NINJA COUPON ERROR IS BACK ON AMAZON
Amazon discounted it but also left coupon on page
https://t.co/mnwoxjLIsP #ad
Dropping to $186 while next best price is $220 at BestBuy
Price history shows it has never been this low...
591 companies reporting this week. Big names: $MSFT, $V, $SBUX, $MA, $PG, $UNH, $MRK, $AAPL, $MSTR, $COIN.
Last week, stocks that beat often popped early and faded later. Many moved outside the expected range.
https://t.co/SLGPpUMKtx
Chipotle $CMG reports after close today
Implied move is 6.6% vs just 4.5% average actual move
IV/RV is elevated at 1.31
Est EPS: $0.32, Rev: $3.12B
Options look rich, if history repeats, this could be a premium selling setup
https://t.co/SLGPpUNij5
#stocks#earnings#options
Alphabet $GOOGL $GOOG reports after close today
Implied move is 6.6% vs 6.5% historical avg.
IV/RV at 1.17 suggests premiums are pricey, and straddles have underperformed in 5 of the last 8
Est EPS: $2.15, Rev: $93.98B
Watch Search and Cloud growth
https://t.co/SLGPpUMKtx
Tesla $TSLA reports today after close
Implied move is 7.3% vs 10.8% historical avg. IV/RV just 0.86 options look underpriced
TSLA has broken the implied move in 5 of the last 8 quarters
High beta, heavy volume, cheap vol, setup for a big move?
https://t.co/SLGPpUMKtx
AT&T $T reports tomorrow before open
Implied move is just 4.6%, IV/RV at 1.24
This is a slow mover, but options are pricey relative to realized
With a strong tendency to stay in range, premium harvesters may find edge here
Telecom quiet, but not cheap
https://t.co/SLGPpUMKtx
Fiserv $FI reports tomorrow before open
Implied move is 7.5% and IV/RV is a punchy 1.37
Last two earnings saw large moves outside expectations
Fintechs have been volatile post-earnings, especially on guidance
Big setup, expensive vol :)
Capital One $COF reports today at the close
Market pricing in a 5.2% move
IV/RV at 1.15, options a bit rich but not extreme
Credit risk and loan provisions could swing the needle, but this name tends to stay inside
Premium sellers might like the odds here
Texas Instruments $TXN reports today at the close
Options are pricing in a 5.8% move
IV/RV sits at 1.21 with bullish skew, implying elevated premium
Last few quarters were muted, but semis have seen big reversals post-earnings this season
https://t.co/SLGPpUNij5
Lockheed Martin $LMT and RTX $RTX report earnings tomorrow at the open
Options market is pricing in a 4.8% move for LMT and 3.8% for RTX
Both names have exceeded implied in 5 of the last 8 quarters
Defence budgets (F-35 program) in focus and recent contract headlines
Philip Morris $PM reports tomorrow at the open
Options are pricing in a 6% move, above the 4% average but PM has exceeded that in 3 straight quarters
Much of the upside came from surging ZYN sales, which helped fuel recent beats
https://t.co/SLGPpUMKtx
General Motors $GM reports before market open on July 22.
The options market is pricing in a 5.8% move, almost identical to its historical average. A coin flip setup.
Key watch: EV targets, labor relations, China sales.
Vol neutral? See full setup at https://t.co/SLGPpUMKtx
Netflix $NFLX beat on both EPS ($7.19 vs $7.07) and revenue ($11.08B vs $11.04B).
But the stock only moved ~1.6% vs a 6.3% implied move.
Massive IV crush incoming.
Options traders got burned.
See more earnings insights at https://t.co/SLGPpUMKtx
Netflix $NFLX reports earnings this week.
The options market is pricing in a 6.5% move, well below its usual post-earnings swing of 7.9% to 10.4%.
With high IV/RV and a history of big gaps, this could be a setup for vol buyers.
Get the full breakdown at https://t.co/SLGPpUMKtx
Taiwan Semi $TSM reports earnings tomorrow morning
The options market is pricing in a 4.7% move
Last two reports were flat and ASML just sold off on soft guidance
With rich premiums and mixed history, is this a chance to fade the move?
https://t.co/SLGPpUMKtx
PepsiCo $PEP reports earnings tomorrow morning
The options market is pricing in a 3.9% move, higher than usual.
It’s moved less than expected in 6 of the last 8 quarters.
With an IV/RV of 1.37, options look expensive could be a setup for vol sellers.
https://t.co/SLGPpUMKtx
$BAC reports Tuesday morning.
Implied move: 3.5%, just above the average of 3.0%
Moves tend to stay inside range (5 of last 8), but this time macro could shake things up.
Focus on:
– Net Interest Income
– Consumer banking trends
– Fed commentary
$ASML reports Tuesday morning. Buckle up.
Options market pricing in a 5.9% move but it’s moved an average of 8.3% the last 8 quarters.
Big past moves: +17%, -15%, +6.9%
As a key AI + chip player, any guidance shock could rip this.