徐文軒

[mk @mengkunghsieh]

股市有很多另類指標可以運用⋯例如你說近期的 OEM 又在噴什麼，很大一部分是壽險、法人資金的老闆，看到滿山滿谷的飆股就把團隊抓去問：你為什麼沒 AI？

老闆不開心，就只好大家追追進去

績效壓力如果可以開天眼來做個統計的話，可能是台股動能的很大一環

[App Economy Insights @EconomyApp]

Choose your fighter
$TSM $NVDA $ASML $AMD

[あるる ChatGPT × AIツール @chatgptair]

5. 旅行ガイドになってもらう

プロンプト：

『次の旅行はカリフォルニアです。2023年に観光客で混雑しない見どころを教えてください。回答は表形式で表示してください。』

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

🇺🇸Several takeaways from the #FOMC meeting

✔️Fed raised rates by 0.25%, bringing the range to 5%-5.25%.

✔️Fed deleted the reference to 'some additional policy firming may be appropriate' from its statement.

✔️Powell hinted at a potential pivot and ongoing assessment, stating "We feel like we're getting closer and maybe even there.

✔️Would not be appropriate to cut rates, given our view that inflation will take some time to come down.

✔️Powell stated that there's a possibility of a mild recession occurring, which he hopes will be the case.

✔️Fed will continue its balance sheet runoff.

✔️Fed plans to strengthen supervision and regulation for midsize banks and believes it's essential for the debt ceiling to be raised to avoid a US government default.

[Andrew Lokenauth @FluentInFinance]

I've worked in Banking for 10+ years and hired by JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs and Citi to name a few.

Here are 10 common interview questions that I've faced, and tips on how to prepare for each, to help you stand out & get a job offer:

[Alf @MacroAlf]

Yield curve dynamics are crucial to understand if you want to become a better macro investor.

A thread.

1/

[Sergei Perfiliev @perfiliev]

ISM PMI is hugely important - it's used to forecast all kinds of stuff.

For example, PMI tends to lead corporate earnings growth by about a year.

Below, we shifted the PMI index forward by 12 months and plotted it against SPX trailing 12-months EPS growth.

Based on this relationship, today's PMI reading of 46.3 implies an earnings contraction of about 8% over next 12 months, or an SPX EPS of 204.

Using the current forward PE ratio of 18.7, this leads to an index level of about 3,815. A "recessionary" PE ratio of 15 will see the index at ~3,060, assuming earnings don't fall further.

[Andrew Lokenauth @FluentInFinance]

FREE online courses for investing, finance & entrepreneurship are offered by top universities such as Harvard, MIT and Stanford!

These 10 FREE courses will teach you how to make more money & build wealth:

[John P. Hussman, Ph.D. @hussmanjp]

1/ The S&P 500 has suffered a total return of -10.3% since its steepest extreme in history.

The valuation measure best correlated with actual market returns is at levels never seen prior to Aug 2020, except a handful of months surrounding the 1929 peak.

I know you don't care.

[Markets & Mayhem @Mayhem4Markets]

There's far too much talk around these parts about how the dollar will be vanishing from global trade imminently, but the reality is this is a process that takes decades.

First, the greenback makes up nearly 60% of global foreign exchange reserves. That's pretty massive!

1/

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

Since March 2020, We Have Seen:

1. Largest pandemic in over 100 years

2. Over $4 trillion in printed stimulus

3. Interest rates lowered to 0% over night

4. Interest rates rising at their fastest pace in history

5. Inflation at its highest in 40+ years

6. Closest we’ve been to WW3

7. Oil prices go from negative to $100+ with record high gas prices

8. Largest crypto bear market in history

9. Record high credit card debt of $986 billion

10. Most unaffordable housing market in history (less affordable than 2008)

11. 2nd and 3rd largest bank collapses in US history

If you started investing in 2020, you have seen more historic events than most people see in 20+ years.

Volatility is the new normal.

[Jim Bianco @biancoresearch]

1/4

FED'S BARKIN: THE CASE FOR RAISING RATES THIS WEEK PRETTY CLEAR.
---
The market is now going the other way.

The terminal rate (blue) (from FF futures) and the actual rate (orange) have converged for the first time this cycle.

The market is signaling the Fed is done.

[🇺🇸 Kyle Bass 🇹🇼 @Jkylebass]

As for the $60 billion loan the Fed made via repurchase agreement, the countries below are the only countries that hold $60 billion or more of US Treasuries. If we remove sovereigns with SWAP lines open at the Fed and scan the list for countries that have been significant net sellers (more than $100B) of USTs in the past year, the only two countries that fit these parameters are China and Japan. Private market funding is 20bps cheaper than the FIMA Repo Facility and Japan has deep, positive relationships with the US Dealer community...so it appears that the secret borrower of USD from the FED could be China. How incredible is it that the FED has the ability to lend directly to the United States' largest threat to our National Security (without Congressional approval)? #China @federalreserve @chairmang @marcorubio @MarkWarner

[Bravos Research @bravosresearch]

18/ Thanks for reading!

If you liked this, please like and retweet the first tweet below.

And follow @gameoftrades_ for more market insights, finance and investment strategy content.

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