IntelStation

This is an OSINT account dedicated to any relevant geopolitical issues around the world. Come to Canada while you still can. #NAFO

[IntelStation @intel_station]

A lot of pro-Ukrainians are reflexively supporting Azerbaijan, but that's horribly misguided. In truth, the scenes playing out in Nagorno-Karabakh would've occurred in Kyiv, if Hostomel Airport and other battles went the other way. We need some compassion and humility.

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@NotWoofers So, when they collide, do both ships get arrested?

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@academic_la You have to wonder what the breaking point for Netanyahu will be. He's already under a lot of pressure to escalate in Lebanon, and every failed "ceasefire" only increases it. Since Hezbollah is going to reject it, will he finally be forced to defy Trump?

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@TheWarMonitor @Finagle007 He'll wind up vetoing it, in the unlikely event that the Senate passes the bill. Also, the chance of Netanyahu unilaterally striking Beirut and forcing Trump's hand is high. It's not like he can threaten Israel with any consequences.

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@FaytuksNetwork What a load of interceptions.

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@TheWarMonitor @mailliam22 Netanyahu probably told Trump that he'd stop, but changed his mind because of pressure from Israel's far-far-right.

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@Blake_Allen13 @NotWoofers Am I the idiot for liking Syrski? He led the defence of Kyiv, Zaluzhny was making some defeatist statements, and he's kept the frontline largely stable.

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@NotWoofers @deltaIV9250 I still think that, with NASA's funding constantly under fire and interest rates likely to continue increasing, we won't be doing much in space for at least a decade.

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@TheWarMonitor The only way out of the Iran War is further in. Trump can't cave, and he can't stall anymore. So, the only real path is further strikes.

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@TheWarMonitor It could easily be both, if Trump's conducting a desperate push for diplomacy to avert an imminent strike.

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@TheWarMonitor It all comes back to that stupid post!

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@TheWarMonitor I was talking about Iran's "strategic patience" policy, which led to the decimation of Hezbollah and made the war possible.

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@TheWarMonitor Even Trump has a breaking point, and you have to imagine that there are a lot of people telling him that more strikes might increase the pressure on Iran. He's a weak man, and that means he can be bullied into doing things too.

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@TheWarMonitor Until he gets impulsive and decides to strike.

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@TheWarMonitor Strategic patience rivals their worst.

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@TheWarMonitor It would be a huge mistake for them to let their guard down, although the Iranians still make a lot of blunders. Indulging Trump with the ceasefire, to begin with, being one of their biggest.

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@TheWarMonitor It's also inevitable. Since Trump can't accept Iran's conditions, the only way for him to reopen the Strait is occupying the surrounding area. He'll hate it, but he'll do it.

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@TheWarMonitor Every time the peace talks fail, Trump's isolationists get weaker.

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@TheWarMonitor Trump desperately wants to TACO, but he can't. No matter how hard he tries, he can't walk away under politically acceptable terms. Since he can't run, and doing nothing only leads to higher gas prices, he will gamble on the military option, because it's the only real choice.

[IntelStation @intel_station]

@FaytuksNetwork The MOU is already falling apart. This is pathetic.