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The U.N. is urging the planet to prepare for El Niño, a burgeoning weather pattern expected to develop later this year.
Numerous climate models predict that a particularly strong El Niño could shift patterns of droughts, floods, heat, humidity and sea ice. https://t.co/ShzeWGy13d
Scientists have detected a vast underwater structure spanning approximately 9,000 miles that may be driving one of the strongest El Niño events in recorded history.
Known as a Kelvin wave, this giant pulse of unusually warm water is traveling eastward beneath the surface of the equatorial Pacific. In some areas, temperatures within the current are reaching up to 13.5 degrees Fahrenheit (7.5 degrees Celsius) above normal, an exceptionally high anomaly for deep ocean waters.
Kelvin waves form when strong wind bursts push warm surface water across the Pacific from west to east. As the heat spreads, it disrupts normal ocean circulation and helps trigger El Niño conditions, a climate pattern known for reshaping weather systems worldwide.
Researchers are particularly concerned because this wave resembles the one that preceded the devastating 1997-98 super El Niño, which caused widespread flooding, severe droughts, crop failures, wildfires, and disease outbreaks globally. Historical super El Niño events have even been linked to famines that claimed tens of millions of lives.
The situation may be even more severe this time. Global ocean temperatures are already at record levels, meaning the atmosphere holds significantly more heat and moisture than in previous major El Niño years. This extra energy is likely to intensify extreme weather events, including powerful storms, heat waves, heavy rainfall, and droughts.
El Niño impacts vary by region. Some areas face catastrophic flooding while others endure prolonged drought. Marine ecosystems often suffer as warm waters reduce nutrient upwelling, collapsing fisheries and triggering widespread coral bleaching.
Scientists are closely monitoring the evolution of this enormous Kelvin wave over the coming months as it continues to develop.