Nasdaq & Strat

global macro meditations, anti-fragile.

[Nasdaq & Strat @iceman_cry]

> ♾8⃣

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

APPLE SUES OPENAI ALLEGING MISAPPROPRIATION OF TRADE SECRETS, COURT RECORDS SHOW

[Nasdaq & Strat @iceman_cry]

Free with mad f'n money

[Larry Kudlow @larry_kudlow]

President Trump has given the GOP their talking points for midterms. First, America’s greatness both past, present and future. And second, godless communism is a mortal threat that must be extinguished without delay.
https://t.co/NT4cwHVdOH

[Nasdaq & Strat @iceman_cry]

@fundstrat @jpmorgan $bmnr stans rn

[Nasdaq & Strat @iceman_cry]

Toronto Raptors are the only gnostic-friendly sports team for a reason.

[ًᵗᵒ @tosports13]

will never forget the way lowry started game 6 of the nba finals, i still get chills watching this

[Nasdaq & Strat @iceman_cry]

i love trading. new all-time highs. another chip incoming. dreams manifesting. the best is yet to come. believe it.

[Nasdaq & Strat @iceman_cry]

The haters and the bears could never cognitively accept that you only have to solve self-driving once to open up the possibility set of true autonomy and no one has a deeper bench of brilliant and creative engineers working like animals to achieve the mission.

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

$TSLA - TESLA ROBOTAXI EXPANSION GAINS MOMENTUM

Morgan Stanley reiterated its Equalweight rating and $415 price target after Tesla launched its Robotaxi service in Miami, including unsupervised vehicles.

The bank expects Robotaxi launches in Phoenix, Orlando, Tampa and Las Vegas by year-end, with possible expansion into New Orleans.

Morgan Stanley also expects an update on Cybercab production at Giga Texas and forecasts Tesla's Robotaxi fleet will grow to 1,500 vehicles by the end of 2026 and 30,000 by 2030.

The bank said investors will remain focused on fleet expansion and safety data as key indicators of Tesla's autonomous driving progress.

[Nasdaq & Strat @iceman_cry]

$googl has slowly become my largest position and i caution any stock trader or portfolio manager on the danger of not owning any or enough $googl

[Nasdaq & Strat @iceman_cry]

$GOOGL stans rn

[Kalshi Finance @Kalshi_Finance]

JUST IN: $GOOGL profit is projected to nearly double to $247,000,000,000 over the next three years

[Michael Saylor @saylor]

Strategy has sold 3,588 $BTC for $216 million to fund dividends on our Digital Credit securities. As of 7/5/2026, we hodl ₿843,775 in our BTC Reserves and $2.55 billion in our USD Reserves. https://t.co/Cssgz29Psj

[Nasdaq & Strat @iceman_cry]

Gm friends. It's Monday. Stay locked in. #thestrat

[Morgan Cameron Ross @Morgan_C_Ross]

The legendary 1980s Canadian Tire bicycle short film and ad. credit to cinematographer: George Morita and director, Bill Irish. 🇨🇦

[Nasdaq & Strat @iceman_cry]

That's why it's in their best interest to suffer the collapse of a dependency on an ally that seeks to exploit them at will simply because they can. Weaker, smaller nations with less productivity that rely more on interdependence than exploitation from an overpowered, and now capricious, hegemon will ultimately benefit them either way by exposing these systemic inefficiencies and forcing their resolution.

[Nasdaq & Strat @iceman_cry]

Not a big believer in iq scores, but what is the avg. iq of this group? 80? 90?

[Phil Perkins @PhilPerkinsCP24]

.@cp24 Ronaldo arrived in Etobicoke for practice here's the reaction once they see the Portugal bus

[Nasdaq & Strat @iceman_cry]

$pltr stans rn

[Ricardo @Ric_RTP]

Palantir's CEO just exposed Sam Altman and Dario Amodei for robbing every Fortune 500 company.

Within two minutes, Alex Karp took the entire frontier AI industry apart on national television.

His exact words:

"Every single enterprise in this country, these people are LIVID. They are paying for tokens that create no value. These people are stealing the weights and alpha of my business."

He literally said the entire frontier AI business model is intellectual property extraction dressed up as a subscription.

Then he also destroyed the pricing model with a single question that Silicon Valley still refuses to answer:

"If it was so valuable, let's say I can make you $1 billion tomorrow. Wouldn't I say I'll make you $1 billion and I want 30 percent? Why are they charging for tokens if it's so valuable?"

That question breaks the industry.

If OpenAI and Anthropic's models truly delivered the productivity gains the labs claim, they would take equity or a share of the profit they generate. They would not sell access by the million tokens.

Token pricing is itself the CONFESSION that the product cannot produce reliable value at scale. If it did, they would price for the value. But they price for the compute because that is what they are actually selling.

Karp went even further...

He called the entire arrangement "a wealth tax that does not help the poor. It just punishes."

American businesses are transferring the alpha of their operations, meaning the workflows, the customer data, the strategy memos, the internal models that make them competitive, directly into the training pipelines of a handful of Silicon Valley labs. Once those labs retrain, the customer's own edge becomes the next enterprise product sold back to their competitors.

And the part the AI industry does not want anyone thinking about:

Every enterprise running its confidential documents, its customer conversations, and its financial models through a frontier model is potentially teaching that model HOW to replace them.

The vendor collects the token fee AND the compounding intelligence about that customer's business. That is the mechanism. And that is why Karp used the word "stealing."

He claims this is why every executive he meets is furious in private and silent in public. Nobody wants to be the CEO who called out the labs and then discovered their next competitor was built on their own leaked workflows.

The entire AI industry has been priced for perfection on one assumption:

That frontier labs produce durable, defensible value that justifies infinite compute spend.

But Karp just told us that the customers do not believe that assumption anymore. They believe they are being taxed without benefit, watched without consent, and copied without recourse.

The moment enterprises stop believing, the whole valuation stack shakes.

[Concretum Research @ConcretumR]

Markets rarely fall in calm, orderly ways. As the old Wall Street adage goes, they take the stairs up and the elevator down.

During downside moves, technical and behavioral forces can trigger positive feedback loops that amplify market sell-offs.

⚙️ Volatility-targeting funds deleverage.
🛡️ Hedgers rush to buy protection.
📉 Dealers adjust their hedges.
💸 Panicked investors rush to hit the bid.

Can these episodes of panic become systematic trading opportunities?

Today we're publishing an article we've been working on for weeks: a fully systematic strategy that uses information embedded in the #VIX Index to identify short-term mean-reversion opportunities in #SPY.

The idea builds on our broader research into implied volatility, including our award-winning paper with @BearBullTraders. Rather than trading volatility itself, however, this framework uses the VIX as a behavioral stress signal to identify periods when equity prices may have temporarily overreacted.

From January 2007 through June 2026, the strategy generated a 10.8% annualized return (net of transaction costs) while being invested on only 14% of trading days.

In the article we explain:

1️⃣ How the volatility-burst signal is constructed.
2️⃣ Why many VIX backtests have a look-ahead bias.
3️⃣ A practical leverage framework with capped risk.
4️⃣ Complete historical and trade-level results.
5️⃣ Ideas for extending the methodology

We hope you enjoy it.

🔗 Link in the first comment.

#SystematicTrading #QuantitativeFinance #AlgorithmicTrading #Trading #Investing #SPY #VIX #Volatility #MeanReversion

[The_Real_Fly @The_Real_Fly]

Generative AI revenue, excluding China, reached $110 billion over the past 12 months and is scaling three times faster than any previous information technology wave including the internet, mobile applications and the cloud, according to the report.

The figures are based on a dataset that Exponential View built tracking AI spending across more than 1,000 companies. They used sources including company filings, executive statements, press reporting and cloud-provider disclosures, and then adjusted the figures to avoid double-counting between layers of the AI supply chain. -BBG

[Nasdaq & Strat @iceman_cry]

@THunt07 @L3DFORD $1400/share

[Nasdaq & Strat @iceman_cry]

$spcx congratulations to everyone that built a huge rocket company with a founder ceo intent on making humans interplanetary explorers and builders.

[Nasdaq & Strat @iceman_cry]

@ZeeContrarian1 She got the narrative right but the timing and the companies and the valuations completely wrong. Her analysts were supposed to be her edge but they have added negative value.

[Nasdaq & Strat @iceman_cry]

$googl is up 50% in 6months and it's a boomer stock. A 30% drawdown is fine as long as you don't run an expensive hedge fund. 50% is a good return but happens every 8 weeks in the market of stocks.

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🚨 Breaking a 30% trading loss requires generating a massive 50% profit just to break even, making leverage an absolute mathematical trap.

Patrick Gruhn, the Fmr CEO of FTX, launched a new company UpsideOnly, reveals how a PhD thesis and an MIT course on AI crowd intelligence inspired him to solve this industry-wide problem.

By building advanced machine learning models to backtest human intuition, Gruhn personally funded millions to ensure traders no longer have to gamble away their livelihoods.

@upsideonly_com