Study options. A lot of you seem incapable of trading beyond one dimension, so if you don’t wanna learn: for the bulls out there, take fucking profit, and for the bears, markets won’t go down until every one of you is squeezed out of their last penny (sorry, those are the rules). The rest, keep reading…
As I’ve said in the macro thread last yr, you will most likely see a blow off top with massive vol before any type of trend reversal. It has to be unbearably agonizing (no pun intended) until everyone loses their minds. In trads, this can be 6 months, 2 yrs, etc. who knows. Look at ‘72, 98, and so on. Vol has to unpin, your pants have to be down.
You probably should not be long-only or short-only, especially heading into end of Feb-March. Large OI OPEX = higher likelihood of going up, but larger magnitude when going down.
What’s happening now is ppl wanna hedge for a decline, but they can’t in the face of a sharp uptrend. Look at post-FOMC, or post-CPI. Market shorts and sells calls, but the passive flows and algos bid, and we go back up, they get squeezed, fixed strike vol spikes. You can take advantage of that.
For instance you can buy long-dated OTM calls and short the underlying (what I’ve been doing lately). If we go up, you’ll be making money on that call given mkt up vol up, and if we go down, then those shorts print. It’s not hard to learn options. Second order Greeks are NOT relevant to you; you’re not managing billions.
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maybe im retarded but i think fomo is always incredibly retarded, no matter where the world will go where market will go if there is ww3 or they do great reset or whatever there will always be opportunities
there is no "last chance" as long as you are alive you can do stuff
managed to trade those new hyperliquid spot tokens as i said. and turned $300 into $10,000. relatively easy. even if the rest of the market is boring, it still presents opportunities. You just have to be eager to find them.
All I’m gonna say is — hot prints marked the last 2 tops. We just had a cool print. Do with that info what you will. Give the market a couple days to digest
little memecoin alpha
only buy coins that clear and hold above their first pump ATH
99% of newly launched memes don't clear this hurdle
If you only focus on the 1%, you can significantly reduce the # of 0s, and size more into winners