2/2
$BTC Two closes decide this:
- Weekly candle closes in 5 days
- Quarterly candle closes in 8 days
Until those confirm, I cannot call the scenario from 1/2 validated. My rule for this setup, and it applies on every timeframe, is that I need displacement first.
Displacement is the sign of strength from the dominant side, and without it there is no confirmed low risk, high probability buy area
Only a level that looks like one
If 1/2 does not trigger within those 8 days, and the pQH proves to be a failed auction, we simply trade back inside the range, VAH to VAL. No drama, just rotation and setups based on what market gives
If 1/2 does trigger, it confirms the monthly BPR between 72,584 and 66,994.
The mean threshold sits at the midpoint, the highest probability point of interest in the zone, and it lines up with the previous ATH at 69 200.
The Swedish government did everything correctly.
They cut down migration dramatically, increased deportations.
Successfully fought crime.
Strong pro EU and pro Ukraine stance.
Some of the best economic growth rates in the developed world.
No obvious scandals.
Yet, especially SD lost heavily, despite doing *exactly* what its political program promised to do.
What is the reason? Most Swedes way it was cruelty and fear mongering. There was a sense in Swedish society that SD was going too far, that their constant "Muslims are taking over" baiting was too much, and the announcement that they'd join the next government directly caused chaos. Despite everything going well, they were still voted out.
What is clear to me is that a program of fear has no future. It cannot win long term. It can win short term, but instrumentally: People see a lot of crime and vote the right to fix it, and then when it's fixed they discard them because they don't truly buy in the metaphysical projet that the right is offering. The success itself produces the failure. You cannot win by simply insisting on self preservation and maintaining cultural continuity, or anything of that sort. The moment the acute danger is gone, people go back to the nice kind leftists who are humanists.
Unless the right wing looks at this honestly and doesn't cope by blaming the media or propaganda or women, this will keep happening. A positive, inspiring, future oriented program is necessary that avoids cruelty as much as possible without changing the actual goals — preserving Europe as Europe.
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