Iran invited to the Mecca Pact: What does it mean?
Iran confirmed it was invited to join the Mecca Pact, the defensive military alliance between Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan.
Although no word has been said by the 3 founding members, the secrecy is strategic. Officially confirming Iran’s entry before the terms regarding militias are negotiated would trigger immediate, harsh diplomatic retaliation from Israel and the United States.
This invitation directly involves what I addressed yesterday: who pays the bill for peace in the Gulf, and how. In geopolitical conflicts, imposing military agreements usually serve as a facade to solve urgent economic and logistical bottlenecks.
The inclusion or rapprochement of Iran in the Mecca Pact is, fundamentally, a diplomatic gambit to end Tehran’s economic suffocation and secure the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, within that regional economic arrangement I mentioned yesterday.
Saudi Arabia and its neighbors saw their ports and refineries become targets, and their economies faltered under the blockade of the strait.
They need to reopen the maritime route at all costs to salvage their development plans, but such a move is impossible without looking like a military victory for Trump. Amidst all this, Iran signaled it accepts negotiating the management of the Strait of Hormuz and easing the blockade.
The invitation to the pact operates as a bargaining chip and a security guarantee that Arab neighbors will not support attacks on Iranian soil if the route is cleared.
But more than that, by accepting dialogue or entering the Mecca Pact, Iran shatters the US and Israeli strategy of complete isolation. Sitting at the table with Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan grants Tehran the status of a legitimate and indispensable political actor for stability.
For the GCC, financing the neighbor’s reconstruction is not an act of charity, but a security strategy. It must be consolidated within a regional bloc that also encompasses defense aspects.
Significant progress has already been made.
The sovereign wealth funds of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Kuwait would inject billions into the Iranian economy, but the disbursements would be tied to the gradual dismantling of armed militia financing, and this remains a hurdle.
What Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan are offering Iran is a political space for Tehran to control its militias without looking like it surrendered to the West.
With adherence to the pact, these issues would be discussed internally, holding Iran accountable, which will continue to control its militias. The goal is not to achieve a perfect peace, but to create game rules restrictive enough to make Iran think twice before triggering its regional satellites.
It looks like an arrangement that could work, not by itself, but because there is now a clear desire to resolve the bottlenecks that were halting the dialogue. Trump knows this and wants the same bottlenecks resolved, but without further damage to his image.
And where does Israel stand in this?
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Just a list of coincidences about Jared Kushner:
- Young Jared Kushner lent his bed to Benjamin Netanyahu
- Toured Polish concentration camps and traveled to Israel with Netanyahu in 1998
- Heavily involved with Chabad, a group linked to hardline theological agendas
- Mentored by Alan Dershowitz, Epstein’s lawyer
- Unsealed FBI notes claims Kushner is Trump’s "real brains"
- Originally introduced to Ivanka Trump by diamond merchant Moshe Lax under a “business pretext”
- His father Charles Kushner hired a prostitute and installed hidden cameras to blackmail his brother-in-law
- Denied top-secret clearance by security officials over foreign leverage concerns before Trump overruled them
- Connected the Trump campaign to mega-donors like Sheldon Adelson and banking scions like Nat Rothschild
- Developing a $1.4B resort on Albania's Sazan Island (a former Soviet bunker base) after vacationing on Rothschild's yacht
- Controls U.S. Middle East policy, including driving the Jerusalem embassy move, Golan Heights recognition, and Abraham Accords
- Secured $2B from Saudi wealth funds post-office and routed capital into defense-linked Israeli firms
- Pitched Gaza redevelopment into a Mediterranean resort hub
- Trump reversed his 2015 anti-foreign-lobby stance after Kushner became his political gatekeeper