Hemant

Howdy 🤠

[Hemant @ihemnt96]

@AshishB60558222 Sir waiting for your reply in DMs

[Hemant @ihemnt96]

@AshishB60558222 Hello sir
I have Dm you on X please reply if possible.

[Hemant @ihemnt96]

@altinelpelin Just finished novel its far more than just a fictional story about a trader its masterclass in market psychology.The book beautifully highlight a truth every retail investor eventually learns the hard way:the market isn't a battle against charts its a battle against your own ego.

[FINANCIAL FARMER @Financial_Farme]

As per formula of Buffet indicator, Indian markets are overvalued but not too much streched.

Nifty PE hovering around 19, median is around 20-21, valuations may look cheap, price will bounce, but entire market is overvalued because Market Cap to GDP Ratio : approx 115%, I would like to look into equities if this ratio goes below 90%.

Buffet Indicator Formula :

[Rakesh 2.0 🇮🇳 @TheRakesh_IND]

महाराष्ट्र के बीड के युवा कवि अभि मुंडे की कविता इतनी असरदार कि उन्हें PM आवास, दिल्ली बुलाया गया

रामजी को इतनी सरलता से शायद पहली बार किसी ने समझाया है बहुत सुंदर प्रस्तुति

जय श्रीराम 🚩🙏

[Hemant @ihemnt96]

@proepictrader Sir how to use those indicator which you shared on X

[The Chartians @chartians]

April 1,2026 changes:
Breakeven almost doubles 👇

Nifty Futures (lot 65 @ 22,845):
Contract = ₹14.85L → 1 pt = ₹65

Before:
STT (0.02%) ≈ ₹297
Other charges ≈ ₹95
Total ≈ ₹391 → ₹391 ÷ 65 = ~6 pts

After:
STT (0.05%) ≈ ₹742
Other charges ≈ ₹95
Total ≈ ₹837 → ₹837 ÷ 65 = ~13 pts

Overtrading becomes more expensive,
Mediocre entries get punished harder.

Same trade. Same lot.
But now you need double the move just to break even.

Unlike futures, breakeven doesn’t explode massively in Options.
But, Earlier:
2–3 point move = decent money
Now:
2–3 point move = barely worth it

Small scalps will now become less attractive.
#NIFTY #stockmarketindia

[Hemant @ihemnt96]

@Jay_Dhokai Can you suggest me about smc where to study

[Rahul Singh 🇮🇳 @rahul_saggi]

शुभ रात्रि 😴

[Vikas Vij @TheClubJunto]

Foreign Capital May Not Return Soon: Protect Your Downside

1. 85% of India's capital outflows going to: Korea, Taiwan, China

2. Their 2026 Forward Earnings: 2X/3X of India

3. Their AI/Semicon Growth Supercycle vs. India’s IT Slump

4. Rupee fall erodes FII/FDI capital

DATA:

Where Is the Money Going?

a. Over ₹1 lakh crore FII capital exited India in 2026 (YTD).

b. 60% to Korea & Taiwan: AI/Semiconductor supply chain stocks

c. 25% to China: Bottom-fishing in undervalued tech stocks

d. 15% to “Safe Havens”: U.S. Treasuries and Gold

2025 Actual Earnings Growth

India (Nifty 50): 8.1%
Korea (Kospi): 76%
Taiwan (TWSE): 27%
China (CSI 300): 12%

2026 Earnings Growth (Est.)

India (Nifty 50): 9%
Korea (Kospi): 130%
Taiwan (TWSE): 22%
China (CSI 300): 13%

NOTE: Estimates are from Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Bernstein reports.

2026 Forward P/E Comparison

India (Nifty 50): 18.1x
Korea (Kospi): 8.8x
Taiwan (TWSE): 19.7x
China (CSI 300): 13.9x

NOTES:

a. Even after the recent sell-off, India still remains one of the most expensive markets in Asia.

b. Korea has seen an earnings explosion in memory chips, but that market still offers deep value to investors at 8.8x forward P/E.

c. Taiwan is getting expensive, but AI/Semiconductor dominance of Taiwanese companies and TSMC’s pricing power is still a great attraction. Estimated earnings growth of Taiwan in 2026 is 2.5x of India.

d. China is no longer at “distressed” price levels of 2024, but it is still fundamentally 25% cheaper than India.

P/B Ratios March 2026

India (Nifty 50): 3.14x
Korea (Kospi): 0.90x
Taiwan (TWSE): 2.2x
China (CSI 300): 1.45x

NOTE: India is the world’s most expensive major market on P/B ratio basis. India’s price-to-book is 1.5x of Taiwan, 2.5x of China, and 3.5x of Korea. In other words, it is 3.5 times more expensive than Korea for every unit of net asset value as of March 2026.

KOREA

a. Landmark domestic corporate governance reforms combined with a global semiconductor growth supercycle have created a rare “double-alpha” opportunity for investors.

b. A stunning 130% earnings growth projected for KOSPI in 2026, led by Samsung and SK Hynix.

c. Korea’s forward P/E of 8.8x is half the valuation of Indian large caps as of today.

TAIWAN

a. Investors are moving away from AI software/LLM builders to AI hardware (semiconductors and server infrastructure) where Taiwan dominates.

b. TSMC alone controls 70% of the market share, with gross margins of 62%.

c. Taiwan 50 Index with an estimated earnings growth of 22% at a PEG ratio of just 0.9x makes it twice as attractive as Indian large caps on a growth-adjusted basis.

CHINA

a. China’s industrial output in Jan-Feb, 2026 jumped by 6.3%, beating estimates by far.

b. High-tech FDI increased by 20.4% following the government’s massive consumption stimulus package in late 2025.

c. As of March 2026, MSCI China trades at a forward P/E 11.9x, representing 48% discount compared to MSCI India’s 23x. This 48% valuation gap is at a decade-high, leading to an FII pivot towards China. (Foreign investors use MSCI benchmarks.)

INDIA

a. With 85% dependency on oil imports, current account deficit (CAD) widening, rupee getting weaker, and no tech exports hedge, India presents an asymmetric risk (from the viewpoint of foreign investors.)

b. China is energy-secure, while Korea & Taiwan’s high-margin tech exports effectively subsidize their increased oil import bills.

c. IT service exports, which is India’s solitary global competitive edge, is getting threatened by AI. Legacy coding tasks are getting automated.

ENDPIECE: Don’t Fight Mean Reversion

Don’t believe vested interests whose careers are built on the thesis of “Stocks Only Go Up.”

The world has shifted from the era of “Growth at Any Price” (GAP) to “Growth at a Reasonable Price” (GRP). That’s what has hit India.

Now either India delivers exceptional earnings growth in 2026 to justify its P/E multiples, OR the AI growth bubble bursts worldwide.

Until then, play defensive, avoid FOMO, and wait for the loose ball. Your time will come.

@arabicatrader

[Pu₹vesh | SEBI®️RA @TA_Purvesh]

20-year channel on #Brent 🛢️
A multi-decade descending channel

Every spike rejected. Every rally sold.
Now price is back at the ceiling again…

But this time trigger = #IranWar + Hormuz risk ⚠️
Fastest 2 weeks move in history as per chart.
If momentum continue and....
If this channel BREAKS 👇
Brent ⬆️ 140
then opens gates for 180–250 (tail risk, but real)

And that’s where 🇮🇳 India enters the story…
India = 80%+ oil import dependent

So breakout means:
Crude ⬆️ → Inflation ⬆️
Inflation ⬆️ → Rates stay high ⛔
Rates high → Growth slows ⬇️
Rupee ⬇️ → More imported inflation
Markets ⬇️ → Especially #Nifty & #BankNifty

If happens This will be not just a breakout…
It’s a macro shift.
A 20-year range breaking =
India paying the price.
Not predicting. Just preparing.
#crude
#ukoil

[AMIT @AmitSuryakant]

Mark and save this
Market wil not crash bcz of
War
Or yen carry or Ai

It will crash bcz of hyperinflation.
That's coming in 2027.

No buy sell recommendations

[Ashish Kumar @BaapofOption]

हमने ये मान लिया कि जो भ्रस्टाचार 2014 से पहले होता आ रहा था वो मोदी जी के आने से बंद हो जायेगा, सबने बार बार उस विश्वास पे मोदी जी को प्रधानमंत्री का भार सौंपा लेकिन भ्रस्टाचार तो उल्टा और बढ़ गया।

भाजपा अब बस चुनाव जीतने को ही विकास समझने लगी है। समाज को बांट कर औऱ उन्ही भ्रस्टाचारियों जो पहले काँग्रेस के पालने में पल रहे थे उनको अपने साथ मिलाकर आपने सिर्फ विश्वास तोड़ा है और कुछ नही। बहुत सारे मुद्दों पर आपके मुंह मे दही जम जाती है और सवर्ण का तो आपने जो पतन करना आरंभ किया है, आपको इन सारे चीजों का जवाब जरूर मिलेगा।

[Pu₹vesh | SEBI®️RA @TA_Purvesh]

Focus on spinning and grey/white cloth manufacturing companies.

[Ashish Kumar @BaapofOption]

Filter out Good Results Company in this Quarter, Compare it with its previous quarters, Check the Sectorial Chart and then Go for it.

-------Free Advice for Equity Lovers

[The Chartians @chartians]

You've been told this ...
"buy when panic sets in"
"buy when there is blood on the street"

But what exactly does a Panic looks like ?

Here is what panic looks like in numbers :
<20 Good to start portfolio allocation 🟢
<15 Good to allocate more 🔵
<10 Panic sets in - Blanket buy 🟠
<5 Close your eyes and long 🔴

Panic today are opportunities of 2028-2029 !

[Ashish Kumar @BaapofOption]

Those who can't trade other instruments everyday.....

Just Print this somewhere and Keep Investing

The ETF List 👇

[Ashish Kumar @BaapofOption]

And Central India is Full with just politics, stray cows and unemployed youths.

[Hemant @ihemnt96]

@TA_Purvesh Sir any update

[Hemant @ihemnt96]

@TA_Purvesh Sir one more doubt.
In index which expiry we use like weekly or biweekly or monthly.
And can we also compare index Ichimoku to strike Ichimoku. To take entry in Trade.