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[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

What if investment research could start with a better database?

Ask a market question. Connect the data. Build a clearer view. 💯

MacroMicro AI is built on 100M+ core data points across global macro, industries, companies, ETFs, central-bank decisions, earnings reports and more.

Every conclusion is drawn from a verifiable, traceable trusted database, combined with MacroMicro’s research frameworks and market context.

It is coming after July.

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[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

bitcoin:native fell 83% after Janet Yellen took office, 84% after Jerome Powell's first term began, and 77% following Powell's reappointment.

Three cycles do not establish a rule, but they point to a recurring pattern. Each downturn unfolded alongside a shift in Federal Reserve policy, tightening liquidity conditions, and a major breakdown in market confidence.

With Warsh taking the helm, the debate is once again whether Bitcoin faces another difficult transition period. In our latest feature, we look into why this cycle may differ from those that came before 👇

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

https://t.co/RA4wJRTSbH

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

https://t.co/RA4wJRTSbH

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

AI is still driving markets, but what could slow the cycle down?

In this clip from MacroMicro 2026 Economic Outlook, we highlights why the next key risk for AI may not be demand, but capital.

Watch the full replay to see how oil, Fed policy, credit conditions and AI investment are connected.

📹Stream the Full Replay Now: https://t.co/WEo9mIx9Vk

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

https://t.co/ANfxPRoO6U

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

Warsh's preference for trimmed mean PCE over headline core has justification. Computer software and accessories, weighted 34x heavier in core PCE than core CPI, posted a 73% annualized gain from November to March, and a single line item with a 1.2% weight is doing most of the work.

PCE borrows its software price index from CPI, which includes memory storage hardware inflated by AI chip demand, a category PCE doesn't even cover; and matched-model methodology lags badly when LLM integration is lifting product quality faster than pricing surveys can document. Adjust for both, per the May FEDS Notes, and the contribution to core PCE falls by more than half. Tariff passthrough is already fading, and if AI price pressure is partly a measurement artifact, the trimmed mean PCE trend Warsh pushes bears more weight than the headline core.

Oil remains the variable that actually determines how much room the Fed has.

🔗 Full report: https://t.co/peu58j2hT3

[Rachel Chen @rachel_chen_tw]

We’ve been continuously training our AI — and this time, we used MacroMicro AI to distill our latest June Investment Monthly Report into a single Investment Dashboard for rapid global market orientation.

June’s signal is clear: market focus is rotating from geopolitics to the Fed transition.
Policy expectations, liquidity conditions, and the FOMC dot plot are emerging as the key drivers of potential market repricing.

Yet fundamentals remain the anchor.

AI-driven earnings momentum continues to underpin equity leadership — particularly across the US, Taiwan, and South Korea.

Our core view holds: equities over bonds, with a tilt toward AI exposure and short-duration US Treasuries.

This dashboard is built for investors who want the macro picture before diving into the full monthly analysis — clarity first, depth second.

🔒 Now is the time to lock in MacroMicro at our current offer.

Subscribers will be seamlessly upgraded to MacroMicro AI as it rolls out — turning macro signals into sharper investment decisions.

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[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

A one-page market dashboard, highlights the key signals investors should watch in June.

Save it, share it and use it as a quick market reference for June.

Turn Macro Signals into Smarter Decisions
Lock in now | Prices increase 20%+ after release
🚀 https://t.co/YRxQua0Mhj

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

https://t.co/WjmauaxAzL

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

https://t.co/WjmauaxAzL

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

🤖 Agentic AI doesn't just consume more memory than LLM training, it changes which memory, at what density, and through which demand channels.

KV cache management scales with context window size, not just query volume; CPU-to-GPU ratios in AI racks are tightening from 1:8 toward 1:2, expanding server DRAM footprints independently of GPU density; and HBM wafer allocation is now squeezing conventional DRAM supply at the precise moment conventional DRAM contract prices are up 93-98% QoQ. The crowding-out effect is self-reinforcing: as HBM capacity per chip scales from 192GB to 288GB in 2026 and toward 384GB in 2027, the diversion of wafer input intensifies, giving suppliers pricing power in both segments simultaneously.

The profitability inversion in 1Q26, where DDR5 64GB RDIMM wafer revenue overtook HBM, is the clearest evidence that conventional DRAM pricing has now caught up to the structural shortage HBM created.

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

🇯🇵 April yen-denominated import prices up 17.5% year-on-year demands action, but JGB yields are already high enough that hiking compounds fiscal interest costs in an expanding-deficit environment. A 25bps move in June looks probable, though it's defensive rather than the start of a sustained cycle.

Carry unwind risk looks contained: yen-denominated cross-border credit already contracted 4.9% in Q4 2025 as dollar and euro credit expanded, meaning the funding base was being wound down before any rate move. COT positioning confirms it, with yen short interest at moderate rather than extreme levels.

📍Data: https://t.co/JczeNP9Ap1

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

https://t.co/qAQSRQji31

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

🌏 Korea and Taiwan are on track to deliver 44 percentage points of MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan earnings growth in 2026, a whole 83% of the regional total. Meanwhile, India will only contribute 0.1. It begs the question of who is being left behind in the AI picture.

Europe's Stoxx 600 is 8.8% technology, India's is less than 1%, and both lean heavily on financials and industrials; sectors that grow domestically but do not absorb AI capital expenditure. Europe's Q1 beat rate of 58.1% against 80%-plus in the US, and 12-month forward EPS growth of 11.8% against 28.5% globally, paint the same picture.

🔗 Full report: https://t.co/peu58j2hT3

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

🇪🇺 Eurozone headline CPI rose to 3.2% in May, the highest since Sept. 2023. Energy prices surged 10.9%, but the risk lies in the core metrics, which show sticky domestic momentum. Services inflation jumped to 3.5% from 3.0% in April, and the core rate, excluding food and energy, climbed to 2.5%.

Price pressures are showing up in categories that tend to move more slowly and prove more persistent. A June rate hike now looks increasingly consistent with the inflation data.

📍Data: https://t.co/klL8FyLDWC

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

https://t.co/qAQSRQji31

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

🛢️ Global oil markets are now draining at the fastest pace since the post-Covid demand rebound, with EIA projecting Q2 draws of 8.47 mb/d and cumulative losses since the conflict began approaching 1 billion barrels. OPEC crude production fell from 28.65 mb/d in February to 18.98 mb/d in April; Hormuz throughput has recovered to less than 10% of pre-war levels.

The US has deployed SPR releases and record crude exports simultaneously and still logged a 7.863 mb commercial draw in the week ending May 15, with gasoline and distillate stocks already below seasonal norms ahead of peak driving demand. Meanwhile, demand destruction is spreading through price-sensitive import markets: China's apparent oil demand fell 11.5% year-on-year in April, and combined petroleum imports from Japan, South Korea, and India dropped roughly 3.5 mb over the same period.

The buffer between current inventory trajectories and a disorderly price move is thinner than it has been in years, and summer demand has not yet peaked.

🔗 Full report: https://t.co/peu58j2hT3

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

📊 Markets are front-running a Hormuz ceasefire, pushing WTI below $90 and the 10-year yield under 4.5% on expectations of diplomatic resolution. Yet negotiators are running out of time; US inventories have drawn for four straight weeks ahead of the summer driving season.

The physical reality remains tight. Persian Gulf output losses approach 10 million barrels per day, cumulative losses sit near 1 billion barrels, and Hormuz transit remains under 10% of pre-war levels. Draft amendments remain stalled over transit control and uranium stockpiles, leaving oil vulnerable to a sharp reversal if diplomatic progress fails to yield actual barrels.

Equity flows remain detached from this friction. Taiwan’s semiconductor supply chain and Korea’s memory cycle continue to move higher, capturing direct AI capital expenditure through hardware demand. While India boasts strong structural growth, its IT services focus leaves it lagging behind these hardware-driven earnings revisions.

🔗 Full report: https://t.co/peu58j2hT3

[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

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[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

All MacroMicro subscribers can now experience the Bubble trial on our site and try early AI-powered assistance for exploring market questions, chart and research context 🚀

But this is only the beginning.

The full MacroMicro AI experience will be exclusively unlocked for MM Max Annual members, with a far more powerful set of AI features designed to connect macro, sectors, companies, dashboards and research into one decision engine.

Try Bubble today and upgrade to Max Annual to unlock the full power of MacroMicro AI when it goes live.

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[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

🚨 Today is the day.

In our previous MacroMicro Economic Outlook, we flagged two AI signals before they became consensus: widening LLM competition and AI infrastructure demand spreading into Taiwan’s supply chain.

Since then, both have moved from thesis to market reality, from agentic AI monetization to strong AI-driven hardware demand.

In today’s market, price action alone is not enough. You need to understand both macro conditions and fundamentals.

The latest MacroMicro Economic Outlook unpacks geopolitical turbulence, capital gaps, oil, inflation, Treasury yields, AI capex and the cascading effects on supply chains.

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[MacroMicro @MacroMicroMe]

Anthropic says its annualized revenue run-rate crossed $47 B earlier this month, underscoring the rapid expansion of one of the AI sector’s fastest-growing players.

The disclosure came alongside a reported $65 B Series H round valuing the company at $965 B.