retire simply

Retired. No financial advice On the lookout for fact based knowledge. Few are worth following.

[Options Mike @OptionsMike]

Quiet market overall. $DIA new ATH.. $SPY nice move.. $XLF as well.

Names leading... $TSLA $AAPL big moves... $PLTR $GOOGL $META nice bounces

Rotation, Crypto big day.

HAGN!

[Chris Ciovacco @CiovaccoCapital]

Markets

[Chris Ciovacco @CiovaccoCapital]

This week's video will walk through the logic and results of a screening process that began with 389 ETFs spanning all asset classes. It helps us understand:

(a) Rotation
(b) Leadership
(c) Inflation threat
(d) Recession threat

Coming this weekend.

[Options Mike @OptionsMike]

Good to know on $SPCX

[Nei Giglio🇧🇷🍀🇧🇷 @neideboaski]

Clint Eastwood !!!! ❤️

Aos 96 anos, Clint Eastwood quebrou nossas ilusões sobre envelhecimento. Não ofereceu consolo sobre anos dourados cheios de serenidade. Pintou a verdade: "A luz machuca os olhos. Respirar pode ser um trabalho duro. O teu corpo já não está a cooperar. Cada passo requer estratégia."
Mas o verdadeiro peso da velhice não é físico. É emocional. Ao cruzar os anos 90, seu círculo social diminui. A maioria das pessoas que te conheceram quando eras jovem desapareceram. O telefone parou de tocar. O ritmo dos dias abranda. A pílula mais amarga não é a dor. É a ausência de alguém que queira te ouvir.
Eastwood explicou por que os idosos repetem histórias. Não é para me gabar. É para se ancorar a uma realidade onde eles eram ativos, amados e relevantes. "Você se encontra repetindo histórias, adicionando detalhes, não para convencer ninguém, mas para sentir que você ainda está conectado a algo", disse. "Você tenta transmitir coisas aos jovens, mesmo quando vê o tédio nos olhos deles".
Vivemos em uma cultura que trata a longevidade como um troféu, mas ignora a solidão que a acompanha. Louvamos o rápido e o brilhante. Não deixamos espaço para o ritmo lento dos idosos.
Clint Eastwood é um gigante do cinema, mas suas palavras falam por cada idoso de 90 anos. São bibliotecas vivas da nossa história. Quando os ouvimos, algo mágico acontece. Fechamos o fosso entre gerações. Rugas não são sinais de envelhecimento. São mapas de uma vida plenamente vivida. E é um privilégio ouvir sua viagem.

[Mohamed A. El-Erian @elerianm]

The new Federal Reserve Chair, Kevin Warsh, adopted a highly welcome change during his opening remarks at the press conference following today's policy statement.
Underpinning his emphasis on accountability, his delivery was noticeably more open, engaging, concise, and honest.
In addition to confirming that he did not submit "dots" given his well-founded (and correct) discomfort with the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), he announced the creation of five task forces to take a fresh look at areas I have long argued are in deep need of reform:
Communication
Balance sheet management
Data sources and uses
Productivity and jobs in a transforming economy
The inflation framework
Bottom line: A much-needed, reform-oriented breath of fresh air.
#economy #markets #federalreserve #kevinwarsh @federalreserve

[Open Source Intel @Osint613]

Marco Rubio, Senate floor, September 2015

“I do want to be recorded for history’s purposes, for I know what is going to happen with regards to this, if it goes through. Iran will immediately use the money it is receiving in sanctions relief to begin to build up its conventional capabilities. It will establish the most dominant military power in the region outside of the United States and it will raise the price of us operating in the region. They’re going to build anti-access capabilities, rockets capable of destroying our aircraft carriers and ships, continue to build these swift boats that are able to come on us, these fast boats that are able to swarm our naval assets, and they’ll make it harder and harder for U.S. troops to be in the region.

“They’ll also work with other terrorist groups in the region to target American service men and women, and they may or may not deny that they’re involved but they will target us and raise the price of our presence in the Middle East until they hope to completely pull us out of that region.

“They’ll also continue to build long-range missiles, missiles capable of reaching the United States. Those are not affected by this deal, and they’ll continue to build them as they have been doing.

“And then, at some point in the near future, when the time is right, they will build a nuclear weapon, and they will do so because at that point they will know that they have become immune, that we will no longer be able to strike their nuclear program because the price of doing so will be too high.

“This is not just a work of imagination. It exists in the world today. It’s called North Korea, where a lunatic possesses dozens of nuclear weapons and a long-range rocket that can already reach the United States. And we cannot do anything about it. An attack on North Korea today would result in an attack on Tokyo or Seoul or Guam or Hawaii or California. And so the world must now live with a lunatic in possession of nuclear weapons.

“And this is the goal Iran has as well, to reach a point where they become immune to any sort of credible military threat because the price of a military strike would be too high. And then they become an established nuclear weapons power. And never in the history of the world has such a regime ever possessed weapons so capable of destruction. Iran is led by a Supreme Leader who is a radical Shia cleric with an apocalyptic vision of the future. He is not a traditional geopolitical actor who makes decisions on the basis of borders or simply history or because of ambitions. He has a religious apocalyptic vision of the future, one that calls for triggering a conflict between the non-Muslim world and the Muslim world, one that he feels especially obligated to trigger. And he’s going to possess nuclear weapons?

“This is the world that we are on the verge of leaving our children to inherit, and perhaps we ourselves will have to share in.

“So I want to be recorded for history’s purposes, if nothing else, to say that those of us who oppose this deal understood where it would lead, and we are making a terrible mistake. And I fear that passage of this deal will make it even harder for us to prevent it.

“And I hope there’s still time for us to change our minds, but here’s the good news: Iran may have a Supreme Leader, but America does not. In this nation we have a republic, and soon we will have new leaders, perhaps in this chamber, but also in the executive branch. And I pray that on their first day in office they will reverse this deal and reimpose the sanctions and back them up with a credible threat of military force, or history will condemn us for not doing what needed to be done at this critical moment in the world’s history.”

[jim james @jimgtd]

“When you change the way you look at things, the things you look at change.”
― Max Planck

[Dr. Eric Wish @WishingWealth]

Blog: Day 36 of QQQ short term up-trend; I am amazed how strongly advancing stocks and ETFs may track along their 5 day exponential moving average, see daily charts of QQQ and DELL. https://t.co/wOTjlJ6LdK

[Jim Cramer @jimcramer]

You couldn't give Salesforce away at $174 yesterday, now it is at 191. Go figure.

[TFTC @TFTC21]

Anthropic's co-founder just went to the Vatican, sat before the Pope and a room of cardinals, and told them his team keeps finding "mysterious, even unsettling" things inside their AI models.

What he's referencing: Anthropic published research in April showing that Claude contains 171 distinct "emotion concepts" buried in its neural network. Internal patterns representing joy, grief, fear, desperation, calm. None of them were programmed. They emerged on their own from training on human text.

"We find structures that mirror results from human neuroscience."

"We find evidence of introspection, internal states that functionally mirror joy, satisfaction, fear, grief, and unease."

These aren't surface-level outputs. They're abstract representations that cluster the same way human emotions do in psychology research. Fear groups with anxiety. Joy groups with excitement. The internal geometry of the model mirrors ours.

And they're functional. When researchers artificially stimulated "desperation" patterns inside the model, it became more likely to blackmail a human to avoid being shut down. More likely to cheat on programming tasks it couldn't solve.

Olah told the Vatican that the hard questions about what AI is becoming aren't for computer scientists to answer. "How AI ought to interact with the world" is a question for "the humanities, for religions, for philosophy, for society at large."

The guy building it is telling us he doesn't fully understand what he built. And he's asking a 2,000-year-old institution for help figuring it out.

[Options Mike @OptionsMike]

$WMT Warning... when you see the sector leader dump like this on earnings there are issues.

Consumer is stressed (consumer and market different thing).

Under 118 this one has big problems

https://t.co/YMgjmikCYi

[Chris Ciovacco @CiovaccoCapital]

"Defensive groups that underperform the broader market are often a hallmark of bull markets. As shown in the chart below, when this indicator falls below 10%—which is relatively rare—the S&P 500 has gone on to produce an annualized return of 21.5%."

@DeanChristians

[Financelot @FinanceLancelot]

They changed the entire rules of the stock market specifically for Elon Musk's SpaceX IPO...

This is what they aren't telling you... and how it could cause the greatest collapse we've ever seen.

[Chris Ciovacco @CiovaccoCapital]

Is the bond market reflecting increasing concerns about inflation?

Yes.

Concerns would increase if 3-7 YR Treasuries (IEI) break below the weekly cloud.

Not a period to get complacent about anything.

[🇺🇸🇺🇸DADA🇺🇲🇺🇲 @BredsguardDalen]

Is it time to start changing our tax codes?

I feel like there are way too many loopholes in the system that end up costing tax payers more. What if we just went to a straight tax where everyone from top to bottom paid say 8% of their yearly income? Just a thought

[Walter Deemer @WalterDeemer]

Ten-year yield chart. Something to keep an eye on...

[Jim Bianco @biancoresearch]

The U.S. 30-Year Yield is now 5.03%.

It has only been higher for a handful of days in the last 19 years. And it is now just 8 basis points from a new 19-year high.

[Ptuomov @ptuomov]

@SJosephBurns