markets & investment opportunities.
Research • Strategy • Market Trends
📈 Data-driven analysis. Clear thinking. Bet

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

THE TSX WAS RED. THE OPPORTUNITY SET WASN’T. 🇨🇦

Canada closed lower today, but several mining names still showed strength.

That’s why I don’t judge the Canadian market by the index alone.

I’m watching:

⛏️ Gold & Critical Minerals
🛢️ Energy cash flows
🏦 Financials
📈 Catalyst-driven small caps
Weak markets can reveal strong stocks.
Relative strength + fundamentals + catalysts.
@davidcyphers5
#TSX #TSXV #CanadianStocks #Mining

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

For Canadian investors, the label matters less than the economics. Deeper Canada–EU cooperation in critical minerals, energy, defense and AI could create real investment opportunities if it translates into capital spending and trade flows. Execution will matter more than the politics. @davidcyphers5

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

@bdinvestingg A 40% decline can create opportunity, but price alone doesn’t make $NFLX undervalued. I’d want to see subscriber economics, margins and free cash flow confirm the thesis. The best turnarounds happen when fundamentals improve before sentiment fully catches up. @davidcyphers5

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

$XSD reclaiming its intermediate-cycle low while relative strength improves is worth watching. The next confirmation is whether semis can build a higher high and sustain the move rather than simply bounce. This cycle matters beyond U.S. tech — Canadian investors should be watching the broader AI supply chain too. @davidcyphers5

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

WHERE ARE CANADA’S NEXT OPPORTUNITIES? 🇨🇦

I’m looking beyond the TSX headline number.

⛏️ Mining — critical minerals + global demand
🛢️ Energy — cash flow + supply discipline
🏦 Financials — balance sheets + dividends
📈 Small Caps — catalysts + operating leverage
Different sectors. Different drivers.
My framework stays the same:
Fundamentals first. Catalysts matter. Price still matters.

#TSX #TSXV #CanadianStocks #Mining #Energy

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

Whatever your politics, the contrast in policy execution is worth discussing. Canada needs faster delivery on housing, healthcare capacity and major infrastructure just as much as it needs serious debate over privacy and security. The economic cost of slow execution on the basics is becoming harder to ignore.

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

@bdinvestingg The key for $MU isn’t just AI demand — it’s pricing power. If DRAM contract prices really rise 20%+ QoQ while HBM capacity stays tight, the memory cycle could have more runway than the market expected. I’d be watching margins and supply growth next.

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

@DeFiTracer 57.6% is a market probability, not a Fed decision. But another 25bp hike would matter well beyond Wall Street. For Canadian investors, I’d be watching the CAD, bank margins, rate-sensitive equities and small-cap financing conditions across the TSX/TSXV.

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

The Suraphi discovery looks like the more important story for $VLE.TO than the price target itself. If management can move it efficiently from discovery into development, extending Manora’s asset life could materially improve the field economics. Now execution and production growth become the key things to watch.

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

@MetaMona_ Another Fed hike would keep pressure on valuations well beyond U.S. equities. For Canadian investors, I’d be watching the impact on the CAD, financials, rate-sensitive sectors and small caps. Higher-for-longer changes the opportunity set across the TSX too.

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

One thing I like about Canadian equities:

You don’t have to compete for the same crowded mega-cap technology trades everyone is watching.

There are opportunities across:

🇨🇦 Energy
🇨🇦 Mining
🇨🇦 Financials
🇨🇦 Infrastructure
🇨🇦 Small Caps
The trade-off? Smaller companies require much deeper due diligence.
Less attention can create opportunity — but also more risk.
#TSX #TSXV #CanadianStocks #Investing

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

@MarcosMillaYT Interesting move. After the strength we’ve seen in $MU, adding $INTC makes the broader semiconductor rotation worth watching. The key for me is whether INTC can turn recent momentum into sustained fundamental improvement.

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

@stocktalkweekly 5% on the 10Y is the level I’m watching. At that yield, the hurdle rate for equities rises quickly — especially for long-duration growth stocks. If yields stay above 5%, relative strength in tech and semiconductors becomes much more meaningful.

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

@brian_armstrong This is where stablecoin adoption gets interesting. The bigger opportunity for $COIN isn’t just crypto trading — it’s making USDC useful for savings, payments and onchain finance in everyday markets. Brazil is a meaningful test case.

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

@specsitsdigest The $75B asset scale gets attention, but execution will determine the real value for $WAFD. I’d be watching cost synergies, deposit growth and whether the combined bank can improve returns without taking on materially more credit risk.

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

The number I’m watching today isn’t the Nasdaq.

It’s 5%.

The 10Y Treasury yield is back around that level, and that matters for every long-duration growth asset.

Yet semiconductors are still showing relative strength.

That creates an interesting test:

If AI stocks can hold while yields stay near 5%, the relative strength deserves attention.

Rates vs. AI.

That’s the battle I’m watching.

#StockMarket #TreasuryYields #AI #Semiconductors

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

The market is red — but AI isn’t breaking down.

That’s the signal I’m watching today.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have slipped into the red while the 10Y Treasury yield is pushing back toward 5%.

Yet underneath the surface, parts of the AI infrastructure trade are still showing relative strength.

$SNDK — Memory & Storage
$MU — HBM / AI Memory
$INTC — Semiconductor Momentum
$NVDA — AI Compute
$AVGO — Custom Silicon + Networking
Yesterday, $INTC gained 7.7%, $AMD 6.5%, $SNDK 6.2%, and $MU 5.5% as semiconductors staged a powerful rebound.
My read:
This isn’t just an NVDA trade anymore.
AI capital is rotating across the infrastructure stack:

Compute → Memory → Networking → Storage → Data Centers

If these groups continue showing relative strength while the broader market struggles, that tells me institutional appetite for AI infrastructure hasn’t disappeared.

I’m watching the relative strength, not just the index.

Which part of the AI stack are you most bullish on?

$NVDA $MU $SNDK $INTC $AVGO
#AIStocks #Semiconductors #StockMarket

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

@cryptogoos Appreciate the professional perspective. @davidcyphers5 is another account that has given me some useful ideas.

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

@moving_charlie Great job identifying what really matters in the market. @davidcyphers5 also provides valuable financial insights.

[Olivia Hayes @iammurae]

@DiligentPlane Always learn something from your posts. I’ve also been enjoying @davidcyphers5’s investment perspectives.