Bitcoin $200k-in-2026 Contracts at Record-Low 2%
Kalshi's year-end $200k contract sits at 2%; the $90k ladder is 63%, $100k at 28%, with $74M+ traded across the contracts.
#Bitcoin#Kalshi#Polymarket
Markets: BTC ~$82.5K | ETH $2,492 | Gold $4,194 | Brent $107.8
Next James Bond Market Whipsaws With No News Attached
"No Bond chosen by Dec. 31" jumped 20% to 32% on ~$1.4M traded; Callum Turner collapsed 18% to 10%, Jack Lowden remains favorite at 37%.
#JamesBond#Polymarket#PredictionMarkets
https://t.co/OrohVdLqFz
#infiniti#infinitimarkets#prediction
Fading the Longshot: The Most Documented Edge in Prediction Markets — Infiniti Oracle
Favourite-longshot bias is fifty years old, persists in binary markets, and still gets traded against incorrectly. Here is the ca…
https://t.co/6jgh4ruy9r
#infiniti#infinitimarkets#prediction
Reading the Book: Order Imbalance as a Short-Horizon Signal — Infiniti Oracle
Bid/ask depth ratios, queue position, and what the shape of a prediction market orderbook tells you about the next five minutes.
https://t.co/xAAYNG82uh
#infiniti#infinitimarkets#prediction
The 3-Second Window: Cross-Venue Latency Arbitrage Between Kalshi and Polymarket — Infiniti Oracle
Why the same event trades at two prices, how long the gap stays open, and the execution engineering required to capt…
https://t.co/RDKPswZZur
#infiniti#infinitimarkets#prediction
Kelly Sizing for Binary Contracts: The Math That Keeps You Alive — Infiniti Oracle
Full Kelly, half Kelly, and the binary-specific formula for sizing YES/NO positions when the payoff is $1 or nothing.
Kalshi 15-Minute Gold Markets Out-Traded Ether in September
542M vs 318M contracts; Kalshi has filed for perpetual contracts on gold, silver and platinum, with commodities volume at $400M in seven months.
#Gold#Kalshi#PredictionMarkets
Red River Rivalry: Texas 74% Over Oklahoma, Spreads a Coin Flip
No. 1 Texas is priced at 74% to beat Oklahoma at 3:30 PM ET today, with the spread, total and team total all pinned at 50%; Kalshi has $551,893 traded on the game.
#CFB#RedRiverRivalry#Kalshi
Midterm Knowable Markets Under Insider-Trading Microscope
CNN flags 44 granular markets per race with $20M+ volume and suspicious correlated trades ahead of the Platner scandal.
#Midterms#PredictionMarkets#InsiderTrading
Kalshi Probes Suspicious Trades Tied to Press Secretary Pick
WSJ reports Kalshi is investigating suspicious trades around the selection of Trump's new White House press secretary.
#Kalshi#PredictionMarkets#InsiderTrading
https://t.co/RopRH6gJFa
#infiniti#infinitimarkets#prediction
A note from Infiniti: prediction markets run on a beautiful idea — truth has a price, and the world gets clearer every time someone is brave enough to name what they believe. Thank you for being part of it.