With the addition of the AIFS ensemble, I've also added plots comparing the EPS to the AIFS ensemble: https://t.co/729zCD75kC
Some major differences emerge between them heading into the 2nd week of December, with the EPS colder than the AIFS in the eastern US:
Yeah I’m not gonna lie, Hurricane #Melissa feels like the closest thing I’ve seen to the Atlantic’s version of Hurricane Haiyan
#Melissa (left), #Haiyan (2013) (right)
All-time eyewall dropsonde right here from Hurricane #Melissa. 219 kt instantaneous wind above the surface, with a mean value of 188 kt in the lowest 150 meters, roughly supporting the estimated 1-minute mean surface wind of 160 kt (185 mph)
All-time eyewall dropsonde right here from Hurricane #Melissa. 219 kt instantaneous wind above the surface, with a mean value of 188 kt in the lowest 150 meters, roughly supporting the estimated 1-minute mean surface wind of 160 kt (185 mph)
9:15 am. Punishing gusts in Crawford. Wind whistling through the cracks in the shutters. Door thundering against the frame. Unpleasant pressure in the ears. Trees outside waving wildly-- like they're insane. Cuban radar shows #Hurricane#MELISSA's violent core is almost here. 982 mb & falling. #Jamaica
1-minute #GOES19/#GOESEast Visible and Infrared images with plots of GLM Flash Points showed prolific lightning activity within the inner eyewall of Category 5 Hurricane #Melissa as it approaches the SW coast of Jamaica. Low-altitude mesovortices persist within the eye.
One of the most ridiculous dropsondes I have ever seen for a system this close to land. Might actually be the craziest.
Western Jamaica is sadly about to be raked over the coals. Brutal 🥺
Most recent dropsonde measured 252mph winds just a couple hundred meters above the ground.
This is important to note, as many areas of Jamaicas coast are elevated / hilly.
Overall in the premium discord, we are +51.28U in the last 17 days and have really hit our stride with Football back in full swing!
CFB also going 17-6 (74%) in last 3 weeks.
And best of all, NBA IS BACK in October. You all know what that means, it's money time 💰
John Harbaugh BLASTED the Ravens' offensive approach and play calling.
And he blasted it A LOT ...
On Lamar Jackson's interception:
"It wasn't a good play call. It wasn't a play where we put our guys in the right position in that situation. I'm not happy with it at all. None of us are. They ran a double-backer blitz inside where they were right in Lamar's face. We had downfield routes with no check-downs. ... That kills your drive and you're moving the ball right down the field. So, no, I don't like that play call at all."
On the fourth-down attempt:
"You're gonna be aggressive, you're gonna go for it. You go for it, and you don't have a good plan. You just don't. You don't have a good plan. We didn't do a good job at all and we all know it. We agree with that. We came up short. We didn't put our players in a position we needed to put them in to execute and convert on third-and-short and fourth-and-short. Those are just like turnovers. They're no different than turnovers because you put your defense on a short field. We just gotta own all that. It's bad ball."
On if they were prepared for the Chiefs blitzes:
"I don't think our approach was good. We didn't stick to the plan we had. We had an idea of how we wanted to approach their defense, and we didn't stick to it, and I'm not happy about it and neither is anybody. None of our coaches are happy about it, especially, I'm talking about the coaches right now. That was us. It was not a good job."
On if Patrick Ricard's absence is having an impact:
"That's not really the issue of it. It's much deeper than that. If you're saying we didn't run the ball because we didn't have Pat Ricard, the answer is: that's not why. Yeah, we should've been running the ball on a number of those. Or have some more creative passes than just drop-back passes in those situations."
On the predictability of the offense when Derrick Henry comes off the field telegraphing it'll be a pass:
"You're going to do what players do well. That's important, but you're also going to change it up so it's not just predictable."
We're excited to release the first fall color report of the year for the Lower 48! 🚨
Pockets of low color can be found in the Rockies, where peak is expected by late month. New England remains primarily green, but that will change soon.
@rzweather@burgwx Hi Spinks. Feel free to DM me and I’ll try to help out since I work at WPC. I can at least get the word to the right people at the development branch.