/ solana:HuAXPyDWDaMYFKuwQHpqL1oPnj93zdzWmtvFGzCeCUa7 chart update
5 day base between $12M and $28M
breakout to $64M
now back at $29M sitting right on the old range high
old resistance turning into support is the cleanest setup there is
today's wick to $21M got bought back in one candle
levels I watch
support $26M to $31M
reclaim $44M and the ATH at $64M is next
1.618 extension of the breakout leg lands at $94M
right under $100M+ price discovery
for context solana:HcRLc9VDgjLeK154xDawfb1dmVJ98DoSqcwTHGqiDeJR was sitting at $124M on day 13
solana:HuAXPyDWDaMYFKuwQHpqL1oPnj93zdzWmtvFGzCeCUa7 is on day 13 at $29M
and the cat just double bottomed at $30M and ran +117%
the zcash:native bid is waking up again
invalid if we close back under $21M 🎭
one of the biggest lessons i’ve learned in crypto is that you really don’t need to hold 20 different tokens to make it.
personally, i’d rather hold 1 to 5 projects max and have real conviction in every single one of them.
different sectors. different narratives. different theses.
research them properly.
understand the product.
study the team.
check if what they’re building is actually legit.
understand the catalysts, the risks and exactly what would invalidate your thesis.
then build your own conviction instead of borrowing it from someone else on the timeline.
and most importantly, don’t let emotions consume you.
if you genuinely believe in your thesis, be prepared to hold for days, weeks or even months. not every investment needs to pump 30 minutes after you buy it.
personally, i also tend to avoid most memes for this exact reason. attention can disappear as quickly as it arrived, sometimes within days or even hours. i’d rather put my money into something i can actually research and build a thesis around.
that doesn’t mean blindly holding forever either.
conviction without risk management is just stubbornness.
do the research.
trust your own judgment.
give your thesis enough time to play out.
know what would prove you wrong.
and when the opportunity comes, don’t forget to take profits.
you don’t need to catch every token.
sometimes a few well researched positions, patience and proper profit taking are all you need.
ok aped $15k on solana:F4K2SbLNgyz9gzNqT8bPeLpRkxy4oMA9twaffUDdZtB6 @ 750k mc
my 2cents:
i’ve been digging into $pod and i think the market is massively underestimating what they’re trying to build around orca.
the thesis is actually pretty simple.
orca has already built the liquidity layer.
$pod is trying to build the permissionless launch layer on top of it.
instead of launching a token into some isolated ecosystem and hoping liquidity eventually shows up, pod lets projects launch directly into their own orca whirlpool, with different pairing options including sol, usdc and dozens of other assets.
that distinction matters when you look at the scale orca already has.
orca has processed over $500b in cumulative trading volume, with billions flowing through the dex every month.
pod doesn’t need to capture all of that. not even remotely.
it just needs to become a relevant entry point for new assets entering the orca ecosystem.
and this is where $pod itself gets interesting.
the platform captures part of the fees generated by its pools, and fees collected in assets like sol and usdc are used to buy $pod and burn it.
so the flywheel is basically:
more launches → more trading → more fees → more $pod buybacks → more $pod burned
and this isn’t purely theoretical anymore.
the platform is already live, launches are happening, volume is being generated and according to their dashboard, over 87m $pod has already been burned, around 8.7% of the original 1b supply.
all while the token is still sitting at microcap territory.
that’s the asymmetry i’m looking at.
you have a tiny project building directly around one of solana’s largest liquidity venues, with the underlying dex already doing billions in monthly volume.
and imo orca itself is becoming more interesting too.
more volume, more liquidity, more assets and more infrastructure being built around it means a bigger ecosystem for something like pod to potentially tap into.
obviously none of this means pod automatically captures orca’s growth.
that’s the bet.
the real question is whether pod can go from dozens of launches today to hundreds or eventually thousands, while actually retaining meaningful trading activity after those launches.
if that happens, the fee and burn mechanism becomes much more interesting.
i’m not betting on another random launchpad.
i’m betting on the possibility that orca becomes an increasingly important liquidity layer on solana and $pod becomes one of the permissionless launch layers built directly on top of it.
orca already has the liquidity.
pod needs to bring the launches.
if they execute, i think people are going to look back at this valuation and realize how early it actually was.
bullish on $pod.
Free launches are back on for 2 more hours.
No launch fee, unlimited character generations, your own token on https://t.co/s6ASsVKKJn.
https://t.co/32Loa6aBch