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We just eliminated the biggest source of vol. in this market (whether Fed pivots immediately in 2023 or later in the year) while inflation rolling over and earnings study
Repricing needs to happen but long r/r looks very good post-repricing
@dunleavy89 We just eliminated the greatest source of uncertainty in this market (whether FED pivots immediately or not).
Once the repricing is finished, this looks like a good place to long
@dunleavy89 It has to tank - medium term rates have to rise to account for changing expectations.
But now, we have (1) rolling over inflation data, (2) relatively O.K earnings, (3) no change in expected Fed terminal rate and (4) clearer timeline on rate cuts
@brokenutxo Should have read "high-ish"
Short perp, Long future in backwardation. Make $ when futures goes back to spot or contango post-merge.
ETH funding is a cost to this trade (if negative).
@brokenutxo As the merge approaches, this becomes more and more attractive for a basis trade.
Bit iffy right now because of the high-is negative funding for $ETH right now